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    Mailbag: Looming Strike, Free Agent Issues, Pitch Clock


    Cody Christie

    In the last week, the Twins have gotten things up and running in Fort Myers. The club played their first few games on their Grapefruit League schedule. Minnesota also made a splash by signing super utility player Marwin Gonzalez to a two-year contract. It’s tough to know where he will fit in the line-up, but he can play almost anywhere so he should still get regular at-bats.

    There were certainly some interesting questions in this week’s mailbag. Let’s head to the mailbox and open some mail.

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    https://twitter.com/Hey_Yo_Its_GMan/status/1099177714790137856

    Baseball players certainly have some concerns with how the system is currently being run. Over the last two winters, teams have not been willing to give veteran players long-term contracts. Even the highest rated free agents have been on the market all the way until spring training began.

    According to USA Today, “The conditions players feel are suppressing their earning power – a luxury tax that serves as a de facto salary cap, a heavy reliance on analytics that leads to wage suppression, a segment of ownership disincentivized and perhaps ambivalent about winning – aren’t going away until then, if at all.”

    Teams have also manipulated service time of their top prospects to delay them reaching free agency. Players would like to reach free agency after five years, arbitration after two years, and for the minimum salary to be raised. To make this kind of change, the players are going to have to give something up.

    Players are getting frustrated and some are even preparing for a looming strike. It took baseball a long time to come back from the last strike. Hopefully, it won’t happen again.

    https://twitter.com/PandaPete21/status/1098735489744539648

    Free agency sure has taken on a different feel over the last two off-seasons. Bryce Harper and Manny Machado had to feel good about reaching free agency at such a young age. Still, it took until February for either of them to sign. With the way organizations approach spending money, I didn’t think anything will change with how clubs spend money next off-season.

    Names like Paul Goldschmidt, Xander Bogaerts, Nolan Arenado and Justin Verlander could all be on the free agent market. Goldschmidt and Verlander are already in their 30’s. Arenado might be the most prized free agent but there is talk of him signing a long-term deal with the Rockies. Bogaerts is good but he isn’t in the same realm as some of the other names on this list.

    Until the player’s union can force some changes, free agency is looking less appealing for veteran players.

    https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1098732744002154496

    When it comes to the pitch clock, I think it is what it is. Players and teams need to get used to the idea because Major League Baseball is going to have a pitch clock. Younger players are getting used to the clock in the minor leagues so that will help the transition. I truly believe it will become something that fans and players don’t even notice. It will just become a transparent element of the game.

    Commissioner Rob Manfred’s focus on pace of play will certainly continue to be part of the game moving forward. I think a pitch clock will impact the length of games, but I don’t think it will be a significant impact. Baseball will continue to need to address at things like pitching changes and mound visits. Players can also take some of this on themselves. Pitchers can get the ball back on the mound and pitch right away. Batters can stay in the box and wait for the next pitch to come.

    Pitch clocks are just part of the steps MLB is going to take to speed up the game.

    https://twitter.com/alexmilne87/status/1098704366977105921

    Cleveland is vulnerable for the first time in years. I think the Twins can be in contention all the way into September. That being said, some of the young core needs to take the next step. I think Byron Buxton is going to have a breakout season and he will be the team’s lead-off hitter for a post-season run. So, let’s see what the line-up could look like:

    Potential September 2019 Line-Up

    1. Byron Buxton, CF

    2. Jorge Polanco, SS

    3. Nelson Cruz, DH

    4. Miguel Sano, 3B

    5. Eddie Rosario, LF

    6. Marwin Gonzalez, 1B

    7. Jonathan Schoop, 2B

    8. Max Kepler, RF

    9. Mitch Garver, C

    The newly signed Gonzalez could fit into a few different spots in the line-up. I thought about putting him at first or second. Former first-round pick and top prospect Alex Kirilloff could hit his way into the line-up by September as well. I’d hope the team is giving more at-bats to Garver than Jason Castro in September since Castro will be a free agent. However, the team will likely be using both catchers and riding the hot bat.

    What do you think about this week’s questions? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    Featured Comments

     

    If you truly believe this paragraph then I stand by my earlier statement: You are out of touch with the dynamics of this business.  You're also, apparently, immune to facts.

     

    Most of this paragraph is simply untrue and the rest of it misses the point.

    OK, have it your way.  But name a single owner that levies a dollar is taxes on anyone?  Not charges, taxes...  But according to you, I am out of touch and immune to facts. OK fine. I'm funny looking too. 

     

    Carl Pohlad was beloved owner and business man who built a banking empire, won 2 world series, kept Puckett by making him the highest paid player in the sport. What exactly has Jim Pohlad done or accomplished to deserve to be one of 32 MLB owners in the world?

    Free market is driven by 2 simple principles: supply and demand.

    MLB isn't a free market because demand is somewhat fixed on the production side: 32 teams x 25 roster spots. Also, Lux tax pulling down large contracts and cost control over 3 with team control for 6.

    And supply is fixed on the consumption side: 30 teams in the league.

    Demand has sky rocketed because of the availability of content (tv and internet). Everyone is making money. Still 30 teams.

    Baseball is (pro sports are) actually a good example of why the free market has limitations. The market suggests that more teams should enter the market until profit is sufficiently depleted. But at that point, the product becomes watered down as talent is stretched over more teams. Eventually you'll have a cheaper less profitable product that people will stop watching. The owners even recognize the need for some level of competitive balance to ensure the viability of the resource for all interested parties. So they agree to share profits to keep the whole league strong. A redistribution of wealth for the common benefit of all.

    But it's only socialism if the players want a share, right?

    The owners don't have to share their books during negotiations. That should be your first ref flag.

    Deserving has nothing to do with it. If you inherit grandpa's farm, good for you. I don't covet your inheritance. Its none of my business how rich you get, and its none of our business how rich Jim gets. 

     

     

     

    Deserving has nothing to do with it. If you inherit grandpa's farm, good for you. I don't covet your inheritance. Its none of my business how rich you get, and its none of our business how rich Jim gets. 

     

    a player risks not having enough money while he toils underpaid (by the owners) in the minors.....The players do a ton of work, starting as teens, to get there. They and their parents spend a ton of money (and risk it) on investing in camps, and equipment, and other things. As an investment in his future earnings.....

     

    a player risks not having enough money while he toils underpaid (by the owners) in the minors.....The players do a ton of work, starting as teens, to get there. They and their parents spend a ton of money (and risk it) on investing in camps, and equipment, and other things. As an investment in his future earnings.....

    Nope.  That is not the kind of risk we are talking about.   And it is not a risk like an owner takes in ongoing operations. I suppose you could say there are risks in everything, even crossing the street, but that is not the kind of risk we are talking about either. In the minors, 3500 people is a good crowd and tickets are $ 5.   No reasonable person would say that a MLB owner should have to guarantee a big salary to someone who is still unproven. In any field of endeavor, new hires do not get paid as much as senior management.

     

    Nobody makes anyone play baseball instead of pursuing a different career. If you want to take your shot, fine with me, but I don't see why anyone else should guarantee you big bucks just because you participated. In the real world, you get paid for results. It has always been that way. 

    OK, have it your way.  But name a single owner that levies a dollar is taxes on anyone?  Not charges, taxes...  But according to you, I am out of touch and immune to facts. OK fine. I'm funny looking too.

     

    Many owners threaten politicians into tax levies. The building they are overcharging you to enter was also paid by taxpayers.

     

    And they are lowering player salaries while upping your costs as a consumer.

     

    Why you fall on the sword for them is beyond me, but I know the thanks you'll get for your loyalty. They'll raise your prices, blame the players, and laugh to the bank about suckers.

     

    Nope.  That is not the kind of risk we are talking about.   And it is not a risk like an owner takes in ongoing operations. I suppose you could say there are risks in everything, even crossing the street, but that is not the kind of risk we are talking about either. In the minors, 3500 people is a good crowd and tickets are $ 5.   No reasonable person would say that a MLB owner should have to guarantee a big salary to someone who is still unproven. In any field of endeavor, new hires do not get paid as much as senior management.

     

    Nobody makes anyone play baseball instead of pursuing a different career. If you want to take your shot, fine with me, but I don't see why anyone else should guarantee you big bucks just because you participated. In the real world, you get paid for results. It has always been that way. 

     

    The players aren't paid by the minor league teams, so the attendance and ticket prices aren't relevant at all to what they are paid.

     

    "take your shot" sounds an awful lot like taking a risk, and how is it different? They invest in coaches, camps, equipment, etc....often on salaries that don't actually cover the costs......it's significantly more risky to them than if a billionaire makes 10MM or 50MM or 100MM or more profit every year on their team.

    Deserving has nothing to do with it. If you inherit grandpa's farm, good for you. I don't covet your inheritance. Its none of my business how rich you get, and its none of our business how rich Jim gets.

    I'm not sure if you actually believe what you're saying or just spouting talking points.

     

    I'm not the one claiming that inheriting wealth entitles one to not only a larger share of the pie, but also the knife that cuts it.

     

    Nope.  That is not the kind of risk we are talking about.   And it is not a risk like an owner takes in ongoing operations. I suppose you could say there are risks in everything, even crossing the street, but that is not the kind of risk we are talking about either. In the minors, 3500 people is a good crowd and tickets are $ 5.   No reasonable person would say that a MLB owner should have to guarantee a big salary to someone who is still unproven. In any field of endeavor, new hires do not get paid as much as senior management.

     

    Nobody makes anyone play baseball instead of pursuing a different career. If you want to take your shot, fine with me, but I don't see why anyone else should guarantee you big bucks just because you participated. In the real world, you get paid for results. It has always been that way. 

    You seem to have several misconceptions.  I just went to a single A ballgame this year and tickets were like $12 with all above 7.  I also believe that your 3500 being a good crowd would not be true when you get to AA and above.  

    Second point, no matter which career you pursue, the same thing happens that happens to ballplayers. Most companies can always find someone cheaper to do your job.  And if they can only do 90% of what you do, they are fine with it.  That is why many of us that worked in computers spent the last part of our career consulting, because no company wants to pay high salaries when they do not need to.  

    That is what the players are fighting for. If you have looked their are still a number of FA's out there to be signed.  Now some may have too high expectations, but a lot of productive mid level players can be replaced cheaply.  Twins have 3 pitchers that this is the last year of their contracts.  If some of the AAAA type player (Stewart, Gonsalves, Littell) show they can do the job, do you expect the Twins to retain more than one of the three.  And because of the prices the Twins payroll will probably fall in this case next year.   

    This should be Cleveland's last year of contention.  One of their starters is going year to year and if he has a great year this year, he will break the Cleveland bank next year. Then Cleveland will have to decide to rebuild on the fly or trade off the rotation for top minor leaguers to try keep the line moving.  The Cleveland farm system is not robust enough to fill in the blanks.




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