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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. All of this, though I'm not particularly in love with Kepler. I think he's making a good case to sell in an org with too many outfielders. I'm all for improvement to keep the door open but this team isn't particularly good, IMO, and it can't really be fixed in a single deadline. Try to stay relevant but don't try to force the issue by trying to turn this team into something it isn't (dominant).
  2. I think the takeaway here is that it's a bit unreasonable to call a team soft after they've spent most of the season over performing in almost every capacity. Starting a road trip against two tough teams and going 1-3 doesn't change that.
  3. No, but he's not unlike Mauer in that his value drops like a stone the moment he can no longer play a premium position. Not to mention that it creates positional issues on a team that already has Joe Mauer on it. And that's a real risk for a shortstop signed through his age 35 season. His bat should carry to another position but it won't carry particularly well unless he stays over .800 and I'm not sure that's a reasonable expectation.
  4. I don't really have any concerns about his bat. I think he's a .820, maybe .840 hitter in Target Field. That's pretty awesome. My concerns revolve around defense and health. His health is an immediate concern but the defense should be fine for a year or two. My major concerns revolve around 2017-2018. All one has to do is look at Joe Mauer or Albert Pujols previous to this year's Renaissance to see how badly things can go after 30.
  5. I don't know when the decline phase will come either but it significantly raises the risk of the deal. If 2015 Tulo is the Tulo going forward, he needs to hit better than Brian Dozier to sustain the greatness he had in years past. He isn't hitting that level offensively this season, either... He has the talent to do it but each question mark raises the risk of the deal.
  6. Good catch on the partial seasons. I forgot to equate for that. But either way, he's not the defensive player he was earlier in his career. It's likely he will become below average defensively relatively soon.
  7. Nor do I. On that we agree. The only rational explanation I can devise is that Trevor is in a dead arm phase and they're not telling anyone. Every other rationalization is bizarre.
  8. There are a few flaws in this argument. 1. I never said May would be in the rotation at the ASB. 2. I've gone on the record saying I wouldn't have taken him out of the rotation. I merely said May in the pen might not be a disaster if he's used in high leverage situations. 3. Who said the Twins FO isn't capable of mistakes? I've been hammering them over the pen and SS for months now.
  9. Kepler isn't great but he looks like he's going to profile as a solid MLB regular. That has value. He's 22 years old and tearing up AA.
  10. I'm actually okay with Nunez being the futility guy. I don't really like it but it doesn't make my stomach turn. I would have swapped Santana for Arcia quite some time ago. Arcia can spot-start in left, DH some, and spell Hunter in RF on occasion. It makes way too much sense and I cannot understand why it wasn't done a few weeks ago.
  11. I was thinking more like Gibson + Kepler but YMMV.
  12. I think everyone here can agree on one thing: Danny Santana should not be the starting SS on the Minnesota Twins. Whether he's replaced by Tulowitzki or a cardboard cutout of Deanna Troi is another argument entirely.
  13. I have my doubts about this team as a whole. But I know that making the staff considerably worse isn't going to improve their chances in October.
  14. I'd be shocked if Trevor May isn't in the rotation by the end of August.
  15. Where did I say anything about an ace? One thing I do know is that you're not going to find a "mythical ace" or anything resembling such a thing by trading your best starting pitcher. And how do the Twins get that "mythical ace" when they've committed $20m to Tulo and lost their best starter? Your argument is illogical.
  16. I don't know about anyone else in this thread but I was working under the assumption that Gibson straight up for Tulo wasn't even a consideration. My assumption was Gibson + stuff for Tulo.
  17. Yep. I don't see the point of acquiring a player who costs a lot and has reached his peak at the expense of a cheap player who appears to be reaching his peak. I'm not against acquiring Tulo but I have my doubts... But not if it costs the Twins a valuable player who is contributing to the 2015 squad. I don't see how people envision a Twins team that wins this October without Gibson starting the first or second game of the series.
  18. I mean "interchangeable" as in "one of those players should be removed for the other". A playoff rotation of Gibson, Hughes, May, whatever is vastly superior to a playoff rotation of Hughes, May, whatever, whatever and I don't see how that's even debatable. Having Pelfrey or Milone in a playoff rotation is questionable. Having both of them in a playoff rotation is begging for a quick exit.
  19. And that's fair but Gibson has steadily become a better player since he entered the rotation in 2013. The recent stats are more indicative of his ability than older stats. He even showed this ability in 2014 but lacked consistency. His 2014 season was marked with insane fluctuations. Going from memory, he started about 30 games. In ~15 of those games, he allowed 2 ER or less. In ~10 of those games, he allowed 5 ER or more. In 75% of his starts, he was either stellar or horrible. That's a player you mark for improvement going forward. You don't ignore the career stats but you take them with a grain of salt.
  20. That's what happens when the team continues to run out a -1.7 WAR player when they have a better option riding the pine.
  21. Except that's not the issue. Gibson and May aren't interchangeable. Milone/Pelfrey and May are interchangeable.
  22. No, he's not. I like Phil Hughes - I like him a lot - but he's getting by on smoke and mirrors lately. His K% is a full 7.5% lower than his 2014 mark and is 3% lower than Kyle Gibson's, yet Gibson is the "mediocre starter" according to some around here.
  23. I thought the point was to win in 2015. Are we writing off 2015? The way I see it, the Twins have almost no shot at winning in October with a rotation led by Trevor May and a bullpen with more holes than the Edmund Fitzgerald. The bullpen can be shored up a bit but it'd need to rival KC's pen to overcome that rotation. And that simply isn't going to happen.
  24. He's been King people for over two months now. His season line is tainted by really bad peripherals in April. He hasn't been that pitcher for 2 1/2 months.
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