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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I have not seen definitive information one way or the other but people are indicating that he did so I'm going from that limited information.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I think we're talking past each other a bit. I don't think it's foolish at all to believe it's unlikely Boyd lands in Minnesota. But when talking about the prospect haul required to get that kind of guy, the field narrows quickly. Out of MLB's top 100, only Houston can match the 7/13 Lewis/Kirilloff the Twins could offer... and if I was Detroit, that's the kind of package I'd look to front a deal of that magnitude. But anyway, I don't think it's foolish if Detroit declines Minnesota's theoretical offer if they believe they have a better package (or even equal, though I don't believe "equal" is something that should come up often in development circles) from someone else on the table, I only feel it's foolish if Detroit believes Minnesota's theoretical package is the best and declines because they play in the same division.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    There aren’t many teams that can offer a Royce Lewis. I’m saying it’s foolish to talk yourself out of taking the best deal because the other team is in your division. Take the best deal, period. I’m not saying the Twins would offer the best deal but I firmly believe in BP(s)A in this situation.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    On top of the numbers being against the move, this is what really made me go WTF. Best offense in baseball. Possibly the worst bullpen amongst contenders. What could possibly go wrong with playing for one run in the seventh inning?
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    So you care more about specific situations that pop up once every so often in literally one-half of a player's game than you care about the player's entire game? Besides, even if you buy into that weird viewpoint, Schoop's 2019 OPS (.781) is barely different than his 2019 RISP OPS (.761). And if you want to drill down into microscopic splits, he's crushing the ball with men on first and second with a .878 OPS. His OPS with men on base is .827. *shrugs shoulders and wanders off*
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Schoop is playing at roughly a 2 WAR level over a full season. That’s a perfectly adequate staring player in MLB.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Read the article. The run expectancy actually drops and that’s if you SUCCESSFULLY execute the bunt. Which Schoop did not. I don’t care if I change your mind or not, the numbers are clear. Bunting in that situation is a bad idea. Feel free to go with your gut, I’ll go with the numbers every time.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Not some magical moment, just the moment it makes sense to bunt when you want to win a baseball game. https://www.danblewett.com/run-expectancy-bunting-bad/ “Sac Bunt, 1st & 2nd to 2nd & 3rd This one is probably the biggest mistake of the three in youth baseball, because it reduces the team’s chances of having a BIG inning, and big innings often single-handedly win games. The reduction in run expectancy (RE) is only 0.06 runs, and so it basically wastes an out without improving the odds of scoring.”
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Here, let me google that for you. https://www.google.com/search?q=fangraphs.com+bunting&oq=fangraphs.com+bunting&aqs=chrome..69i64j69i60l2j69i57.8190j1j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Most/all MLB players should be competent bunters. On that, I agree. Where I disagree wildly is that it was a smart strategy last night because the numbers said it wasn't and I hope Baldelli goes back to his policy of playing the numbers. Bunting is useful on the rare occasion the numbers say it's a good idea to use (and that situation is more likely to pop up in the postseason where dropping a game unnecessarily can be devastating). Therefore, MLB players (outside of the best hitters in the lineup) should be at least marginally competent at laying down a bunt. But, again, being competent at bunting isn't the point most of us are arguing. We're saying it was a bad idea last night because it was a bad idea last night.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    That would be foolish of the Tigers but I wouldn't rule it out.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    No, based on math. That's why it was a bad decision. Baldelli plays the numbers the vast majority of the time, as he should. Because playing the numbers wins the most games over the course of a 162 game season. For some reason, he didn't play the numbers here and the strategy failed.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not "resting my laurels" on anything. The Twins had a rough series against the Royals and came away with the split. It happens over a 162 game season. The Astros are probably the best team in the league and they just got swept by the Cincinnati-freakin-Reds last week. It happens. Overall, the Twins are doing just fine against the Royals and that's what really matters.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins are 6-3 against the Royals this season.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I generally agree, but it's also why I don't rule out Stroman. Again, I don't like attaching myself to specific names. My real hope is that the front office goes and gets the guy they are most confident in going forward, price be damned (within reason, of course).
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    It was the seventh inning and the Twins have the highest-scoring offense in baseball. You don't play for a run in that situation. You try to take the lead, not tie the game. It's not the ninth inning. And despite giving away an out, what did the Twins do in that situation? They took the lead because Cruz hammering the effing ball, just like the rest of this lineup does on a near-nightly basis. Play for one run when you need one run to keep the game alive. Outside of that specific situation, you play for as many runs as possible.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    The Tampa Bay area appears to hate the Rays. It's not entirely the organization's fault; they can't corral paying "fans" into the stadium with guns.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    This is pretty unfair to the Rays. The Twins are playing every luck card possible for the past two games and just pounding the Rays' pitchers with absolute garbage hits. But hey, I'll take it.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Entire Rays pitching staff after Rosie hits *another* 0-2 pitch for a single: "What a dick."
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, at this point which slow-ass Twins player hasn't gotten a ridiculous infield single over the past two games?
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    This Arraez kid is aight.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I really thought they'd go into a tailspin after the loss of Friedman (and maybe a little bit with the loss of Maddon) but the organization hasn't missed a beat. It really says a lot about the top-to-bottom strength of their org.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    The 2019 Twins are now tracking slightly above their 2018 attendance numbers (24,569 to 24,489).
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I've been quite critical of Sano's inability to make contact. No freakin' way do I trade him for a rental. I'm critical because Miguel is capable of so much more, not because he's a bum.
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