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    Make It Official! Twins 8, Mets 3: What This Team's Capable Of


    Theodore Tollefson

    The Mets outscored the Twins 17-2 over the first two games of their series in New York this week. On getaway day, the better team took its righteous revenge.
     

    Image courtesy of © Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher:
    Pablo López: 6 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 7 K (103 pitches, 66 strikes (64% strikes))
    Home Runs: Byron Buxton (13), Matt Wallner (6) 
    Top 3 WPA: Royce Lewis .100, Trevor Larnach .099, Byron Buxton .096

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
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    Racking Up Runs in the Third
    The Twins offense had been mostly absent in the first two games against the Mets, supplying only two runs in 18 innings. Fortunately, the bats woke up against Luis Severino Wednesday afternoon. It all kicked off with a solo home run from Byron Buxton in the second inning. Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers followed Buxton in the batting order, and both of them drew walks to try and get a rally going. Unfortunately, Brooks Lee grounded into a double play to end the frame, but unlike other days, the Twins would make up for the lost opportunity later. 

    The top of the third was all about passing the baton to the next guy in the order. Austin Martin, Trevor Larnach, and Max Kepler hit back-to-back-to-back singles to start the inning, and put the Twins back in the lead 3-2. Royce Lewis kept things going, hitting an RBI double that scored Kepler, and Matt Wallner crushed a two-run homer, extending the lead 6-2. 

    The six runs in the second and third combined were more than the Twins had scored since the fourth inning of their 5-0 victory over Detroit. 

    López’s Composure Continues
    Pablo López made his 22nd start of the year for the Twins on Wednesday. The first inning started out scary, as Francisco Lindor crushed a 97-MPH fastball to left field, but Larnach reached up for a catch that prevented Lindor from extra bases to start the game. López walked J.D. Martinez with two outs, but then got Pete Alonso on a groundout to avoid further damage. 

    The second inning was the only portion of López’s start where the Mets got the better of him. With the Twins holding a 1-0 lead thanks to Buxton’s homer, Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil hit a bloop infield single over the head of Lewis at third. Then came red-hot third baseman Mark Vientos, who crushed a two-run homer off López to right field to give the Mets a 2-1 lead. 

    Following the two-run shot from Vientos, however, López would go on to dominate over the next five innings, allowing only three baserunners on two walks and a hit and tallying six of his seven strikeouts.

    This marks López’s fourth consecutive start of allowing two runs or fewer. The ace is dealing again. 


    Twins Daily's winning "Make It Official!" game recaps are sponsored by Official Fried Chicken, which you can find in center field of Target Field. With a name like "Official," we know we have to be the best in the game every day, and from your first bite, you'll know thats a promise we make good on.


    The Dobnak Report
    It took a few injuries, 267 ⅔ innings of work across 69 minor-league games and a grand total of 1,062 days, but Randy Dobank finally made his return to a major-league mound with the Twins in the eighth inning of Wednesday’s game. Dobnak retired the first batter he faced, Tyrone Taylor, on a slider that Taylor hit to Lewis for a groundout. Lindor was up next and hit a single up the middle, but Dobnak was able to bounce back and strike out Ben Gamel.

    Unfortunately, Dobnak then did his least favorite thing on the mound: he allowed a walk to Martinez. But he got out of the inning unscathed, retiring Alonso on a groundout to Lee at short, and completed his first full inning of work in the majors in nearly three years.

    Dobnak would not return for the ninth, as Jhoan Durán closed this one out, but the former undrafted free agent's scoreless frame brought his MLB career ERA down from 4.94 to 4.90. 

    Other Notes
    Kepler left the game in the bottom of the fifth, following an odd strikeout in the top of the fourth where he landed in front of home plate as he struck out swinging and was then hit in the back of the head by a throw from Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez, who threw out Lee attempting to steal second.

    Kepler remained in the game for an inning but was taken out for precaution. It was later announced Kepler was removed due to a head injury on that throw, with more details to come on concussion tests and protocol.

    The Twins hitters also keep getting hit by at least one pitch per game, of late. This afternoon, it was Buxton leading off the top of the eighth. He was nailed by an 83.7 MPH sinker from Phil Maton and gave the Twins their MLB-leading 75th hit-by-pitch on the season. 

    What’s Next?
    The Twins are off on Thursday but will return home for a quick three-game series against the Chicago White Sox this weekend. Joe Ryan will start for the Twins against Davis Martin of the White Sox, who will be making his first start in MLB since 2022. 

     

    Postgame Interview 
    Coming soon.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    2 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    I wasn't able to watch the game but as I went through the wrap-up, I made an observation. Luis Severino is a great SP just as good if not better against the Twins than the prior 2 LHPs. The key to the game was the 3rd inning which started with Martin. Up to this point, the Twins had been pretty flat against NYM & was behind. Martin could have struck out but he didn't, he could have stayed at 1B but he didn't, At 2B he scored easily on a single to LF. Fired-up Larnach stole 2B which also set up another run etc. etc etc. As I've said before Martin is a spark plug, if Martin struck out things would remain flat & nothing would have changed & Twins would probably lose the game. Martin has played sporadically & only against tough RHPs which is tough for any RHH player much less a rookie who is learning a new position on a MLB level. As a rookie he should be given only opportunities which help him advance in the MLB, which has not happened. Martin has had a tough row to hoe & he hasn't given up. Martin is a MLBer capable to impact this team with spectacular defensive plays, good ABs & spectacular base-running. Martin is worthy of our patience. He'll eventually settle in the MLB & stand out.

    Hope you are right in Martin ……..seems to me, he’s sent down when Correa comes back. I get he had an impact yesterday and did what he’s good at, shown in your comments. There have been many, many AB’s that he hasn’t shown - I get, “that’s baseball” but his OPS+ is in mid 70’s. He needs to try and add 5 lbs or more of increased strength over the off-season, IMO. Needs a bit more gap power to make his speed play more. Hope he keeps improving.

    11 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    I thought we might finally stop hearing the writers of this site declaring Pablo Lopez "Ace" despite him never achieving full season results close to earning that title. As his ERA eclipsed 5.00 through the first half, the hype was just bottled up temporarily, and I was mistaken. A couple good starts, and the old ace moniker quickly gets dragged out of the cellar. I should have learned from the Byron Buxton MVP stuff I had to read for 9 years.

    Nice to see the Twins avoid the sweep and stay 2 games up on Boston to avoid falling out of the playoffs. I'm glad Lopez pitched well, and I hope he can continue to outperform his abilities to give the Twins their best shot at making, and even advancing in the playoffs.

    7 games with a 7.75 ERA & then last 7 games with ERA of 2.86……..he’s trending as they say. I’d like to see an outing where he doesn’t give up a homer just to prove he can do it - I think Larnach saved him from giving up 2 instead of 1 yesterday.

    Good team win. Hopefully Lopez can continue this really good run he's on throughout the second half. I'm worried about our bullpen, especially after losing Stewart. Who knows if we'll get him back at all. Hopefully Topa is not too far away. Other than him, I think we should try Varland out there like we did last year. It's past time to give up on him as a starter. If he can be a hard throwing late inning guy that would be a huge boost for us. I really like Lee, but he looks a bit overwhelmed at the plate right now. I think he gets sent down when Correa gets activated. Lees a good player though. His defense has been great. He'll be back. He's an integral part of the Twins long term plans. I'm guessing he has the starting 2nd base job next year. Especially if Julien doesn't make drastic improvements.

    3 hours ago, dxpavelka said:

    Just because Lopez is outperforming YOUR expectation of his abilities doesn't mean he, the team or others in the fans base set the bar for him as low.  Many of us have faith in his ability perform at the level that landed him as the Cy Young runner up last year.


    Sonny Gray was runner up for the Cy Young, not Lopez, and Gray has proven his ace pedigree with a 3.30 ERA and 3.27 FIP over the past 6 years. Pablo Lopez got 11pts out of a possible 210pts last year in Cy Young voting to finish 7th. 

    Same 6 year span 2019-2024:
    Some ace performance level
    3.15 ERA, 2.90 FIP Tyler Glasnow
    3.16 ERA, 3.14 FIP Corbin Burnes
    3.23 ERA, 3.10 FIP Zack Wheeler
    3.30 ERA, 3.27 FIP Sonny Gray

    Gotcha some #2-ish guys here
    3.42 ERA, 3.88 FIP Marcus Stroman
    3.48 ERA, 3.91 FIP Chris Bassitt
    3.76 ERA, 3.03 FIP Dylan Cease

    This is what #3s look about like
    3.91 ERA, 3.85 FIP Nathan Eovaldi
    3.97 ERA, 3.60 FIP Pablo Lopez, Ace & Cy Young Favorite!
    3.98 ERA, 4.11 FIP Jose Berrios

    Lopez obviously became the guy he is today after his first two seasons, and if you throw those out he'd now potentially slot nicely into that mid/back #2 category. 3.78 ERA, 3.49 FIP. Not even close to ace territory.

    Nice story about Dobnak,but if he wants to stay up he can't go 3-2 on every hitter.He looks more like a thrower than a pitcher.Him and Varland seem to think they are throwing a hot potato.

    Lopez did get bailed out by Larnach in the 1st inning.The game could of looked a lot different if not caught.As far as him being the ace,he has a ways to go to pass Ober at this time.




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