Brock Beauchamp
-
Posts
32,662 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
328
Content Type
Profiles
Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis
Minnesota Twins Videos
2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings
2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Minnesota Twins Players Project
2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
-
I have issues comparing Florimon and Dozier because Dozier showed flashes of being a good hitter in the minors. It may have only been one season but he OPSed a full 120 points higher than any season Florimon posted. I can see the argument that Florimon is "good enough" to avoid picking up Drew but at some point, don't you have to make improvements when and where you can? Drew is definitely a win improvement over Florimon, though I'm not sold that the Twins won't have a better SS option next offseason, be it through trade or free agency. My only issue is with people predicting some kind of breakout for Florimon... At this point, he's almost certainly going to continue being the guy he is today, or at least some close approximation of that player.
-
So you're telling me that the Twins' biggest problem is that they have too many #9 hitters?
-
No, I'm not. Florimon is awful with the bat. Butera is in his own category. Historically awful, if you will. I brought up Butera because a lot of this thread reads like Butera threads of the past. "If this player can stop being really bad at a particular skill and despite showing absolutely no inclination to do so in a 6+ year professional career, he could be an okay player." You know as well as I do just how incredibly rare that kind of transformation is in a 27-28 year old player. If Florimon turns into merely a bad hitter (say, a .630-.640 OPS) and cleans up his defensive mental gaffes, he's a serviceable stopgap player. But at this point, even that is unlikely.
-
Hits don't matter as a negative. Getting 3,000 hits garners a player more consideration for the hall but not achieving 3,000 is not a negative, particularly for catchers. If a BBWA voter can't acknowledge that it's harder to accumulate hits when a player walks 8-10% of the time, they deserve to lose their status as a voting member. -
Article: Twins Still Have Room For Pitching
Brock Beauchamp replied to Thrylos's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's not about a tired pen, it's about how if you continually find yourself digging into the minors for a seventh or eighth reliever, you're not going to be calling up your best bullpen arms. In fact, a lot of the time you'll be calling up pure crap (Jeff Gray logged how many innings for the Twins?). In Burton, Fein, Perkins, Swarzak, Thielbar, and Duensing, the Twins have a solid bullpen core. That's six guys. Add in a guy like Pressley or Tonkin and you're probably looking at a pretty good pen if the starters aren't awful, forcing the Twins to reach back and call up pitchers who either aren't very good or aren't ready. -
Agreed. I won't complain if they sign him but I'm not sure it's the best course of action this season.
-
This thread reads a lot like past Butera threads. "If Player A would stop being awful at Skill B, he'd be a decent player." Florimon will never be more than a bad hitter, which is a slight step up from his current status as "awful hitter". But it's likely that he'll always be an awful hitter. The guy has eight pro seasons under his belt. We know who he is at this point. Predicting anything else for him is wishful thinking at best, outright naïveté at worst.
-
A great point that too many ignore. I think Nolasco was less of a bet and more of a #3-ish guy but even he projects to do well in Target Field. Hughes, on the other hand, is a fantastic bet. Everything about the guy suggests that he's a much better pitcher in Minnesota.
-
Well said.
-
Three Twins Hitters Who REALLY Liked the Dome
Brock Beauchamp replied to Teflon's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The comparable player next to the home/road slash line. Looking at those Puckett slashes, you wonder what kind of player Joe Mauer would have been at the dome with that SuperBall bouncy turf installed. So many of those grounders to SS/2B would have found their way as hits. -
Which is fine. Personally, I'd rank the Twins offseason somewhere in the 8-12 range because they improved so much from last season, which isn't saying much but it IS an improvement. I have no issues with someone questioning the Twins' offseason and not ranking it near the top of the league. I have issues with a guy who ranks the Twins #26 and the Rays #2 because that is, well... it's damned ridiculous, that's what it is.
-
Agreed. I may feel differently if Hicks was naturally a LHB but as a righty, he needs to remain a switch hitter or he's a platoon player.
-
Ahahahahahahah, Parker comes in on day 365 and supplies what might be the Twins Daily article of the year. Fantastic work, Parker. One cannot watch the Mom Made Pizza Rolls gif enough times.
-
It's easy enough to buy out 1-2 years of free agency by giving the player a guaranteed contract through his arb seasons. I agree that neither player should be rushed but if they're ready for MLB, call them up.
-
I've judged Ellsbury's contract on multiple occasions using far more than OPS. If you want me to rehash that argument for the twentieth time, I can do so. For example, Ellsbury is a 30 year old signed to a seven year contract. Here are his WAR numbers by year: 1.4, 4.1, 2.1, 9.1, 1.4, 5.8. There are way too many low numbers in there for a guy being paid over $21m a year through his age 36 season. Hell, some around here crucify Mauer and his paycheck and he has posted a WAR under 3.0 twice in his career. His rookie season (injured) and 2011 (injured).
-
I can't help but laugh at the fact that he put the Yankees at #5 after signing Ellsbury to a seven (!) year contract, a guy who has posted an OPS+ over 100 twice in his career, but put the Mariners at #30 for signing Cano to a ten year deal, a guy who has posted an OPS+ under 100 just once in his career. I wouldn't want either of those guys under contract but if I had to take one of them, it'd be Cano because he's basically guaranteed to be a superstar player for another 2-4 years if healthy.
-
There's more to it than that... If the Rays played in Target Field and made these same pickups, Baer would probably be all over the moves, praising their ingenuity and taking good bets on promising players. My issue with this article is that he's allowing his perception of these moves to be changed by the team that signs the player. Nolasco and Hughes were smart pickups by the Twins; guys who have underperformed various metrics through their careers and could benefit greatly from Target Field and a quiet Minnesota media spotlight. Will these players work out for the Twins? No one can say but that doesn't mean they're not good gambles with upside that improve one of the worst rotations in baseball. To suggest that the Twins, a team that needed three starting pitchers, should go after Tanaka instead of shoring up the rest of the rotation is comically bad analysis. You can argue that they should also go after Tanaka but arguing that one (potentially) very good starting pitcher is worth more than 2-3 mediocre/good ones on a team that won 61 pythagorean games last season is worthy of all the derision it's receiving in this thread. Really, I can't get over just how awful these two articles are from an analysis standpoint. They're easily two of the worst baseball articles I've read in quite some time. Just horrible.
-
I never realized Nolasco's lefty/righty split was so dramatic. A good sign going into Target Field, for sure.
-
This is my favorite aspect of the article(s). The Rays retained a 2.7 WAR first baseman, a guy coming off his best season since 2007. They, uh, picked up a couple of relievers as well. Relievers. Yay. Great pickups, obviously the second best in all of MLB this offseason! Because the Rays are GREAT! Obviously, retaining Loney was smart because the Rays are smart, right? Right? There's no way a smart team could make a bad bet on a guy after a bounceback season. That's unpossible. The guy should be embarrassed for himself. Talk about letting the tail wag the dog. Decent pickups by good teams become great pickups because the team is good. Decent pickups by bad teams become bad pickups because the team is awful. Obviously, the Twins should have pursued Tanaka. They were a 66 win team. At that point, you don't try to shoot for respectability as the farm matures. You lay it all on black and go big; that's why Zack Greinke has so many championship rings. The cornerstone of any good franchise is an ace pitcher, particularly a guy who will command $100m+ and hasn't thrown a pitch in an MLB game. He's basically a lock for the HoF at this point. The amount of facepalm I'm feeling right now is hard to capture in words. Such a travesty of an article from front to back.
-
Ah, come on, Levi... I honestly don't care about this argument one way or the other but you cannot compare Hicks, a 23 year old position player who has been a top 100 prospect for most of his MiLB career, to 26 and 27 year old pitchers who were never highly regarded and struggled mightily during an awful season. Diamond was so poorly regarded that the Braves basically gave him away. Worley was never more than a marginal prospect. At some point, it stops being "opinion" and becomes "general consensus". The general consensus is that Aaron Hicks is a vastly superior prospect to either Scott Diamond or Vance Worley. He doesn't even belong in the same conversation as those two guys.
-
That is one incredibly lazy analysis of the Twins' offseason.
-
But my later point illustrates how the decision doesn't need to be made in March. Dealing bullpen arms on this team makes sense no matter how you look at the situation. They have an abundance of capable arms already. They have too many marginal starters, at least one of which should be able to hack it in a swing role. And more arms are on the way. The roster is only going to get more crowded so they may as well deal one of them now while their trade value can bring back something worthwhile, even if it's just a low minors arm (which, unless you're dealing Perkins, is pretty much the ceiling of a bullpen arm return).
-
My rebuttal is that if the Twins are on a path to 70 wins in May, then move Correia and let the younger guys play. I don't agree with starting a season with that mentality, though... Unless there is ZERO hope of winning going into the season (which I would argue was the case in 2013). It's not that hard to make room for these players. Move one of Duensing, Burton, Swarzak, or Fien and slot in Worley or Diamond. The other guy takes the fifth rotation spot. Deduno starts the season on the DL. Gibson starts in the minors. Presto, you've retained all the optionless players while keeping the rotation somewhat solid going into the season.
-
PSA: Buy a Metrodome seat for $60
Brock Beauchamp replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'm already in negotiations with the wife to get 3-4 of these for the tv room. The negotiations aren't going well thus far. -
Oh, his trade value is very low. That shouldn't even be in question.
