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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm all for May getting a grace period to ease into the pen. The thing is, he had a grace period. A quite long one, actually. Has it been a month? Gotta be close at this point.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I didn't realize Kazmir is from Houston. Good catch.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, absolutely... I'm just surprised that Beane didn't get a higher profile (but still low minors) prospect from Houston in the deal. I don't think it's a bad deal from either side, just an interesting one.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, yeah, heh. But it got its name from the ease that one could send a ball out of the park (or at least out of left field). Of course, when that nickname was given, the Astros had roughly 17 hitters on their roster who could send the ball out of the park 40 times a season.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I haven't looked up its adjusted numbers in years but it used to be referred to as "the Juice Box". IIRC, it's about 75 ft down the left field line. But, again, I haven't looked up its numbers in years. Ballpark adjustments are such a tricky thing to evaluate, as it's hard to compensate for one team playing 100% of its innings on either defense or offense.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I definitely realize SSS applies here but were I the Houston GM, I would have leveraged that number to drive down the price. After seeing what they gave up for Kazmir, I think it's likely Houston did just that. In no way am I questioning the Kazmir deal. At that price, that's a no-brainer decision for a team in contention. You roll the dice on Scott in that situation every time, even if your home park is Minute Maid.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't get the Hamels talk. I just don't. The Twins rotation is fine. Yeah, it's not terribly impressive but it's good enough. On the other hand, shortstop, catcher, and the bullpen are dumpster fires. Why take a position of relative strength and try to make it stronger when you have so much to gain at other positions by picking up a competent player? The Twins don't need a Cole Hamels equivalent at short to improve by a game or two through September. They just need someone who doesn't suck. It seems to me that people get too infatuated with a name and the idea of an "ace" at the expense of forgetting that baseball is a team game. Improve the team where you most need it, don't buy into a name. Cole Hamels does not bring the Twins' bullpen, shortstop, and catcher positions above replacement level.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm fine with keeping Berrios in Rochester because he has been a dedicated starter for 3+ years now. Let him stay focused on starting and don't disrupt his learning process. If you want to use him as a reliever, let him glide into that role slowly next spring. But Duffey, he spent a lot of time as a reliever. He knows the process. You can get that guy up to speed in a hurry and if you refuse to call up somebody like Oliveros, there's no valid reason not to go with Tyler because something needs to be done.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed completely, which is why I think the Twins, at best, play .500 ball from here on out. I'm less interested in the 2015 playoffs than I am seeing meaningful progression to set up 2016 and beyond. Don't get me wrong, I want the Twins to make the playoffs, but it won't break my heart if they miss October by a few games. I look at the 2015 squad and see a ton of potential but not a lot of real, tangible talent today. Make a few small moves, improve the team, and hope things break right over the next two months. If something like Tulo falls into your lap, make that move but keep your focus on 2016-2018. Don't give up valuable assets for rental players, especially relievers. Trading valuable players for relievers is a good way to make sure you keep losing for a long, long time. All but the best relievers are so volatile that you may as well flip a coin to predict future performance.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Nobody wants 3 1/2 years of Ervin Santana at the trade deadline. It's that simple, really. That doesn't mean it's a bad contract, he's not worth the money, or anything of the sort... But nobody picks up that contract at the deadline.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I never fully agreed with the May demotion but accepted that it might work if applied correctly. It has not been applied correctly. That's really all I need to say about it.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    We're all being respectful, it's cool. One last reason why I didn't mind the Hunter signing over some other possible years: one-year deal. If Ryan pursued another younger option, he probably has to buy 2-3 years of that player. Given the Twins' organizational makeup (and how well the outfield has turned out this season), that wasn't in the Twins' best interests. But anyway, that's about all I have to say about Torii Hunter. So, back to Sano and Arcia.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    But if we rewind to February, this was the OF situation: 1. Hicks was horrible 2. Arcia couldn't stay on the field (and still can't) 3. Rosario was coming off a pedestrian season in AA 4. Buxton was coming back from injury (and is injured again) 5. Robinson (LOL) That's five question marks and zero confidence. I can't fault Ryan for picking up an established vet on a one-year deal, even if they vastly overpaid for him. And it's not like Hunter has been anything close to bad. He's currently at 1.2 WAR and is a part of the reason why the Twins are in Wild Card contention. Overall, it has worked out, though it's time to start considering a platoon role for Torii, if only to keep him fresh through September and hopefully October.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't mind the Hunter signing because he was an insurance policy after two seasons of badly needing an insurance policy in the outfield. The signing was fine, stubbornly refusing to play the youngsters in an attempt to improve in July is not.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    But, again, is he improving in Rochester? Arcia isn't walking down there, nor is he probably being selective, because he doesn't have to be. It was a long time ago when AAA became nothing more than "see pitch, destroy pitch" to Oswaldo. Here are his AAA OPS numbers. 2013: 1.020 2014: .962 2015: .769 after a horrendous start coming back from injury, 1.030 in July That's not a guy who's going to learn anything in AAA, in my opinion. He could slam a bottle of Tequila an hour before the game and still probably go 2-4 with a single and homer. If Oswaldo is going to improve, it's probably going to happen when he faces the best players in the world.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I think this has been really overblown on Twins Daily. Yeah, Arcia strikes out a lot. That's who he is and that's who we knew he'd be coming out of the minors. It's a problem but it's not one he's going to fix in the minors because every time he goes down there, he just tees off on AAA pitching. I don't see him learning much down there because he's obviously too good for the competition. As for his discipline, he has an entirely respectable .062 isoD in 853 MLB PAs. That's probably better than either Eddie Rosario or Danny Santana will post at the height of their careers given their swing-happy trajectory. Oswaldo's plate discipline is just fine. I hope it improves but it's not devastating if it doesn't, provided he tears the cover off the ball when he manages to make contact.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, he has an OPS of 1.030 in July and has hit 8 HR in 19 games. He's scuffled a bit over his past handful of games but that's hardly a reason to keep him down. Also, that 86 wRC+ is only 65 PAs this season. Last season, it was 109. The previous season, 102.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not worried about Arcia's offensive game. He has 850 MLB PAs. I'd *like* to get him into the lineup on a daily basis but he has the experience where I no longer think that is necessary. We need to remember that Arcia keeps bouncing between Minnesota and the minors because of injuries, not offensive incompetence. He's not Aaron Hicks, who needed to play every day because there was a critical flaw in his game. Arcia is a decent - maybe good - bat who is terrible in the outfield. That's not going to change much, in my opinion. And his bat is good enough to be in Minnesota right now. He established that a long time ago.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It's an interesting question but the several years of data required is to evaluate a single player. Over the aggregate, one year should be adequate to rate the current defensive ability of MLB. I think both metrics are flawed but have their place in today's game. They're a good counterpoint to what we watch on a daily basis.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Who said Sano wouldn't be playing almost every day? He's going to get some reps at third as the season winds down. That opens up the DH spot for Arcia on occasion. Put Sano at third against the occasional righty (flyball pitcher on the mound is preferred), give Trevor a break, and slide Arcia into the DH spot. Personally, I'd almost strictly platoon Hunter/Arcia but that's just not going to happen. Veteran deference and all that. I'll be satisfied if Oswaldo spells Hunter once a week. Twice would be amazing.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think he'll be better than Sano but he'd be nice insurance if it came to that. Miguel is going to suffer through some rough patches in the next couple of months. It'd be nice to have a competent bat to spell him when that happens. As for the corner, I don't see Arcia being a worse option than what Torii Hunter has been for the past 6-8 weeks. They're both defensively incompetent to some degree and Arcia is young and fresh at the plate. I think spelling Hunter in right improves the RF situation quite a bit. Arcia should be decent against righties and rest should help Hunter get back into his game.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I've heard that if you say the word "bunt" within 20 feet of Oswaldo Arcia, he punches you in the face, breaks a bat over his knee, and strikes out in his next at-bat just because he can.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. It's a different form of the Santana/Escobar argument. Yeah, it'd be nice to have great players at every position... but the Twins aren't even using the best assets they have on hand. Will Arcia be Miggy Cabrera? No, but he'll be better than Shane Robinson. Will Escobar be Tulowitzki? No, but he'll be better than Danny Santana. And that's what matters when every win is crucial down the stretch.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Arcia wouldn't be starting if I was manager. He'd spot Hunter and Sano at RF/DH and get the occasional start against a righty in place of Rosario. He'd be a roving bat that spent at least half his time on the bench. I'd like to get Arcia more playing time than that but the Twins are in contention. They have better players at his natural position... but that doesn't mean he can't have value if used wisely. And boy, how nice would it be to have Arcia coming off the bench in a one run game with a runner on second base?
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Frankly, I don't really care about Arcia's MiLB numbers unless they're horrific. The kid has 850 MLB PAs of 100 OPS+ hitting. The Twins could use that right now.
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