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    Core or Out the Door: Twins Trade Away Candidates, 6-10


    Cody Christie

    The Twins can’t afford another collapse like the one that transpired in 2024. This forces the front office to reevaluate the team’s building block players and decide whether they should be part of the core or pushed out the door.

    Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

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    As the Minnesota Twins gear up for the 2025 season, the focus shifts to their core group of players who form the backbone of the roster. Some players have cemented their place as long-term building blocks, while others could be valuable trade assets. In this article, we rank the Twins' most important pieces at the big-league level, considering their impact and the likelihood of them being traded before the 2025 season.

    10. Brooks Lee, IF
    Pros: Lee has shot up the prospect rankings and made his major league debut late in 2024. His bat-to-ball skills and mature approach at the plate make him one of the most promising hitters in the Twins’ system. Lee’s future as a middle infielder or third baseman gives the Twins flexibility, and his potential to develop into an impact hitter at the big-league level is sky-high.

    Cons: Lee is still unproven at the MLB level, and the team will need to see how he adjusts to major-league pitching. He showed signs of struggling during his rookie season (64 OPS+), but he might have also been playing through an injury. His defensive position is also unclear, as he could end up at third base if Royce Lewis moves to a different position.

    Trade Likelihood: Low 
    Lee is one of the team’s top young players, and it’s unlikely they will part ways with him before seeing how he develops in 2025.

    9. Matt Wallner, OF
    Pros: Wallner’s power potential makes him a compelling piece for the future. His left-handed bat gives the Twins a middle-of-the-order threat, and his defense in the corner outfield is serviceable, especially with an elite throwing arm. Wallner’s combination of power and athleticism gives him a high ceiling, especially with Max Kepler likely departing in free agency.

    Cons: Strikeouts are a concern, and his consistency at the plate needs to improve. Minnesota sent him to Triple-A after a brutal start to the 2024 campaign, but he was resilient as he hit his way back to the big-league level. He’s still developing, and the Twins will need to see if he can avoid prolonged slumps in 2025.

    Trade Likelihood: Medium
    Wallner is under team control and could be a core outfield player, but his trade value is high enough that the Twins could consider moving him in the right deal.

    8. Bailey Ober, SP
    Pros: Ober was one of the Twins' most consistent starters in 2024 (104 ERA+). His imposing height and ability to locate his pitches make it difficult for hitters to square up. He set a career-high with 9.6 K/9. Ober’s durability improved in 2024 with a career-high 178 2/3 IP, and he’s proven himself as a solid mid-rotation starter with upside.

    Cons: While Ober has been effective, he has had workload concerns as recently as 2023. The Twins might be cautious about relying on him long-term, especially given the depth of their young pitching prospects.

    Trade Likelihood: Medium 
    Ober’s breakout makes him an attractive trade piece, especially if the Twins want to add an impact bat. His high value could lead the Twins to explore moving him.

    7. Jhoan Durán, RP
    Pros: Durán is one of the most electric relievers in baseball. His triple-digit fastball, devastating off-speed pitches, and ability to close out games make him an essential part of the bullpen. During his career, he has posted a 2.30 ERA with a 12.3 K/9 in save situations. As a young, cost-controlled closer, Duran is a player the Twins can build their bullpen around for years.

    Cons: Durán showed some kinks in his armor last season, and his velocity dropped on all his pitches. Relievers can be volatile, and there is always the risk of overuse or injury with such a hard-throwing pitcher.

    Trade Likelihood: Medium to High 
    Durán seemed untouchable as a trade candidate last winter. However, the Twins may want to capitalize on his remaining trade value before he gets more expensive through the arbitration process. 

    6. Griffin Jax, RP
    Pros: Jax was arguably the Twins’ best pitcher during the 2024 season. His ability to handle high-leverage situations and get key outs made him a valuable part of the Twins’ bullpen. In 72 appearances (71 innings), he posted a 2.03 ERA with a 0.873 WHIP and a 34.4 K% (Top 3% of MLB). With his mix of pitches, Jax has the potential to solidify himself among baseball’s top relievers next season. 

    Cons: Like all relievers, long-term success can be fleeting, especially in limited sample sizes. It’s hard to imagine him having a better season than he did in 2024. Like Durán, he will begin to cost more through arbitration and the front office has stayed away from investing in bullpen arms. 

    Trade Likelihood: Medium to High 
    Jax might be one of the most valuable trade assets on the roster. It seems likely for the Twins to try to move either him or Durán this winter before either loses value through injury or ineffectiveness. 

    The Twins have a strong core of building block pieces for 2025, but that doesn’t mean they won’t explore trades to reshape the roster. Lee and Wallner are young, foundational players the team will likely build around, while others like Ober, Duran, and Jax could be moved to fill other needs. The offseason will be critical as the front office balances improving the team without disrupting its future success.


    Will any of the players above be traded this winter? Which player is the most critical building block? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 

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    I'm going to go in reverse order here:

    JAX and DURAN: Neither will be overly expensive in 2025. Both are very good, even though Duran was more "human" this past year. The Twins have the arms/depth to have a very good pen in 2025, all the moreso if Falvey can find a little wiggle room to bring in a solid, experienced LHRP from somewhere. There were a few interesting options in an OP recently about FA options that might fit. IMO, you DON'T short change the pen right when it's about ready to be really good and has depth.

    OBER: Again, I've heard thoughts about moving 1 of Lopez, Ryan, or Ober. Once again, neither Ryan or Ober are overly expensive for 2025. If Lopez were a FA, he's probably looking at $25M per on the market and only costs a little over $20M this upcoming season. Despite some very good looking young arms ready to arrive, who possibly replaces any of those 3, including Ober in this particular OP. Might as well punt on 2025 if you're trading one of these 3.

    WALLNER: Yes, he K's a lot so far. He also actually does HIT and get OB and has massive power and is a dangerous hitter. Yes, he's also been somewhat streaky so far. But he's also an .866 OPS bat in his ML career thus far. That's HUGE! And there's a pretty good chance he's improves his K % going forward to be more dangerous and consistent. Who POSSIBLY replaces him at this time?

    LEE: Previously a top 100 prospect, (top 50?), he's technically not a rookie any longer due to number of days on the ML roster, but for all basic intent and purposes, he's a rookie. I don't want to trade him, and I'm sure the Twins don't want to trade him. There's a lot of good projection to his game, and playing through a shoulder injury in his rookie debut doesn't diminish his perceived value, IMO. But IMO he's the most likely one on this list to be moved in a prospect package IF the FO wants to go looking for a young catcher, discussed/proposed in another recent OP here on TD. I can see the Twins moving one of Lee, Keaschall, or Kaelen Culpepper...remember they moved Petty right after drafting him in the Gray deal...along with one of their better SP arms, possibly with another lower level prospect..Gonzalez or Mercedes in the OF for example...for said young catcher. Boston might be a perfect fit for a trade of this nature. It would HURT to do a trade like this, but it would be the kind of trade that works for both sides, and make it easier to move Vazquez. 

    I don't think the Twins will move a young, controllable player, or players, unless they get a young, controllable asset back. 

    So I'm a firm NO for 4 on this list for all the reasons stated, but could see Lee as a possible inclusion in a deal.

    21 hours ago, bean5302 said:


    Brooks Lee's consistent ineptitude at the plate along with the confirmation of his lack of physical tools will scare off most teams from investing heavily. Lee's also pre-arb so it's not expensive to keep him around and hope he gets closer to his ceiling.

    I think you're a lot further down on Lee than the rest of the league.

    1 hour ago, jmlease1 said:

    I think you're a lot further down on Lee than the rest of the league.

    If I were Derek Falvey, I'd have the trade form for Brooks Lee already for signature and sitting on my desk for every single team in baseball with just the opposing team's player(s) missing from the document so I could scan and email it before the end of the phone call. Just in case another team still viewed Lee as a potential elite value prospect.

    An unpopular comp for Royce Lewis would be Atlanta outfielder Jarred Kelenic, another former Top 6 draft pick who is 41 days younger than Lewis.

    MLB Trade Rumors projects Lewis and Kelenic with 2025 arbitration salaries of $2.3 million as Super Twos. Lewis has two years and 142 days of MLB service while Kelenic has two years and 169 days of MLB service.

    Lewis is coming off a season of 0.7 bWAR and an OPS+ of 107 in 82 games after posting 2.4 bWAR and an OPS+ of 149 the previous year. In his season before his trade to Atlanta, Kelenic had posted 2.0 bWAR and an OPS+ of 111 in 105 games.

    In Kelenic's trade to Atlanta, Seattle attached lefthander Marco Gonzales and first baseman Evan White, who were owed a combined $27.5 millon over two seasons. In return the Mariners received pitchers Jackson Kowar and Cole Phillips, lottery tickets who missed the 2024 season after TJS but who come with six years of team control.

    Baseball Trade Values recently assigned Lewis a surplus value of $26.3 million while a year ago assigning Kelenic a surplus value of $19.4 million even though at the time Kelenic had a year more of team control than Lewis currently has.

    What that means for the current trade value of Royce Lewis is difficult to determine, especially with Lewis' injury history. The Twins might well be better off keeping Lewis and hoping for the best.




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