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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Two thoughts: 1. That photo is shocking. I don't think the guy can get much smaller than that without losing muscle. It doesn't appear there's much fat on that body right now. 2. Albeit a year late, I'm glad Sano and the Twins agreed on a position during the offseason and let the guy get in some reps with a glove on his hand.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    It started when Reagan told the FCC to eliminate the Media Fairness Doctrine in 1987. It started with talk news. Fox News took it to a new level. And that paved the way for the Breitbarts of the world. It's a sad state of affairs.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Is the like button missing or just inoperable? What OS and browser are you using?
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd love to hear your thoughts on keys to the city for local municipalities.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    STFU. Billy Martin.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, initially my wife wanted to look at a 30 year loan and after about five minutes on a calculator, I said "nopenopenope" and we decided to go with an affordable house on a 15 year loan. Not only does it mean I pay about 60% of the interest of a 30 year, we got a .75% lower rate than a 30 year fixed. We're five years into the loan and last year, interest consumed just 17% of our payments. The other 83% went straight to principal (excluding taxes from those numbers, of course).
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I understand all that, I was just pointing out the massive discrepancies in salary for the same person that exist in sports but few other professions. A top-of-the-class attorney may start out at $150k but it's not like they'll jump to $20m in a few years. My example of material cost was a bad one (was on my phone at the time). My general point is that sports don't have to be run exactly like a typical business because of the fluidity of sports. In typical business, there are few examples of a company saying "screw it, let's be really bad at our jobs for awhile!" or "I don't care what it costs, I want to beat the competition, even if we lose money doing it." No sports teams can run like that indefinitely but unlike many other businesses, they can take that attitude over the short- or even mid-term. If your industry allows you to occasionally be irrational with your allocation of funds, it makes sense to maximize that irrationality to achieve your goal more easily.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    But sports' labor expense isn't a typical labor expense. It's closer to a materials expense. In no other industry does a person go from a $500k expense to a $35m expense in 6-7 years. And in few other industries is the labor the actual product. Sports don't work in pure business terms. There's a lot of overlap but they're not the same.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I realize that, but pro sports are something of an exception to pure business concerns, as they sometimes diminish the importance of profit or they view it differently. Put in different terms, a front-loaded contract could be considered more along the lines of R&D than traditional operating expense.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I say it every year but I'd like to see a team push for a more front-loaded contract. Not entirely front-loaded, just a little more so than most contracts. Think of the difference it could make to the 2020-2022 Twins if you could give Sano or Buxton $6-8m more per year in 2017-2019 if it meant you got them for $20m a season instead of $25m-30m per season through their 2021-2023 campaigns. You're looking at around $15m extra per season, which will equate to a stop-gap starting player or a couple of decent bullpen pieces. And I have a hard time seeing either Buxton or Sano readily turn down making $9m next season instead of just $500k or $1m.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know if I'd be more eager to see a Kepler or Sano extension. Sano will likely be a more valuable player but I think Kepler could be had on the cheap. Buxton isn't really on my radar right now. He'd want a lot of money - far beyond his performance to this point - and I'd lock down Sano before considering Buxton. Sano has a lower ceiling but much higher floor (ie. it's unlikely Sano will be out of baseball or a bench bat any time soon).
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    No arguments from me, I just think it's a bit early to show concern. If radical roster changes don't happen on the fly in the first half of the season, I'll begin to show concern. If obvious trades need to happen at the deadline and don't, I'll become more concerned. If we see another slow offseason in 10 months, then I'll be legitimately concerned. Falvey and Levine have a lot on their plate. I have no idea what order they're tackling their biggest concerns (or even the order of their concerns). Time (and action) will begin to tell more of a story.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    If a deal of that kind can be found, I'd jump all over it... But I'm skeptical a team out there is that interested in Polanco or Rosario. I just don't see much of a market for those guys, particularly Rosario. A team like Tampa likely glances at his swing rate and contact rate and immediately says to the Twins: http://www.blinkydog.com/wp-content/uploads/Dogs-Do-Not-Want-2.jpg
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Kepler is the only guy I see on the roster that approaches anything near max value right now. Sano had a down year. Buxton is still a big question mark. Rosario is who he is. Polanco is intriguing but out of options and was never that highly regarded by analysts. I don't see much of a return for him. And I'm not ready to get rid of Kepler. I think he's been an underrated guy for quite some time and is likely to end up better than his projections. It's great to say "make moves!" and I'd like to see some roster action... But it's a lot harder to say it when you start putting rubber on the road. Who do you move? And what other problems does that cause in future seasons? The Twins were a 59 win team with one of the youngest rosters in baseball. It shouldn't surprise any of us that they don't have a lot of max value guys right now.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    My wife and I took a combination of a safe bet along with fortuitous timing and luck. We bought in 2011, right as the market bottomed out. We bought a cheap house in North Minneapolis - coming from Long Beach, the idea of NoMi didn't worry me and my wife was born here - and should have the house paid off 10-12 years after we bought it. I came damned close to buying not only during the housing peak but almost did it in Los Angeles. That would have been disastrous, as housing prices in CA literally dropped 50% within a one year period. At first, we considered selling this house and upgrading to another house either on Victory Memorial Parkway or in Bryn Mawr but I doubt that will happen now. The allure of being mortgage-free in 5-6 years is too appealing to resist, I think. Instead, we'll just continue to upgrade this house. We have some additional room to expand in the basement so I doubt we'll outgrow this place, provided we stay somewhat frugal with our desire to buy all the stuffs.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it's frustrating to have so little information on something we care so much about. We were used to the old front office and how they operated but we have no idea what's happening in the current front office or what to expect on Opening Day. I merely hope it's not more of the same, though given Falvey's pitching success in Cleveland and Levine's involvement with an aggressive Rangers front office, I don't believe that will be the case.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Same here, but we all know the situation that played out this offseason. The Twins had one legitimate trade piece from their pool of position players: Brian Dozier. They spent a month trying to trade the guy and it didn't work out. Dunno whose fault that was but it didn't work out. Once that attempt fell flat, what options remained? They could have traded Santana but that doesn't help their pitching staff, it actually weakens them. They could have traded a prospect or two but, again, it's unlikely that would help in 2017. Meanwhile, the former front office left Falvey with a raging cluster**** of a roster. They have five-ish marginal young arms and a few established vets, one coming off injury. They retained another marginal arm, probably as a safety net. I don't blame the front office for what happened with the rotation this offseason because it was a bad situation. My hope is that they aggressively pare down the bad situation throughout the season, something we didn't see with the Ryan front office. If Santiago is awful, release him. If Duffey even hints at looking bad, demote him and get him bullpen innings. If May flounders, relegate him back to the pen. If Gibson is terrible, consider an outright release. While I can't blame the new front office for inheriting a bad situation, I will blame them if they don't take action to clean out what caused that bad situation as quickly as possible.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Are they, though? They had one legitimate shot to improve the rotation: Jose De Leon. That didn't work out and we don't know who to blame for that non-move. Given the complete lack of options in free agency, I can't blame this front office for preferring to run with the likes of Gibson, Berrios, May, Meija, Duffey, et al. In my opinion, those guys have the same chance of success as anyone on the free agent pitching market and they're all cheap and controlled (excluding Santiago). I'm a bit disappointed in the complete lack of action in the bullpen, though. But I'll wait it out and see if they have a plan for Opening Day.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a really interesting way to look at it. I think I agree. If you're trying to win it all in 2017, I may rather have Forsythe and Stewart than Dozier alone. But it's close either way.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I have enough shares to make a difference to me - 70 or 80, I think - but I decided to hold out for their earnings report. After that, there's a good chance I'll bail if I can decide *where* to bail. Well, about half of those shares, anyway. I'm not ready to give up on Apple entirely. Not yet, anyway.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I fully agree the phone he tweets from should be securely in the hands of someone else.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I meant top 50 overall prospect. Pitching slipped in there somehow.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That's why I added "Final judgment on De Leon will take time." at the end of the statement. But a bad start to his career at 24 years old drops his stock and it drops it a lot. De Leon is somewhat old-ish for a top 50 pitching prospect graduating to MLB. http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/top-100-prospects/#qfCshjziGkwLKoQD.97 On BA's preseason prospect list from last season, only three prospects in the top 50 were 24 years or older. Seven in the top 100 were 24 years or older. Plenty of people have questions about Berrios because he pitched 55-ish bad innings as a 22 year old.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Jim Jefferies is awesome. His bit on America and guns is hilarious.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, this. In 2016, a 17% K rate isn't only satisfactory, it leans toward the good side of things. As you said, we'd all like to see Gordon take more walks but if he's one of those guys who doesn't walk much because he's constantly making contact and legging it out, I can't complain too much about his walk rate. I *hate* that player when he's 29 years old and looking for an extension but I quite like him when he's 24 and a burner.
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