Jump to content

Providing independent coverage of the Minnesota Twins.
Subscribe to Twins Daily Email

The Forums

Watch the Live Play-by-Play of the Virtual Twins Playoffs

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 10:14 AM
With the real Twins around the corner, I have elected to sim to the playoffs to try and tease how the real club will do this fall, and as...

Brian Dozier released

Other Baseball Today, 10:01 AM
I noticed this one-sentence item in the most obscure part of this morning's StarTribune print edition:   San Diego released former T...

Charley Walters: Twins-Saints partnership talks quietly o...

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 07:49 AM
Very interesting article in Pioneer Press from Charlie Walters. https://www.twinciti...uietly-ongoing/ There’s been a few suggestions in...

Twins Scrimmage Highlights

Minnesota Twins Talk Yesterday, 11:54 PM
If you missed the live stream of Thursday's scrimmage, here's a quick roundup of highlights:  

Take Landis Name off the MVP Award

Other Baseball Today, 09:09 AM
Barry Larkin, former MVP, has been calling for removing the Kenesaw Mountain Landis name from MVP awards.Personally, until I read the art...

Photo

Jake Odorizzi: the X Factor

Posted by Nash Walker , 30 July 2019 · 1,469 views

Jake Odorizzi: the X Factor Although there have been a number of surprises, Jake Odorizzi has been one of the best for the Minnesota Twins. After going 7-10 and posting a 4.49 ERA in 2018, Odorizzi has improved mightily. His 9.4 SO/9 is the highest of his career. Odorizzi had a phenomenal month of May, going 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA and opponent BA of .160.

In July, Odorizzi holds a 9.35 ERA and is allowing a 1.106 OPS in four starts. His last start came at home against the Yankees, where he surrendered nine runs and two homers in four innings. Odorizzi will start tonight against Miami.

The importance of Odorizzi is two-fold. The Twins need a solid second starter, and they need someone to shut down right-handed bats. The Yankees and Astros have Aaron Judge, Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, George Springer, Edwin Encarnacion, Luke Voit, and DJ Lemahieu, just to name a bunch. Because Odorizzi is a fly ball pitcher, his .204 BAbip suggests that his outfield is active against righties. On fly balls, his opponents are batting just .165.

To put perspective into this importance, here is how righties are hitting against the Twins starters:

1. Odorizzi- .178/.264/.327 - .591 OPS
2. Gibson- .249/.299/.369 -.668 OPS
3. Berrios- .238/.290/.385 - .675 OPS
4. Perez- .256/.332/.418 - .749 OPS
5. Pineda- .253/.307/.481 - .788 OPS


If Odorizzi can find at least some of his dominance from May, the Twins chances greatly increase. This is true for both the rest of the regular season and the playoffs against either Houston or New York. His arsenal against the right side of the plate could dictate how far this team goes.

There is optimism to be found in his last few starts. His BAbip in the last 28 days is .349, and with Byron Buxton back from his concussion, that number will inevitably decrease.

Tonight is an opportunity for Odorizzi to bounce back against a beatable Marlins lineup. Go Twins!

  • blindeke likes this