Fantasy Research (Value picks, duds, rookies, waiver tips, etc.)

[Harrison Greeley III]

My draft is Sunday for my head to head league. I'm mostly interested in finding mid to late round value right now, but I haven't done a good job keeping up on injury updates. And usually when it's written up on the big sites, there's no advantage at that point in the knowledge. I'm using Yahoo. I'm in a 12 team H2H 6x6 with OPS and K/BB as the extra categories.

 

I'm looking at yahoo's current rankings and finding guys who I think may be undervalued, cross checking fangraphs projections and rotoworld spring training progress. Then I take their rank, divide it by 12 to tell what round I should expect them to be taken. If I want to reach for them, I'll consider them for the round before the expected draft round. For example: I kind of like Brennan Boesch's prospects this year. Yahoo has him at 196. In a 12 team league that means he's be expected to be drafted in the 16th round unless someone really reaches. Therefore if I do want to reach, I'd be thinking the 15th to start considering him on my radar. Other prospective reaches I'm considering are the following. Please speak up if you think I've got any of these wrong or if I'm missing anyone.

 

Potentially Outperform list

 

Dustin Ackley - 11th round (expected to go in the 12th)

Brennan Boesch - 15th

Emilio Bonafacio - 12th

Gabi Sanchez - 15th

Jason Kubel - 16th

Doug Fister - 15th

Francisco Liriano - 19th

Doug Fister - 15th

Justin Smoak - 22nd

Ryan Doumit - 27th

Yadier Molina - 16th

Josh Willingham - 15th

Wilson Ramos - 22nd

Tyler Clippard - 26th

 

I haven't made the underperform expectation list yet.

[Seth Stohs]

Just an FYI, last Sunday I participated in a 14 team, 25 round draft... I posted the draft round by round, and fans can use it as part of a cheet sheet or just to see where people went in one draft... (Note, I had a problem with the Auto-Pilot in the early rounds. That's how I got Mauer, Ackely and Weeks. Oops!) http://www.twinsdaily.com/showthread.php?491-Seth-s-First-Fantasy-Baseball-Draft-Live-Coverage

[Harrison Greeley III]

Bah, I should have just posted in that thread then. Sorry.

 

Were there a lot of Twins fans in that league? I'm the only Twins fan in my league so I'm assuming I can really sit back on my Liriano pick.

[Seth Stohs]

We all from Minnesota and probably Twins fans... but generally no one wants to be the 'homer' so I don't think there is much homerism... although my accidental pick of Mauer was about a round or two too early!

[Yoshii]

12 team league, no keepers or anything special.

 

[TABLE=class: simpletable]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]1.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](8)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Troy Tulowitzki[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SS[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]2.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](17)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Roy Halladay[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]3.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](32)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Tim Lincecum[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]4.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](41)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]CC Sabathia[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]5.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](56)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Mike Napoli[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]C,1B[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]6.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](65)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Michael Young[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]1B,2B,3B[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]7.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](80)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Michael Bourn[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]OF[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]8.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](89)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Drew Storen[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]RP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]9.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](104)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Brett Gardner[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]OF[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]10.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](113)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]J.J. Putz[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]RP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]11.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](128)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Andre Ethier[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]OF[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]12.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](137)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Brandon League[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]RP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]13.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](152)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Martin Prado[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]3B,OF[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]14.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](161)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Huston Street[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]RP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]15.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](176)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Kelly Johnson[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]2B[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]16.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](185)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Jhoulys Chacin[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]17.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](200)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Colby Lewis[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]18.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](209)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Erick Aybar[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SS[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]19.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](224)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Alexi Ogando[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]20.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](233)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Ricky Nolasco[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]21.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](248)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Seth Smith[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]OF[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]22.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](257)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Carlos Zambrano[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]23.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](272)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Jarrod Parker[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]SP[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: even]

[TD=class: first]24.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](281)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Gaby Sanchez[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]1B[/TD]

[/TR]

[TR=class: odd]

[TD=class: first]25.[/TD]

[TD=class: pick](296)[/TD]

[TD=class: player]Luke Hughes[/TD]

[TD=class: position last]1B,2B,3B[/TD]

[/TR]

[/TABLE]

 

 

Comments? Thoughts? How bad was it to draft pitchers for no. 2 no. 3 and no. 4?

 

Edit: Feedback from baseball masters Seth and Nick would be awesome! lol

[Harrison Greeley III]

Gabi Sanchez is a really nice 281st pick.

 

It's a little ace SP heavy for my liking, as I like to take dependable bats early. So you're probably relatively light on dependable boppers. But there are always different ways of going about it and I've had a terrible run of it in the last few years so what do I know.

[Yoshii]

Yeah, posting this roster on other forums people have been ripping into me. I understand getting big bats early is the way to go but with 8th pick I kept falling on pitcher after pitcher, couldn't help myself. All the good 1B and 3B were already gone. So I went for speed/SB's, which translates into runs , average, and if im lucky OPS.

 

Last year I had like the 4th overall pick and happened to get all 3, Adrian, Ellsbury, and Bautista! Also had David Wright but of course he was an epic fail last year.