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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    A series win buries Cleveland. A sweep buries them extra deep. It’s just too hard to gain 7.5-8.5 games with less than 20 to play, especially considering the two weeks of cupcake ball the Twins get to close the season.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    What would it take to permanently trade Bert for Kaat?
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    WHAT A ****ING THROW
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    HOLY ****
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope. Maybe Astudillo could step forward a bit, maybe Arraez can transfer more quickly, but Devers had them beat by almost a step.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. The play wasn’t even close.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    TIL Bogaerts’ arms are eight feet long.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Romo for the righties, Rogers for the lefty. Atta boy, Rocco.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    If Rogers comes out for the ninth and faces three righties, that is a massive failure of analytical management on Baldelli's part. Sure, Rogers has a good OPS against RHB but he has given up six home runs to them this season. Dyson has a similar split but Romo is markedly better. When every out matters like they do in the postseason, I'll be disappointed if Baldelli just rolls with a "he's our closer" mentality, especially because Rogers is left-handed and the Twins will likely face some truly nasty right-handed dominant lineups in the postseason.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, for sure. Someone has to show up in the next 12-24 months to complement Berrios. That person is hopefully Graterol with more on the way as we get a better idea of what's in the system.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    It depends on the situation. It’s unlikely that I’m going to use Rogers earlier than the seventh (because those LHB would be up again before the end of the game) and the bullpen is deeper in the postseason while fewer games are played in a week. That means I’d likely churn and burn relievers and use them for 1-2 outs, saving Rogers for later. On top of that, it's unlikely Rogers is asked to get 4+ outs, something he was asked to do quite a bit earlier in the season when his back-to-back stats started to really collapse. I find it equally likely that Rogers will be asked to get two outs as he’s asked to get four during the postseason because there’s so little reason to lean on him that hard in a pretty deep, lightly taxed, and more evenly-handed pen.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I think you might be expecting crazy-good results a little too quickly. Here are the Twins' AL FIP rankings by year: 2013: 12th 2014: 13th 2015: 9th 2016: 13th (Ryan retires) 2017: 11th (first Falvine season) 2018: 9th 2019: 3rd Obviously, 2020 will tell us if 2019 is an aberration or a trend and while Falvine inherited guys like Berrios, they also made some really savvy pickups in Odorizzi and Pineda at very little/no expense to the farm system. And Gibson was a kinda bad pitcher before they moved him on the rubber and changed his approach in late 2017 when he turned the corner and became a much better, more consistent pitcher. Sure, we'd all like to see more home-grown talent but three drafts isn't a ton of time to rebuild a farm system or implement new protocols for player development. Most recent GMs that have taken over bad teams and rebuilt their systems took roughly 4-5 years before they were fielding very good ballclubs.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. "Unlikely" is perhaps the better term. Looking over the schedule, the Yankees are playing several bad but not awful teams. But the biggest difference I see is home/road. After tonight, the Yankees have only six remaining home games against 15 road games. IIRC, their splits haven't been huge this year but not getting to play in that stadium has to hurt them some. And, like the Twins, it's equally as likely New York basically shuts it down and takes the final week of the season off.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Do you expect Rogers to pitch every postseason game? The Twins are likely to lose a few of those games and some won't be close (either in the W or L column, doesn't really matter). Back-to-back nights don't happen to a closer that often and it's less of a problem for the Twins because Rogers isn't a traditional closer. Say it's a back-to-back night. Two of the three hitters in the ninth are righties. Why would you use Rogers there anyway? Play the matchup, not the inning.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    The Yankees are also +2 in games played. While it’s possible they pass the Twins, it’s also very unlikely.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    You’d rather have Perez at $7.5m for one season than have Odorizzi for, say, $12m per season for two seasons? Yikes, no way. I choose Odorizzi 11 times out of 10 in that scenario.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think that's true. Minnesota is the better team, the rotation is just in shambles right this moment. The Twins can throw bullpen arms out there and keep it close, provided the starter doesn't give up a run per inning. But there's absolutely a danger of being swept. It can happen.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Gonna be a rough series with a bullpen game, then Berrios, then Perez. Get through 1-2 and I'll be okay with it. 2-1 would be a small miracle, IMO.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The good thing about this lead is just going 3-3 against Cleveland basically buries them.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I was wondering about that. I saw him trying to stretch to third and said “WHY?!?!!!” It was not a smart move, though he’s slow enough the run may have scored anyway. Still though, very little point in taking that risk just to reach third base.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins have one starter signed for next season and Odorizzi has been worth slightly more than 6 fWAR since coming to the Twins last season. Hell yes I find a way to keep that guy. Dunno if I QO him but it's not out of the question based on his demands.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, this is a *really good* one. With the win today, the 2019 Minnesota Twins are 33 games over .500. This is the most games over .500 the team has been since they were 34 games over .500 on... October 1st, 1970.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That... doesn't make sense.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    No. There are loads of reasons why a person can have bad dreams that extend beyond "turn the thermostat down". Anxiety and PTSD being two low-hanging fruit answers.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Honest question: what's the point of a 98mph two-seam? Traditionally, a two-seam drops but when thrown at 98mph, pitches don't drop.
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