Biggest Question for Twins this Offseason

[JD-TWINS]

On 10/16/2023 at 12:28 PM, rv78 said:

The FO has to seriously look at the production they are getting from their veteran hitters. Or I should say "lack of production". Gallo and his $11M is gone. If not, the FO needs their heads examined and their behinds booted to the door. Let's all hope they learned their lesson signing a hitter that can't hit. Kepler is due a $10M option. I say save the money and give the job to any of the following, Castro, Larnach, Wallner, Kirilloff, Martin, Gordon. There's a savings of $20+M and you have 6 guys to pick from that will provide just as much run production or more for very little money. Let Polanco walk as well. His option is $10,5M and a combination, or one of Julien, Lewis, Lee can handle 2B. Unfortunately the Twins are tied to Buxton $15.1M and Correa $33.3M. Both mistakes by the FO as both are over-paid for what they provide offensively. Maybe they can be talked into waiving their no trade clauses but I doubt any other team would want them at the cost they are tied to. Sonny Gray got $12.7M so there's a chunk that is going away as well. The rest of the Twins roster is made up of relatively cheap players not named Pablo Lopez. Yes, some are due raises and they should also start to look at extending some of them with reasonable contracts as well. Jeffers for example. It's time to turn the page and start to lean on the youngsters. They're the main reason why the Twins made the playoffs in the first place.

Gallo - Mahle - Maeda - Gray - Polanco are the salaries I see going away. That’s a general total of about $49M ………I keep Kepler because of continuity - can’t dump a guy that had a near .900 OPS for last 3 months. Kirilloff will play 1B. Other guys are, at best, a wash with Kepler’s offense. His D is still superior if healthy.

Release or option/trade Polanco……his salary is gone. Played 104 games & hit .235 in ‘22……played 80 games & hit .255 in ‘23. Declining production (.270 career hitter) and lack of availability!

I’d try to sign Maeda for $12-$14M/yr for 2 years. Great depth piece to supplement starters.

Base cost of $92M with Polanco savings = $82M plus arbitration guys totaling $15M = $97M plus Maeda at $14M = $111M

Extend 2-3 guys early - $15M total spend ‘this year. 

That’s $126M total  - hope we can swing that!

[JD-TWINS]

On 10/17/2023 at 9:14 AM, Trov said:

The money that is on books is not counting Gallo or Gray, but it does count Kepler and Polanco, so the 110 is counting those 2.  If you cut them, after the buyouts you save like 19 mil, forget the exact buy outs.  They can be filled with rookies/non-arb guys or cheaper FA.  I agree with moving on from Polanco.  Kepler I am more on fence about, but would not be surprised either way.  

Buck's contract so far is not looking good, but he is only as cheap as it was because of the risk he was.  Had he not been injury prone, he would be earning over $30 mil.  CC had a very down year, but he was hurt all year.  Hopefully with a full offseason of rest he will be more productive next year. He sure was one of the best in the playoffs for us.

My point is that the loss of potential broadcasting money will affect how they move forward and may force the buy outs of Polanco and Kepler, and passing on any FA signings and lean more on the young cheap guys.  Not that it would be a bad thing, but could handcuff what they would want to do. 

Mahle - Gallo - Maeda - Gray - Polanco - Kepler $58M off the $156M ……who to keep? I convert Kepler & re-sign Maeda …….that’s about $24M total. Increases due to arbitration would be no more ADDITIONAL $ than $10M.

Low $130’s for payroll OK? I’d consider some early extensions with Jax & Duran for future savings & short term security for guys.

[james_wash]

On 10/19/2023 at 8:05 PM, JD-TWINS said:

Gallo - Mahle - Maeda - Gray - Polanco are the salaries I see going away. That’s a general total of about $49M ………I keep Kepler because of continuity - can’t dump a guy that had a near .900 OPS for last 3 months. Kirilloff will play 1B. Other guys are, at best, a wash with Kepler’s offense. His D is still superior if healthy.

Release or option/trade Polanco……his salary is gone. Played 104 games & hit .235 in ‘22……played 80 games & hit .255 in ‘23. Declining production (.270 career hitter) and lack of availability!

I’d try to sign Maeda for $12-$14M/yr for 2 years. Great depth piece to supplement starters.

Base cost of $92M with Polanco savings = $82M plus arbitration guys totaling $15M = $97M plus Maeda at $14M = $111M
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Extend 2-3 guys early - $15M total spend ‘this year. 

That’s $126M total  - hope we can swing that!

Agree, it makes sense