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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins sure fooled the Red Sox on Fernando Abad.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, yes, okay. They're going even deeper than my idea and that's a good thing. Instead of looking at team performance, they're isolating hit types.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    If this is true - and I'm not conceding it is - then park factor is mostly useless. The only way to properly calculate park factor is to use a wide range of seasons and compare them to other parks during the same year. For example, one would need to treat the seven years of Target Field nearly equally and Target Field can't be isolated; ie. 2010 Target Field needs to be offset by factors such as "how did the 2010 Indians play in Yankee Stadium, how did the 2010 Rangers play in Angel Stadium, etc." and equalize those numbers against how those same teams performed in 2010 Target Field. That's the only way I can think of to minimize home team influence on their own stadium.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Not only that but the Twins defense has grown worse as well. And the AL Central, their primary opponents, have gotten better.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I've noticed that trend over the past couple of years. After being an extreme pitcher's park in 2010, it seems Target Field has slowly evolved into a slightly hitter-friendly ballpark. Which doesn't make one damned bit of sense. To me, it brings into the question the validity of park adjustments. I can understand some fluctuation as the park plays for a few years but not a wild swing to "cannot hit homers here" to "hey, this place is on the hitter-friendly side of the scale". It can't be entirely coincidental that as the Twins field an incrementally worse and worse pitching staff, the park suddenly becomes "hitter friendly".
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I didn't take the batting number listed very seriously, more as a humorous take on the bullpen and the team's overall terribleness last season. The Twins offense was obviously better than 25th out of 30 teams. Their OPS fell right in the middle of the pack in the AL, IIRC.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    That's an interesting way to look at it considering both Park and Light fall under the "one-dimensional power" category, though obviously in very different ways.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, she survived. The end of the first season showed the sheriff putting waffles in a drop box in the woods.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    It was. It did a thing that makes me want to rewatch the show because I don't fully understand the mechanism that triggered it: In every single reveal, my wife and I figured it out between 3-15 minutes before it happened. Not far in advance, just a few minutes. We basically took turns going "AH! IT'S THIS PERSON!" It's a really enjoyable process. It removes the blindside of a reveal but gives great pleasure to the viewer as they "figure it out" and then it immediately rolls into the reveal to keep the suspense high. And I'm not sure exactly what they did to engage us that way (some times, anyway). The first Bernard revel was a gimme because of the door he couldn't see. The second was because of his child and the hint-dropping about cornerstones. But a few others I can't remember, such as the Wyatt reveal (which we figured out well in advance, actually, at least half of an episode). The writing was super-clever in that show (when it wasn't miring itself down unnecessarily, that is). The last two episodes of the season are basically a writing master class unto themselves.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Finally finished Westworld. It could have been 7 or 8 episodes instead of 10 but I can't complain too much. The last few episodes were throwing curveballs left and right and it was fun to just keep up with what was happening. The one flaw is the pacing. Too many dead spots in the show as it slows down for no apparent reason but the payoff is so good that it's worth the wait.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Touche.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, and what happens if Vielma posts a .400 OPS? You've just burned an option, retarded the guy's development a bit (as he'd be on the bench a lot instead of playing), and you're right back to the problem of not having an adequate defensive shortstop on the roster.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Given his age and velocity, he's the type of guy who can and possibly should be ushered right to the bigs. Unfortunately, the dude keeps getting injured. Relievers like Burdi don't have to learn three pitches and refine their command. They shouldn't be led along at a snail's pace as they were with the old front office. Not that I'm saying Burdi should be on the MLB roster right now, only that whether he dominated enough lower levels sufficiently shouldn't be the deciding factor. If the dude can throw it 98 over the plate and not walk every other batter, get him up here because, in case no one else has noticed, the bullpen is terrible.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    The Park move makes more sense now. The front office essentially swapped Light for Belisle and Park for Adrianza. It's nothing to get excited about but at least they're thinking about defense a little bit. And when your starting SS looks to be Jorge Polanco, a little defensive insurance isn't the worst idea.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I was just checking on that. I think you're right.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I feel the same way but bullpens tend to go nuts in Spring Training. There are so many injuries, starters rotating into the pen, and general madness that I don't get too worked up about the roster until we have an idea what it will look like. I wouldn't even rule out someone like Burdi coming to Spring Training, mowing down batters, and getting the nod on the Opening Day roster.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I see he wrote Bones but other than Fargo, I don't think I've seen anything he wrote. But his run on Fargo is enough to get me to tune in.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I had no idea Hawley was attached to Legion. Yes, please.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    wait wut omg
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    At first glance, I agree but if you look at Buxton's 2016 as a whole, he posted "solid starter" numbers in 92 games played. To be a solid starter, he needs to stabilize and repeat his 2016 over a full season. If he improves even modestly, he's a 4+ fWAR player.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I've watched a little over half the season. It's not bad but I wouldn't call it great. It's decent but kinda forgettable (thus far anyway). If you have the time, go ahead and watch it but don't go out of your way to do so.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    There are simply too many good shows on television to keep up with mediocrity any more. For example, The Expanse is much better than anything I've seen from Doctor Who in years. Same goes for Westworld, pretty much anything from Netflix that isn't Travelers, and a slew of other shows I haven't even seen.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I loved Dr Who through the first five seasons. I began to lose interest during the Matt Smith era. It was still okay and pretty watchable but by the time Capaldi came around, my interest had dropped to zero and I stopped watching it.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    You're right, 200 innings is overshooting the mark. Drop that number to 180 or so and the point is more valid. For example, the Cubs. Last season they had four starters throw over 180 innings and one throw over 160. The Twins leader in innings was Santana with 181. The next closest was Gibson with 147. The team needs a lot more than that to run with a seven man bullpen for most of the season.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    That works if you have a decent rotation and only occasionally need another reliever after one of your starters goes three innings. It doesn't work when you have starters going less than five innings multiple times a week, which will likely be a problem for the Twins this season. When you demote a guy, you can't recall him for ten days. What happens if another starter has a three inning outing two days after you demoted the guy? What happens when your starters go less than five innings four times in six games? It'd be damned near impossible to stash enough relievers on the 40 man to coordinate that kind of promotion/demotion madness. Again, I'd love to see a 12 man staff through an entire season... But the Twins don't have the arms to do it. They need to establish their starting corps before we can reasonably expect them to run with 12 pitchers for most/all of a season. As I mentioned earlier, only two pitchers on the Twins staff have pitched 200 innings in their career: Ervin Santana and Phil Hughes. Santana hasn't done it since 2013. Hughes hasn't done it since 2014. If you're going to run with a 12 man staff, a significant portion of your rotation needs to cross the 200 inning threshold.
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