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    Seth's Preliminary Top 50 Twins Prospects: Part 7: 6-10


    Seth Stohs

    Alright, we’ve been counting down my preliminary Top 50 Minnesota Twins prospects for the last couple of weeks. Over the next two days, you will find out who I have included in my personal Top 10 list. Despite the ‘graduations’ of Tyler Duffey, Trevor May, Eddie Rosario and Miguel Sano, this group of ten remains quite impressive. As always, please feel free to discuss these prospects in the comments below.

    Image courtesy of Marilyn Indahl, USA Today

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    Previous installments of this prospect ranking:

    As a quick reminder, players eligible to be on this list include players who remain eligible for Rookie of the Year voting in 2016. That is to say, hitters with less than 130 at bats and pitchers with less than 50 innings. (The list is preliminary. Following research for the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook 2016 - which Cody Christie, Jeremy Nygaard and I are working on - I’ll provide my final Top 30 prospects list.)

    Top Prospects 6-10

    #10 – Kohl Stewart - 21 – RHP – Ft. Myers Miracle

    Stewart missed about three weeks of action in late April with some shoulder soreness. However, he took the mound for the rest of his starts throughout the season. He went 7-8 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.38 ERA. In 16 of his 22 starts, he gave up fewer than three runs. After striking out just 6.4 per nine innings at Cedar Rapids in 2014, he struck out just 4.9 per nine with the Miracle. He increased his workload from 87 innings to 129.1 innings. Stewart is throwing a fastball in the low 90s that touches 94. He has a good curve ball and slider and continues to work on his change-up. The strikeout rate becomes a concern. He likely will begin 2016 in Chattanooga, but I would personally like to see him spend two more months in Ft. Myers early in the season and work on that K-rate. It’s important to remember that he still hasn’t pitched lot. He was the Twins first-round pick in 2013 out of high school in Houston.

    Previous Top 30 Rankings: 2015 (5), 2014 (4)

    #9 – Nick Burdi - 22 – RH RP – Chattanooga Lookouts/Ft. Myers Miracle

    If you saw Burdi’s outing in the Arizona Fall League on Monday afternoon, you can better understand why he is ranked this high. It is no secret, Burdi is a flame-thrower. His fastball sat between 97 and 100 mph. He showed a slider that sat between 89 and 91 mph. He showed one slider that ‘slid’ away from a right-handed batter, but another one that dropped straight downward. What he showed on Monday was the ability to command both pitches, something he struggled with during the minor league season. He began the season in Chattanooga, but in late June, after 30.1 innings, he had a 5.93 ERA, a 1.78 WHIP and 22 walks to go with 33 strikeouts. He was sent down to Ft. Myers where he had a 2.25 ERA in 20 innings. More important, he walked three and struck out 29. It earned him a trip back to the Lookouts where he gave up runs in just one of his seven outings the rest of the regular season. He was also a key performer in the Lookouts championship run. My guess is that Burdi will receive a non-roster invite to big league camp and get a shot at an Opening Day gig. However, he could start the season back in AA with a quick promotion to AAA (or the big leagues) being very possible.

    Previous Top 30 Rankings: 2015 (10)

    #8 – Adam Brett Walker - 24 – OF – Chattanooga Lookouts

    Walker was the Twins third-round draft pick in 2012 out of Jacksonville University. He is arguably the most powerful hitter in the Minnesota Twins organization. With Miguel Sano and his power in the organization, it should tell you a lot. That kind of power is rare. In 2015, he led the Southern League in home runs (31), RBI (106) and extra base Hits (65). He has led his league in homers in all four of his professional seasons. However, last year he also led all of minor league baseball in strikeouts with 195. Therein lies that biggest question mark with Walker. It is the reason he isn’t a little closer to #1 than #10. However, he just turned 24 and is performing very well in the Arizona Fall League. Through eight games played, he is hitting .355/.459/.677 (1.137) with a double and three home runs. He is a lock to be added to the 40-man roster and go to spring training with the Twins. He should advance to Rochester for the 2016 season with a shot at a big league promotion in the season’s second half, if needed.

    Top 30 Rankings: 2015 (14), 2014 (11), 2013 (16)

    #7 – Stephen Gonsalves – 21 – LHP – Cedar Rapids Kernels/Ft. Myers Miracle

    Gonsalves was the fourth-round draft pick of the Twins in 2013 out of high school in San Diego, California. That season, between GCL and Elizabethton, he posted a 0.95 ERA and in 28.1 innings he walked 11 and struck out 39. In 2014, he made 14 combined starts between E-Town (six starts) and Cedar Rapids (eight starts). He posted a 3.97 ERA, and in 65.2 innings he walked 21 and struck out 70. He began 2015 back in Cedar Rapids and in his nine starts, went 6-1 with a 1.15 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP and 77 strikeouts with 15 walks in 55 innings. He moved up to Ft. Myers for 15 more starts. There, he was 7-2 with a 2.61 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. In 79.1 innings, he walked 38 and struck out 55. Those numbers are a little deceptive as after his first three starts with the Miracle, he posted a 2.07 ERA over the final 12 starts. As he has each of those seasons, he is likely to begin the 2016 season with the team he finished the preceding year with, in this case Ft. Myers. He will likely advance to Chattanooga by mid-June. At 6-5 and about 200 pounds, Gonsalves looks the part of big league starter. He’s left-handed, has a good fastball in the low-90s with movement. He has a good change-up and an improving curve ball. He takes pride in his control, which is one thing that likely bothered him about his time in Ft. Myers.

    Previous Top 30 Rankings: 2015 (15), 2014 (13)

    #6 – Jorge Polanco - 22 – SS/2B – Chattanooga Lookouts/Rochester Red Wings/Minnesota Twins

    Polanco’s major league numbers are quite impressive. He is hitting .313/.450/.500 (.950) in his two season’s worth of big league play. No need to mention that is in just 20 plate appearances. In 2014 he became the youngest player to make his MLB debut for the Twins when he came up for five games as a 20-year-old. He was called up on two occasions in 2015 as well, and these times when he came up, Paul Molitor placed him in the lineup at shortstop. Polanco was signed in July of 2009. He spent two years in the GCL before a good season in Elizabethton. He jumped up prospect rankings in 2013 when he was the #3 hitter for that powerful Cedar Rapids lineup. He split 2014 between Ft. Myers and New Britain. In 2015, he was all over the place. He started in Chattanooga, moved up to the Twins for a game, went back down to Chattanooga, was promoted to Rochester, then promoted and spent three games with the Twins, and he then was sent down to Chattanooga where he ended the season helping the Lookouts to their Southern League championship. When he was signed, he was touted as a potentially great defensive middle infielder who may learn to hit. He has become a very professional hitter. Though he continues to play shortstop, he struggled mightily at the position. With Brian Dozier at second base, it only makes sense for the Twins to keep trotting Polanco out at shortstop in hopes that it can click for him. He is ready for the big leagues offensively, but finding an everyday spot for the still-just-22-year-old will prove difficult again in 2016.

    Previous Top 30 Rankings: 2015 (7), 2014 (6), 2013 (19)

    So, what do you think of Part 7, Prospects 6-10? Tomorrow, we will finish up this series by discussing the Top 5 Twins prospects. Feel free to discuss these players. Make your predictions for my Top 5. And start planning your Top 30 prospect lists.


    Interested in learning more about the Minnesota Twins' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    I feel like the Twins will want to get Polanco's bat in the MLB somehow and if Sano is struggling Defensively i give Polanco a shot at 3rd... to me SS is the toughest position on the diamond, have to have the most range and some of the longest throws, so i feel like 3rd would be a good solution if were stuck with Dozier at 2nd

    What I really like about this year's top-15 is that 12 will be within spitting distance of the big leagues at some point this year (i.e. AA or higher).  

    • AAA: Buxton, Kepler, Polanco, Walker; Berrios, Burdi, Chagois, Meyer
    • AA: Vielma; Stewart, Gonsalves (after starting in high-A), Jay (after starting in high-A)

     

    I remember all of those lean year years with the Twins roster and knowing our great prospects would not be able to help (that year). Now, even with Sano, Rosario, May and Duffy graduating, our farm system is still stocked with nearly-ready prospects.

     

    Unlike other readers, I do not see this as a strong group.  I would imagine the majority of teams could match out 6 - 20 rankings.  We have a SS who can't catch, a slugger who strikes out more than the Royal's team, a young live arm pitcher who cannot miss bats, a superstud fast reliever who should rank around 15 with the up and down year he had last year, Gonsalves who looks really legit.

    go find a SS who hits .300 every year in other teams top 10 and tell me how many you find.. also, go find a hitter that has led their league in homeruns every season he has played, also go find a reliever after 15 that has a 100MPH fastball and a 92 MPH slider who has struck out 11.7/9....  Gonsalves i agree though very legit.

     

    I'd much rather we turn Polanco into a 2B, as that's where the greater opportunity is with the Twins right now.  In the two seasons he's been allowed to play more than 120 games, Escobar has put up .721 and .754 OPS's.  He's entering his age 27 season, and still has multiple years of cheap team control left.  Nick Gordon will start at High A, and could be only 2-3 years away from the bigs.

     

    Brian Dozier, in the 3 years he's played more than 120 games has put up OPS's of .726, .762, and .751.  He'll turn 29 next year, and is about to start getting more expensive.  We have no good 2B prospects in the system right now.

     

    I would love it if TR challenged the prospects to make the engine go, and traded Dozier and Plouffe this offseason, letting Sano and Polanco start in their places.

    as much as i love Polanco and Sano starting we can't trade both, to me its 1 or the other so we can still have a dependable bat/defense in the line up

     

    It's 8 games about about 30 plate appearances... we need to be pretty careful with the small samples. It's great that he's doing well. What would be better is if that walk rate can become sustainable.

    Kepler only had 75 ABs last AFL season and we all got a little excited.  That's why I said small sample size.   Whether he continues his positives or not this AFL season - It tells me he "can" compete (half way point) with some more coaching and ABs.

     

    Kepler only had 75 ABs last AFL season and we all got a little excited.  That's why I said small sample size.   Whether he continues his positives or not this AFL season - It tells me he "can" compete (half way point) with some more coaching and ABs.

     

    True on both counts, though Kepler played well (arguably better than Rosario, who everyone got excited about) and no one said, he's ready. Walker isn't ready, but he is close. He's got a chance.

    Both Steward and Gonsalves need to master an "out-pitch"--ex. Duffey--in order to become an useful starting pitcher.  Burdi, because he is a relief pitcher, can succeed with a top fast-ball and a half-decent off-speed pitch provided he has character to withstand the crucible of "high-leverage situations".  AB Walker has the most value of this batch (or for that matter all of the "prospects" cited to date).  HR hitters are always in demand somewhere. If the Twins don't put him in the line-up this year (I think they should), then they need to bundle him in a trade to meet an urgent need.  Polanco is in a tough position.  Escobar is Ryan's #1 SS and Ryan hangs-on to his favorites like a dog and a bone.  Similarly with Dozier (another Twins' favorite)--he's not going away either.  Polanco is blocked.  He has to be put in the line-up--or traded soon  (this year).  There is no sense letting players rot on the vine--play them or trade them.

     

    Both Steward and Gonsalves need to master an "out-pitch"--ex. Duffey--in order to become an useful starting pitcher.  Burdi, because he is a relief pitcher, can succeed with a top fast-ball and a half-decent off-speed pitch provided he has character to withstand the crucible of "high-leverage situations".  AB Walker has the most value of this batch (or for that matter all of the "prospects" cited to date).  HR hitters are always in demand somewhere. If the Twins don't put him in the line-up this year (I think they should), then they need to bundle him in a trade to meet an urgent need.  Polanco is in a tough position.  Escobar is Ryan's #1 SS and Ryan hangs-on to his favorites like a dog and a bone.  Similarly with Dozier (another Twins' favorite)--he's not going away either.  Polanco is blocked.  He has to be put in the line-up--or traded soon  (this year).  There is no sense letting players rot on the vine--play them or trade them.

    I've heard Gonsalves has a very good change up and great control

     

    Coming into the draft Stewart was touted as having a Texas strong upper 90's fastball.  I thought I was hearing this year it was 93-95, but this sounds like it's not even that high.

    What I've heard is even more concerning:

     

    Yeah, his fastball hits 93-95... sometimes. Other times, it's sitting at 90-93.

     

    That's... problematic.

     

    (warning: I could be confusing 2015 with 2014... but I've read Stewart's fastball velo is all over the place)

     

    What I've heard is even more concerning:

     

    Yeah, his fastball hits 93-95... sometimes. Other times, it's sitting at 90-93.

     

    That's... problematic.

     

    (warning: I could be confusing 2015 with 2014... but I've read Stewart's fastball velo is all over the place)

     

    There is a root cause for that: mechanics.  Stewart had horrible mechanics even before he was drafted.  That was not news.  The problem is that after 3 seasons as a pro, he has not been able to fix his mechanics.  His FB velo was up to 97 allegedly at HS.

    Edited by Thrylos

    I'm not sure what to think of Stewart.  At the beginning of the season, in one of his chats, Klaw said fans worried about the lack of strike-outs were insane, that when the Twins took Stewart he "was more a thrower than a pitcher" and they were doing a "hell of a job" with him.  But I don't know if his position has changed with another full season of - let's say strange - results.  

     

    So, with Stewart, I really think it's wait and see.  The Twins brass doesn't seem overly worried and they promoted him up the line.  He pitched well, outside of strike outs, at A+.  So, I really don't know what to make of him.  




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