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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Sure, so now one WAR is replacement level. Why not two WAR? Why not -1 WAR? -2 WAR? The literal definition of the phrase ceases to have meaning if you play that fast and loose with it. First off, a "replacement player" is not necessarily available. You could go from what is close to a guaranteed +1 WAR to a -1 WAR without blinking. Or maybe you'll get a +3 WAR, who the **** knows? The point is that a replacement player's value is centered around a number. Cron is better than that. Therefore, by the literal definition, he is not a "replacement level" player. Because if you eschew the artificial definition of a phrase you've put as a baseline because it suits your purposes, the phrase ceases to have any meaning whatsoever. And keep in mind that the writer of that article couched his "replacement level" view of Cron based on three games as a designated hitter. Because that means something, right? Just admit it was a trash take and move on, Mike, If you want to argue the legitimacy of Cron's performance, do it honestly.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
- lewin diaz
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Even if you use fWAR, he's likely to end up close or at a one win value. Which literally is NOT the definition of a replacement player, unless we start using stupid math where the artificial value of a replacement player no longer means that artificial number is accurate if the player in question is one win higher than that artificial number and it fits our argument in the moment, which is totally not artificial at all.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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Yes, because a team with an operating budget somewhere around $300m a year should definitely prioritize an $800 plane ticket. Also, maybe they should limit the number of player bats that can go on the plane to save on fuel.
- 39 replies
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- kyle gibson
- miguel sano
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So we're holding it against Cron that he happened to have three hot days at DH, which "makes him look" better than he really is at first, where he obviously is incapable of having three hot days in a row? That Fangraphs writer kinda jumped the shark right there. Honestly, that's a **** take. I'm not in love with Cron but if we're down to parsing his performance over three games while being plugged into the DH spot on a team that rotates players constantly, that's about 47 bridges too far down the "analytics" hole than any logical person should go.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
- lewin diaz
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All those green zeroes following Rogers' name is a welcome sight, that's for sure.
- 39 replies
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- kyle gibson
- miguel sano
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Being a fringe contender several games out of the second Wild Card berth is not even close to the same situation as being first in your division, only a handful of games out of homefield advantage in the American League. And I'm not giving them credit for anything except picking up Romo, to which I have said "good pickup, need more, better players" more times than I can count in the past 24 hours. What I'm not doing is complaining about them not making another move before I've found out if they make another move. The difference there is plain as day.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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And they finally have to play some real MLB teams starting on Tuesday (Houston, then the Angels).
- 39 replies
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- kyle gibson
- miguel sano
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What’s even sadder is assuming that no moves are coming because past front offices were overly conservative and assuming that same ethos applies to an entirely new front office that we’ve never seen operate under these conditions.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
- lewin diaz
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See, I think Romo lines up really well against the Yankees and Astros, though I *absolutely* want another pitcher better than him by the deadline. As we saw in the Yankees series, they were often throwing out eight righties and Gregorius. The Astros' top ten (all the qualifying batters + Springer) are made up of seven righties and just three lefties. Romo's RHB OPS against is just .632 this season. Sergio is a good step in the right direction for postseaosn alignment but more is definitely needed.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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Because you’re paying a premium for Stroman and throwing a full 33% of his control in the trash the moment you acquire him. And it’s not as if a good, not great, pitcher like Stroman can’t be found in the offseason. And I literally just said I get why most teams are in on Syndergaard so I don’t understand why you felt the need to repeat it again. But 2.5 years of control is considerably different than 1.5 years, especially when .5 of that control will be essentially wasted.
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Both teams went for it in the offseason and refuse to back down from that idea for some unknown reason. Pack it in, boys. Trade off what expiring assets you have this year and try again next year. Paying prospect capital to essentially waste half a season of a player just seems... well, stupid, frankly.
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I suspect we see one of three things happen to fix the LHP situation, in order of likelihood: 1. The team lets it run with Thorpe or Smeltzer and hopes for the best 2. Trade for a starter, bumping Perez to the bullpen 3. Trade for another LHP With Rogers as your best bullpen piece, picking up one more good reliever allows Rogers to play in more of a lefty specialist role (put him in against a tough lefty late in a game but then leave him in for 2-3 more outs because he's that good), which mitigates the need for a dedicated LH specialist (though it'd still be nice to have one).
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
- lewin diaz
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I feel the opposite. Despite Cleveland closing the gap, I want some focus put on the postseason along with also winning regular season games. And Romo lines up really well against the Yankees and Astros, particularly the Yankees.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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This is exactly how I feel about it as well. I'm not looking for another Rogers - though that'd be nice, it may be unrealistic - but I want someone significantly better than Duffey, May, and even a step better than Romo (who is now the second-best arm in the pen).
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
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Like others are saying, this seems like a pretty logical move to shuffle around some pieces while picking up a middle relief arm. But they need something better so I'll reserve judgment until we get past the deadline.
- 218 replies
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- sergio romo
- lewin diaz
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I thought I heard he had resumed baseball activities but could be confusing that with someone else, as I heard it during the Yankees series and I was pretty drunk for that entire set of games.
- 28 replies
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- michael pineda
- max kepler
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True. Expecting him to be dominant out of the gate is probably unfair, it’s just that the bullpen doesn’t have a lot of margin for error right now.
- 28 replies
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- michael pineda
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I don't find it surprising at all. He had over a year off baseball and scuffled a bit. After a couple of months of scuffling, he's good again. He's not a guy I want around forever but for a one year deal, he's a great addition.
- 28 replies
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- michael pineda
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Also, I'm a Thorpe bobo but he didn't look good tonight. He got a bunch of bad hitters out and lucked out against the good hitters he faced. He was missing the mitt all over the place and threw wayyyyy too many pitches out of the zone. Disappointing, for sure.
- 28 replies
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- michael pineda
- max kepler
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The Twins have "struggled" since the beginning of June. Their high water mark of being over .500 was 25 games. That came on July 13th. They're now 23 games over .500. Wow, this team is falling to pieces.
- 28 replies
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- michael pineda
- max kepler
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