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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I was waaaaaaayyy off-base on Sanchez. I didn't see his 2013 season coming at all. Not with the transition to the AL and leaving Marlins Park/Pro Players/whatever the hell they called it. Of course, there's still a lot of time left on that contract to be right but so far, it's looking really good for the Tigers.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I guess that's true... But there's a 95+% chance that phone call will never come so it's really a moot point.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a different ballgame. It's also incredibly unlikely to happen. Why would Colletti do that?
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    His ceiling is a young Miggy with a lower average. A shift from third base makes him Jim Thome. A realistic expectation is .260-.280, 30 homers. Maybe an Adam Dunn type guy with better defense. Sano is big but he's athletic. His floor is... Delmon Young, maybe? Unlikely that he bombs out like Delmon, though. All of those players except Delmon Young are extremely valuable players. Trading Sano at this point is folly because any GM will be asking "why on EARTH are you trading this guy?" and adjust their offers accordingly.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I took a gamble and picked Hughes. It wouldn't surprise me one bit if a revitalized Hughes comes out of the gates dominating hitters and cracks the All-Star team. He won't maintain that kind of pace but I have the feeling that getting out of New York is going to do wonders for this guy's mental state.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    The more I think about it, the more I'd prefer Pelfrey at two years than Arroyo at three, not to mention that Pelfrey will demand about half the yearly salary. I hate watching Pelfrey pitch. Hate it hate it hate it. Dude spends 20 seconds frenching his hand, paces around the mound, and probably cooks a pot roast between pitches... I don't know because I've usually fallen asleep by that point. But he's seven years younger than Arroyo. He's not going to take the "welcome to the American League, here's a half run tacked to your ERA" hit to his stats like Arroyo. Neither pitcher strikes anybody out. Given that situation, may as well go with the cheaper, younger, shorter-term guy who you can jettison if he flops.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    It's hard not to be impressed by the Angels' four consecutive seasons of missing the playoffs. The Twins have been to the playoffs more recently than the Angels.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    It's questionable whether Dozier can play short in the majors, much less be above average.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Like I said in another post, I'm not a huge fan of Drew. But he's the best SS on the market and the Twins literally have nobody else who projects to be above average in the next half decade.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    True. I should have phrased it "I wish anyone did this".
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I wish more teams did this... It makes all the sense in the world for the Twins to front-load a contract.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. I hadn't really thought about locking them up as they enter arb. It's a good policy for the right players, I think. Cleveland used it quite well a few years back, as did the Rays.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    With the added revenue coming into MLB this year, I thought Garza could get silly money... 5/$85m type stuff. He still might get it. With Garza, it's not so much about the yearly salary. It's the fifth year. If he can be had for four years, I'm not sure I care about the per year cost. I'm not even that keen on picking up two 30 year old FAs in the same offseason but damn, Nolasco/Garza for four years could be pretty awesome and by the time Buxton/Sano/Arcia are due raises, they'd all be off the books.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    It wasn't unreasonable to expect the Royals offense to be league average or better. But not so much in 2013, in my opinion. Their squad just wasn't very good in 2012. This season, they should be league average... Hell, they'd be good if they had Myers. The Royals had been bad for a very, very long time. Look at how Pittsburgh handled their rebuild and then look at how Kansas City handled theirs. Now tell me with a straight face that Moore's gamble was a good one. Pittsburgh has been more successful by biding their time, making smart moves, and not trading away any good prospects.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see a world where the Rays trade away an ace pitcher and don't want a potential ace in return. Zimmer will probably be on the MLB roster in KC at some point in 2014. Sure, trades are tricky. You can't always pull one off exactly how you'd like... But there are always pitchers available and at the end of the day, Shields was only worth ~2 wins more than a half season of Myers. It's entirely possible, maybe even likely, that the Royals are virtually the same team in 2013 if you swap Shields and Myers.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    You can't be sure of anything, which is why I mentioned injuries early in the thread. But the 2012 Royals were 12th in the AL in runs scored. They had some distance to go to respectability.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Bolded: exactly. All the Twins are losing right now is money. I'm all for incrementally making the team better. I was all for the Santana trade, as it cost the Royals very little. But when you're trading the fourth best prospect in baseball, a guy who is ready to be on a MLB roster right now, you better be damned sure that the rest of your team is ready to step and up compete because you're giving up a lot for a guy who is only going to be with your team for one or two seasons.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I think they do. If you can get Matt Garza for four years and $60m, you make that deal all day and twice on Sundays.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    When that trade was made last year, I said "KC has not shown that they have the bats to make a push. This is too early." Sure enough, they didn't have the bats to make a real push at the playoffs. The bulk of their players are still pre-arb and years away from FA. They have several more good players coming in the next 12 months. There was no reason to push the timetable forward and because they did, Wil Myers is now on the Rays and the Royals still haven't made the playoffs in a billion years. Say they didn't make the trade. With the late season emergence of a couple of their guys and the flat-out dominance of Wil Myers, they would now have the bats to compete. At that point, yeah... You make that push. You're not crossing your fingers and hoping for player advancement, you have evidence that those players are ready to compete. And they have Bubba Starling, the 28th best prospect in MiLB, as trade bait. If that's not enough to do it, they have Zimmer, the 24th best prospect in MiLB and a pitcher, to offer. They have assets on the farm to make a push whenever they need to make a push. But before you make a push, you make sure your ducks are in a row on the MLB roster. And Moore just didn't do that. He pulled the trigger and crossed his fingers. Not to avoid injury, which is a reasonable concern for any general manager. He crossed his fingers and hoped that his players would get better. That's a ridiculous assumption. You let the players show you something and then you make a move.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Then give the Rays Zimmer instead of Myers. The Royals have three prospects in BA's top 100, four if you include Myers. Two of those guys are top 30 prospects on BA's latest list. They have the players to make a deal if they needed to make a deal. What about Lee? What about Bailey? You don't think Moore could pry away one of these pitchers with one of the four top 100 prospects he'd have under his control? People seem to be under the completely false assumption that good starting pitching is the Yeti of baseball. If you have the money and/or the prospects, you can almost always find a guy to front a rotation. You just have to pay for it... Which the Royals did last season. And they got burned for it. They wasted half of the ~9-10 wins Shields will provide them and lost what looks to be at least 20 wins from Myers. And what did they get for it? So far, not a damned thing. A notch or two up the standings but not enough for it to matter come October.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    They could make the same deal for Myers right now and get David Price in return. If anything, Myers' value is higher now than it was 12 months ago. They could have pursued Fister, Lee, Anderson, Bailey, or any number of pitchers being bandied around every offseason. The Royals still have several good prospects in the pipeline. If you have prospects, there is never a shortage of pitchers to be had from non-contending or rebuilding teams.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Except for the fact that they still finished in third place. And the fact that Moore didn't need to rush his "big push", as KC has no pending free agents hitting the market other than Santana, the other piece of his 2013 push. He could have just as easily kept Myers, only won a couple less games (Shields, while good, was only worth ~2 wins more than half a season of Myers), and entered this offseason with a lineup that looks far more potent than it does right now. Oh, and he'd have five seasons of control over Wil Myers.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Given that Smith is a senior exec and almost surely paid well into the six digits, that's a pretty expensive fee to pay for someone's silence. Conspiracy theories often fall apart when simple logic is applied to them.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I completely forgot about Radke. I knew there was another guy who went down and/or struggled on that 2006 squad but couldn't remember who it was. I can't believe I forgot about Brad basically Iron Manning it through every start in August and September.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. Outside voices aren't always better but they're not necessarily worse, either. Putting a non-baseball guy, appointed by the previous GM, in charge of a baseball franchise was not the smartest move of the past decade, that's for sure.
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