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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Trading Vargas in the future might make sense. Right now, it would be premature and a terrible trade because I think his value is only going to rise in the next 12-24 months. Vargas had a good season but he wasn't a heralded prospect coming through the minors. Opposing GMs are going to be reluctant to loot the farm in trade and for good reason.
  2. Nah, the season is over because we've reached the ten game mark and the Twins are under .500.
  3. Whether the law is a big deal or not, it's stupid. And I try to avoid supporting stupid legislation or politicians that support stupid legislation. The law is actually a *really* good example of political ineptitude with a dose of corruption mixed in for good measure (or, at the very least, putting the constituency's desires behind donors' pocketbooks). There's no reason this law should exist. There's no defensible position to support this law that stays within the bounds of common sense. Which makes it a good litmus test of your local politician. Mine voted in favor of Sunday sales. How did your politician vote? Look it up and react accordingly.
  4. Sure, but those religions don't have enough political sway in Minnesota to impact much of anything. In no way am I suggesting that other religions are somehow more enlightened than Christians.
  5. Yep. Yep. Yep. There is no harm caused to anyone by selling on Sunday unless you jump feet-first into the quagmire of state-enforced religious ideals promoted by some Christians.
  6. If a liquor store owner wants to stay closed on Sunday, more power to them. Having the state dictate to them that they need close on Sundays is idiotic. I don't understand the issue here... Liquor store owners would see a sales increase were they to open on Sundays. Why are some rejecting extra money? Close on Monday if you want a day off (or whatever is their slowest sales day). Or stay closed on Sunday, I don't care... But the option to remain open should be in the owner's hands, not the state.
  7. If you can find a single example of a baseball team digging into a player's life to the extent of rooting through his trash before signing the player, I will concede that my statement is "naive". Good luck with that. "Signing a contract in good faith" does not mean skipping research into a player. It means you don't dig deeply into areas where there are no reasons to expect a problem (eg. digging extensively into the drug history of a player who has never been linked to drug use). EVERY contract ever signed has a "good faith" element to it because not everything can be known about another person. You do what you can to mitigate risk but if the other person is devious and clever enough, you WILL get screwed.
  8. This is absurd. Are you honestly advocating the Twins to start rifling through free agents' garbage before signing anyone? This is not on the Twins. They signed a contract in good faith and were taken by a cheater (presuming Santana's story isn't on the up-and-up, I personally have a hard time believing he didn't know what he was taking). The problem here is that baseball contracts are too iron clad... Any breach of contract of this magnitude should allow the team to terminate the contract. One can't expect an employer to rifle through a guy's past so deeply that they uncover possible drug use when that guy has never been associated with drugs in the past. Either Santana just started taking these drugs, which deflects any potential blame away from the Twins, or he's so wily that several teams missed the fact that he's a PED user (after all, Ervin Santana played for three different teams from 2012-2014... If the Twins are somehow culpable then so are the Angels, Royals, and Braves).
  9. I haven't heard this info either but if my hazy memory is correct, testing is done just before Spring Training games begin (sometime in late February or very early March).
  10. That's fair. I think it's reasonable to expect marginal improvement from Gibson this season. Personally, I don't expect anything dramatic but just a bit more consistency from start to start could pay big dividends over the course of a season.
  11. I didn't think the disparity between the two eras and leagues was that large but yeah.
  12. If you can't see a grating different between endless optimism versus endless pessimism, I don't know what to tell you. Once is like being hit with a foam mallet. The other is like getting hit with a real mallet. Both are irritating but only one of them makes you want to turn around and punch the mallet bearer straight in the face. Whether the negative nellies like it or not, negativity will attract more attention because it's negative and to some extent, negativity is expressed to stir controversy. Everyone, at one point or another, gets tired of reading never-ending pages of negativity and pessimism, not to mention that negativity is more likely to draw moderator ire after a prolonged stretch of time. It's human nature to notice dissent over agreement.
  13. I have no idea what to expect from Neil Allen past "he likes changeups". It's going to be an interesting study throughout the season.
  14. Dude... The very next sentence is: "Then again, Gibson has some basis for this, skill-wise. His four-seam fastball, which he threw 19.5% of the time in 2014, induced a popup in an incomparable* 15.8% of all balls in play." Followed by: "Gibson utilized his four-seamer entirely differently than he did any other pitch, and he uncoincidentally saw entirely different results from it. Sure, it didn't get him too many ground balls — 40.5% worm burners, only marginally better than average — but the weak contact he generated from avoiding the zone compensated for that. If he continues to execute in this manner, the infield fly balls shouldn't disappear."
  15. He won't need to miss many more bats to turn the corner. If Gibson can strike out seven guys per nine, he's basically Brandon Webb with slightly less groundball tendencies. That doesn't make him good, that probably makes him one of the best pitchers in the league. We can't apply the same strikeout thinking to groundball pitchers. If Gibson has even a respectable strikeout rate, that makes him a very good pitcher because groundball guys don't need to miss bats as often as their flyball counterparts.
  16. Fascinating article. That IFFB situation is the type of thing that is missed by most stats but looks to be a repeatable skill, at least to some extent. It's interesting that Gibson is such a groundball-heavy pitcher but can turn to another pitch and create essentially the exact opposite effect.
  17. Matt Garza is the same ticking time bomb yet continues to be a good starter. I wasn't entirely sold on the Santana signing when it happened but now that he's been busted for steroids, I'm not going to ex postfacto my argument to make me look better and the Twins worse. Ervin Santana has been an MLB player for a decade. First, he should know better than to take something that might contain banned substances (provided he didn't do it on purpose) and second, there's no friggin' way the Twins are expected to know that a guy who has been in the league for a decade and has never been busted for PEDs is, in actuality, a PED risk. There is one person to blame for this Ervin Santana situation: ERVIN SANTANA. This forum and some of the posters on it drive me up the wall some days. There are plenty of reasons to be frustrated with the front office right now, you don't need to go manufacture reasons that involve Terry Ryan being a psychic, soothsayer, and reader of &^%$ing tea leaves. Argh blargh. I'm glad I'm leaving the continent for two weeks tomorrow.
  18. There are plenty of "real" fans on the board. Please refrain from trying to start some bizarre competition about who's the superest super fan of them all.
  19. 3.73 and 3.53 in the NL. 3.92 and 3.63 in the AL. Going from memory of a few minutes ago so numbers might be a touch off.
  20. Absolutely. As I said in my first post, my comments were not meant to invalidate your overall point about Santana, just that I didn't like the use of "below average" in that context.
  21. My underlying point is that using ERA+ to determine an "average starter" isn't fair because ERA+ is skewed by lower reliever ERAs. An ERA+ of 100 is all pitchers, not just starters. Add in the lower ERAs of relievers and the "average" number of 100 is a touch unfair to starters, who have a higher ERAs. ERA+ is a better stat than ERA. I won't argue that point, only its use to determine "average" when talking about either a reliever or a starter. For example, a starter that posts an ERA+ of 98 is likely above average as a starter, particularly if he pitches in the AL. All those relievers are skewing ERA+ to make that starter look slightly below average when that almost certainly is not the case.
  22. This is not invalidating your point but I've seen ERA+ used in this fashion in the past and it always bothers me. An ERA+ of 92 is not necessarily below average for a starter. The NL ERA of starters last year was 3.73 in 1400 innings. The NL ERA of relievers last year was 3.53 in 720 innings. The NL ERA of all pitchers last year was 3.66. So, while Santana was probably a touch under league average in ERA+, the "average starter" in the NL was probably an ERA+ in the 96-ish range, not 100. Santana was in the "close enough" range where I'd consider him a league average starter in 2014. The split was more dramatic in the AL last season, about .30 ERA difference between starters and relievers. I assume this is because NL starters get to face pitchers at the plate while relievers face more pinch-hitters.
  23. This is the sticking point for me. Pelfrey wasn't fully stretched out, either. I suspect this was a "make Mike Pelfrey happy" decision, not a "good baseball" decision and that irritates the hell out of me.
  24. Putting Mike Pelfrey in the rotation might be the right call from an intellectual standpoint - though I'm far from convinced that's the case - but from a fan emotional standpoint, I never wanted to see Mike Pelfrey make another start for the Twins and I certainly didn't want to see him make starts in April.
  25. Aaron Thompson? I need a drink.
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