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Twins Failed 2B & Hitting Philosophy Has Failed Martin


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This my first TD blog, so, we'll see how it goes. From '13-'18, Dozier played very good 2B even when he was hurt. The "keystone" is a valuable up the middle position where range & turning a slick DP should be prerequisite for a 2Bman. But since '19, Twins philosophy is that they can hide defensive challenged players at 2B. Twins started the '19 season with Schoop but later went with Arraez. Don't get me wrong I love Arraez as a hitter but a 2Bman he was sub-par. 

It's very difficult to judge defense even with OAA & DRS, but double plays are something more straightforward. Here below I have listed where the Twins rated each year since '19.

Season '26-  Keaschal & company  #23         ,68 DP/ games

Season '25-  Clemens & Keaschal  #30                                   Correa played more than half the season at SS

Season '24-  Julien primary            #30         .45 DP/ game     Correa at SS

Season  '23-  Julien primary           #30                                      Correa at SS

Season  '22-  hurt Polanco              #22         .73 DP/ game

Season  '21-  Polanco                       #09         

Season  '20-  Arraez                        #26         .63 DP/ game

Season  '19-  Schoop/ Arraez          #18

DPs are a pitchers best friend, where are they for the Twins? 2B is a lesser prime position, & IMO, Twins should be in the top 10 to really compete. Twins tried to hide Arraez, Julien & Keaschal for years until they could no longer fool the fanbase. Twins' lackadaisical attitude on defense especially at 2B is alarming & has cost us a lot of games. Who was our best choice at 2B, the last few years? It was Austin Martin. After experimenting with Martin's hitting & at SS, in '23 they left him alone & played him mainly at 2B. He looked pretty good for his 1st real look there, In '24 they threw him in the MLB OF. In 24 & '25 he didn't look bad his few times at 2B. If given regular playing time & proper coaching at 2B our 2B situation would be much better.

Now I'd like to discuss Martins hitting. With his early years in MN, they tried to make him into a slugger, that didn't work. He said enough & went back to his own swing. In MLB '24 he had 163 ABs against (RHPs) for a .313 OBP & 70 ABs against (LHPs) for a .326 OBP. He had more than 2X more ABs facing RHPs, with similar OBP & even slightly higher SLUG against RHPs. In MLB '25, he had 104 ABs against (RHPs) for a .361 OBP & 52 ABs against (LHPs) for a .404 OBP. Although he had less ABs he still had 2:1 RHP to LHP ratio. All his numbers were considerably higher & his SLUG & OBP was considerable higher with LHPs.  Until '26, he faced more than 2X RHPs than LHPs.

In '26, he blossomed having over .500 OBP until May when they decided to demote Wallner, then it fell off a cliff. I look at him now & he's a different hitter. What caused the decline? Could it be that he was playing fulltime? IMO, no because he played a lot while in the MiLB. Could it be facing more RHPs? Again, IMO, no, because until now, he has faced more RHPs & has done well. Martin is a good contact hitter that has good ABs, his slump is baffling. So, what is it? This is only my theory mind you. Baldelli learned to leave him alone, but Shelton & his coaching staff are new & with Wallner demoted, IMO they wanted Martin to hit with more power to compensate for Wallner's absence & again changed his hitting. My summation is that this tinkering with his swing has caused this funk. Instead of constantly trying to change Martin, they should better evaluate him & play him to his strengths not to their wants. Everyone would be happier.

4 Comments


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Blyleven2011

Posted

Something sure changed and I agree it was at the time wallner was demoted to AAA , Martin was off to a great start at hitting and playing left field , after wallner was sent down his hitting suffered while playing right field  …

could switching to playing another position disrupt a players focus , ABSOLUTELY …

Martin batting in the 330’s into May and average dropped a 100 points to the 230’s to finish the season , with his good eye and contact skills I don’t have the answers and yes I was all for Martin to be given a chance at second base but Rocco couldn’t see it  ….

this is just my two cents worth …

thanks for the article 

Andy MacPhail

Posted

19 hours ago, Blyleven2011 said:

Something sure changed and I agree it was at the time wallner was demoted to AAA , Martin was off to a great start at hitting and playing left field , after wallner was sent down his hitting suffered while playing right field  …

could switching to playing another position disrupt a players focus , ABSOLUTELY …

Martin batting in the 330’s into May and average dropped a 100 points to the 230’s to finish the season , with his good eye and contact skills I don’t have the answers and yes I was all for Martin to be given a chance at second base but Rocco couldn’t see it  ….

this is just my two cents worth …

thanks for the article 

Another possible reason that I forgot is, injury. His return from injury, he looked worse, IMO, might have something there especially now. But I doubt it's the main reason. 

The 3 last season not playing Martin at 2B are lost, I still think Martin is the better player there & maybe he could play there some if the Twins wake up & they trade Lewis next season. But when Houston comes up; the position is Culpepper's.

MeleMouth

Posted

The Jays were happy to dangle Martin because they realized quickly that his rep was better than his ability to play major league ball. Same with SWR.

Andy MacPhail

Posted

 Martin did not sign with the Indians as a 37th-round pick out of high school in 2017, instead choosing to honor his commitment to Vanderbilt. He led NCAA Division I in runs (87) and the Southeastern Conference in batting average (.392) and on-base percentage (.486) as a sophomore, helping the Commodores win their College World Series championship and setting himself as a potential No. 1 overall pick for 2020.

Scouts felt that Martin was the top hitter in his Draft class. He has an outstanding feel for the barrel and effortlessly makes hard contact with a short, quick right-handed stroke that quickly and efficiently gets into the strike zone. He controls the zone very well and uses the entire field, showing no weaknesses at the plate. 

Martin was scouted as a contact hitter but after he hit several clutch HRs in the College World Series to help Vanderbilt to win their CWS championship. TOR thought they could unlock a hidden power inside Martin. While he didn't have arm to play 3B in pro ball & because of his INF qualities they'd try him at SS, When they couldn't, maybe they thought their highly rated prospect was dispensable. MN also bought into this idea of transforming him into a power hitting SS superstar. Martin's scouting report of fast reacting, quick feet, soft hands & below average arm, screams out to me, 2B, yet he hasn't gotten the coaching & playing time there.

(potential) Power is the main factor in rating prospects. If big prospect A has a high Power rating & below average in everything else, he'll still have a high prospect rating. Yet if small prospect B who rates high in every category except Power & is below average in Power, he gets a low rating. IMO, a prospect who has high potential power, there is no guarantee that this prospect can develop that power or that he can even hit in the MLB. The odds that prospect B (who is developed properly) to make the MLB is much greater than prospect A. 

Pro stats reward players who hit HRs. Many believe that a .700 OPS is the break off point to be a good player without even considering their defense. It's easy for a poor fielding slugger to hit .700 OPS while a good fielding contact hitter has to have a crazy OBP to qualify. These stats analysts have swayed social media & many teams that HRs are everything. Social media propagates these stats & fans eat it up. MIL has been criticized for years for not hitting HRs, yet they keep on winning. MIL has found the secret. They draft cheap underrated prospect Bs, develop & manage them properly, while avoiding expensive sluggers. IMO, if a team like MIL had Martin in their org., he could be an all-star 2Bman (where MN has been weak for years) now. Again, the type of hitter, that Martin is. it's hard for me to blame him for his crazy slump.

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