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    What Role Will Luis Arraez Fill in 2022?


    Cody Christie

    In recent years, Luis Arraez has become a fan favorite, but injuries have kept him from reaching his full potential. What can his role be in 2022 and beyond?

    Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

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    Arraez has yet to accumulate more than 500 plate appearances in any season, but he has undoubtedly left his mark on the roster. Last season, he hit .294/.357/.376 (.733) while also being on the injured list multiple times. According to Baseball-Reference, Arraez ranked third on the team in WAR behind Byron Buxton and Jorge Polanco. While some fans are clamoring for him to take over a starting role with the club, his future role is in question. 

    Starting Second Baseman
    If Minnesota doesn’t add a veteran second baseman, Arraez must serve as the team’s starting second baseman. Polanco shifting back to a full-time shortstop role might not be the best solution for the team, even if Royce Lewis is waiting in the wings. Last season, Polanco won the team’s MVP award after shifting to second base and posting a 125 OPS+. These defensive shifts helped Polanco and his ailing ankles stay on the field and perform at a high level. 

    Making Arraez the starting second baseman doesn’t guarantee that he will stay healthy for an entire season. His knees are bad, and they will cause him to miss multiple games throughout the remainder of his career. Also, a Polanco-Arraez middle infield combo is a defensive liability. Arraez can handle second base for short stints, but he shouldn’t be the team’s everyday second baseman unless Polanco suffers an injury. 

    Continue in Utility Role
    When the Twins signed Andrelton Simmons last winter, the Twins moved Arraez to a utility role. He played 25 games or more in left field, third base, and second base, and he made some dramatic improvements. His defense at third base ranked him among the league’s best, so that is a spot where he can get more playing time in 2022. However, Arraez’s defensive flaws make it tough for him to fulfill a true utility role. 

    Throughout the 2021 campaign, the Twins lost faith in Arraez’s ability to play in the outfield. After July, he never made a start in the outfield and only logged three total innings in left field. His Range Runs Above Average was negative in left field even though his UZR and Defensive Runs Saved were positive. It will be interesting to see if the Twins give Arraez a second chance to prove he can be an outfield fill-in option. 

    Trade Bait
    Minnesota needs starting pitching, and one way that is acquired is by dealing established big-league players like Arraez. He may be at the peak of his trade value as he is just entering arbitration as a Super-Two player, and he is under team control through 2025. Arraez has shown an ability to get on base, and he can frustrate pitchers with his ability to fight off pitches and extend at-bats. Will other teams value his potential as he enters the prime of his career?

    Other teams likely see the same flaws in Arraez that have held true during his big-league career. His injury history is tough to ignore, as he missed 28 out of 60 games in 2020 and played through injuries throughout the 2021 season. When it comes to sprint speed, he has ranked in the 52nd percentile or lower in all three big-league seasons. Defensively, Arraez needs more time to prove his improvements at third base can continue throughout an entire season. 

    What role do you think Arraez will fill in 2022? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 

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    Gardenhire used to have line-ups with 2Bs all over the diamond and I hated that.  You can win games but I don't think you hoist a trophy doing it.  That being said I don't want Arraez at third or a corner outfield on a regular basis.  Since Polanco is safer to have at second and tied up with his contract, I'm thinking Arraez needs to be traded.

    While Arraez didn't play much left field in the second half of the season, I think who was on the roster had more to do with that than his perceived ability to play there. When Donaldson was out and later when he couldn't run, Arraez had a home at third base, but the rest of the season, there really wasn't a place for him to get regular at-bats.

    I'd much prefer seeing Arraez in left field than Rooker and I think he's superior offensively, as well, although they are totally different types of hitters. I don't think left is Arraez' long-term spot though.

    As for Arrraez' skills--great contact, excellent strike zone, superior on-base skill--Martin projects to be similar and also have the ability to play the same positions, probably with a better glove. The key word though is "projects", we don't know if Martin will pan out and if he doesn't no one else at the top of the prospect list or on the roster can provide what Arraez brings to the table. Another prospect who compares in some respect is Miranda. Again, infielder, but not a shortstop with a plus bat. 

    If the Twins are confident that Miranda and/or Martin are ready to contribute, then I think Arraez is expendable. The injury history and the prospect of recurring knee problems tell me that he can't be relied upon to give the club enough plate appearances to be an All-Star. 

     

     

     

    17 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Arraez primarily had issues with inflammation and fluid build up after ACL surgery on a knee. In addition, last year, Arraez was dealing with knee tendonitis in his other knee. Arraez was told by Twins trainers and medical staff that strengthening his lower body and slimming up could allievate his issues from my understanding.

    It's straightforward PT protocol for those types of knee pain issues across pretty much any activity. Strengthen the surrounding muscle to relieve stress on the joint and trim some excess weight. It has the added benefit of increasing mobility.

    It remains to be seen how much work Arraez has put into it, but if Arraez does commit himself, it could have a huge payday behind it. 

    I'm an old guy dealing with arthritic knees and my PT is exactly what bean has stated. I would think that Arraez would benefit from both strengthening the muscles to relieve stress and losing weight. It will be interesting to see his condition when he reports for whatever kind of spring training they have. One thing to remember is that this is a young man at age 24.

    15 minutes ago, stringer bell said:

    I'm an old guy dealing with arthritic knees and my PT is exactly what bean has stated. I would think that Arraez would benefit from both strengthening the muscles to relieve stress and losing weight. It will be interesting to see his condition when he reports for whatever kind of spring training they have. One thing to remember is that this is a young man at age 24.

    My older brother had knee issues in sports and was told to strengthen his knees when he was in his teens/early 20s. Helped him immensely. Young or old, if the muscles around your joints are weak from not working that specific group out, the joint takes a pounding and fluid buildup, inflammation and tendonitis are sure to follow. I started having knee pain years ago and I added muscle to my legs and poof, haven't had any issues in years and years. It's crazy. Those muscles act like reinforcement for the tendons and ligaments, preventing them from stretching and pounding the joint. Such a bummer. I don't like working out, haha.

    Everybody knows my thoughts on this topic as I've suggested trading Arraez frequently.  I love to watch his AB's but I'm firmly in the camp that he's certainly replaceable.  It would take a "Package" of players with Arraez the headliner to secure Frankie Montas from the A's.  Castillo from the Reds would cost even more.  If some are repulsed by the idea of putting a package together for Arraez in a deal for pitching,  then using Arraez alone should get you either Bassitt  or Manaea and a little something more from Oakland.  The Marlins need HITTERS.  The N.L. now has the DH.  They are overflowing with young pitchers.  The Twins could offer Arraez to Miami and look at guys like Max Meyer, Sixto Sanchez and Jesus Luzardo as possibilities.  Bottom Line:  Arraez is replaceable.  The Twins have an acute need for Starting Pitching.  I believe Miranda is READY and I think he'll be BETTER than Arraez.  I deal Arraez as much for pitching as to get Miranda up here and in the lineup.  He's got nothing more to prove at St. Paul.      

    20 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    Ken Griffey, Jr. was arguably just as good as Willie Mays for their age 20-29 years.

    Take a look at comparative league averages. 1968 was the height of pitching dominance. Mays also missed time for service duty. Griffey was the face of baseball for his time and energized millions of young people to love baseball, but as great as he was, no comparison to Mays. What number did Griffey wear?

    On 3/1/2022 at 8:54 PM, tony&rodney said:

    Take a look at comparative league averages. 1968 was the height of pitching dominance. Mays also missed time for service duty. Griffey was the face of baseball for his time and energized millions of young people to love baseball, but as great as he was, no comparison to Mays. What number did Griffey wear?

    That's what OPS+ and bWAR are for. Griffey, Jr. and Mays had similar performances and similar value to each other when compared to their peers. I don't know what number either of them wore and I don't care. Justin Morneau wore #33. Does that make him better than Mays?

    You're free to like Mays better than Griffey, Jr. but Griffey, Jr. was just as good for the start of their careers and Griffey, Jr. is arguably more popular than Mays on top of that. I like Eduardo Escobar more than either one of those guys, haha. Personal favorites aside, your assertion that Griffey, Jr. isn't in the same league as Mays offensively, defensively, popularity-wise, etc doesn't stand up to to data.




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