Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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LOVE this line. -
It has more to do with Drew's 111 OPS+ versus Florimon's 70 OPS+. Batting average and homers tell only part of the story of those two players. Last year, Drew was 11% better than league average (which is very good from the SS position) while Pedro Florimon was 30% worse than league average with the bat. That's an enormous difference. Really, batting average and homeruns mean very little in a vacuum unless the numbers are absurdly high or low.
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Matt Kemp would require a Buxton/Sano type in return if the Dodgers ate part of his contract. As recently as 2012, he posted a 147 OPS+. And money doesn't really appear to be a problem for the Dodgers so I doubt they're all that eager to unload Kemp's contract right now.
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They greatly surpassed my expectations in December. Now that we've seen no action since that point, my excitement has dwindled a bit. Overall, the team has exceeded my expectations. I don't mind that they've been idle for the past month. This offseason has been pretty odd with so much stalling as everyone seems to wait on Tanaka. If the offseason ended today, I'd be positive about it but I won't be truly excited unless they pick up a bat before the end of February. Ryan did a great job with the pitching staff but the offense still needs help.
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Revised opening day lineup
Brock Beauchamp replied to Marta Shearing's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Byron Buxton is not Mike Trout and the Twins are not the Angels. Which is fine, both strategies have their merits. But I do not see a scenario where Buxton is in Minnesota before September. -
Well, I know that much about him. Just curious about who these similar players were to Brooks.
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I'm curious about this. Could you elaborate? I never saw Robinson play but only heard people rave about him, which makes sense given his absurd 78 career WAR.
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Article: Elephant in the Room: Sano's Elbow
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Except for that time it didn't happen to Alex Meyer and everyone predicted it would. -
It's in the More Baseball thread now. Pop into that forum and you'll see it.
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Let's be honest here. Puckett was a first ballot sympathy vote. An extremely talented player that everybody loved, a guy who had one of the most memorable WS moments in history, a guy whose career was cut short at age 36 when he was still a very productive player. At his peak, Puckett was an incredible player. Do his counting stats warrant a HoF vote? No, they probably don't... But voters took into consideration that his career was cut short by as many as three productive seasons and voted for him anyway. There's your difference. Jack Morris had a full, productive career. Puckett had three-quarters of a career before retiring due to glaucoma. But was Morris the best player of his generation? He was the most durable, sure. But the best? It's hard to make that argument. At any given moment in Morris' career, there was somebody else in the limelight, whether it was Hershiser, Saberhagen, Clemens, or Gooden.
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Reggie Jackson had the same batting average as Ozzie Smith. Obviously, we should keep him out of the Hall for that.
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To be fair, almost every HoF pitcher has a similar career arc. Except that Morris' peak wasn't great. It was very good. He never posted an ERA+ over 133. He had six seasons of 120 or better ERA+. Sure, that's a good pitcher. But if you look through the career of almost any HoF guy, his peak is going to be better than that. Blyleven, for example, had six seasons of 140 or better ERA+ and a whopping 13 seasons of 120 or better ERA+. Johan also had six seasons of 140 or better ERA+. That's a dominant peak of a career. Morris had a typical decline, sure... But almost all guys have a similar career arc if they pitch in the league for 15+ seasons. Morris' peak wasn't that good and his corresponding decline was similar. No matter where you look in his career, he was 10-20% less dominant than what we think of as a typical "Hall of Fame" pitcher.
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Yep, the game was pure... As pure as the snow Daryl Strawberry was doing off the backs of strippers in the clubhouse. 1980s baseball was a lot of fun to watch. More fun than the 90s slugfest, that's for sure... But it was a tainted game. Baseball has always been a tainted game.
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Which I think is a fine argument if you want to heavily weight his postseason heroics. The Hall of Fame means different things to different people. Some believe that crunchtime single game performances are enough to put "pretty good" guys into the Hall. But the argument that he was a HoF pitcher during the regular season just doesn't hold water by any standard past "he sure pitched a lot of pretty okay innings".
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I know that when I think of the glory days of baseball, the first thing that springs into my head is... The 1980s?
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Untrue. Read this article. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1815 There is no such thing as "pitching to the scoreboard". Morris simply wasn't very good at preventing runs. Full stop.
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Revised opening day lineup
Brock Beauchamp replied to Marta Shearing's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'd put the chances of Byron Buxton being on the MLB roster in August at... (carrying the one in my head)... 1%. It's just not going to happen, folks. The guy hasn't even played in AA yet. Be patient. -
Jack Morris led the league in IP once in his career. Let's not confuse durability with greatness.
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Well, he grew a pretty sweet 'stache.
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If you don't like WAR, then take a gander at Morris' ERA+ of 105. Yep, over the course of his career, Jack Morris was barely above league average at preventing runs from scoring. Some luminaries that have a higher career ERA+ than Jack Morris: (you know what, the list is so comically long that I'm just going to post the link) http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/earned_run_avg_plus_career.shtml
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Feel free to not discuss a topic you don't find interesting. There are going to be things some people want to talk about that don't interest you.
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The numbers do tell the entire story. Jack Morris was a pitcher whose career is comparable to Charlie Hough, Jamie Moyer, and players of that ilk. Very good pitchers who pitched for a very long time but were not consistently dominant. And that's fine. I'm not taking anything away from Morris, particularly his postseason accomplishments. He was a very good pitcher. Not a great one, unless you want to really weight his postseason accomplishments. During the regular season, he was merely a good pitcher. And for the record, I watched many games pitched by Jack Morris. The difference is that I'm not letting a handful of games distort my view of who he was as a pitcher.
