Jump to content

Providing independent coverage of the Minnesota Twins.
Subscribe to Twins Daily Email

The Forums

Minnesota and Big Contracts

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 04:23 PM
For more than 2 decades I have listened to Minnesota Twins fans complain that the Pohlads never give out big contracts. This is mostly bu...

Chasing Madison Bumgarner Thread

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 04:22 PM
Looks like the market is heating up for Bumgarner now, and the Twins are in. Post rumors and thoughts as they arise, please:  

Front Page: Twins High Impact Pitching Options Dwindling...

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 04:22 PM
The Twins watched today as baseball's hot stove heated up like a microwave. Two of the top remaining seven starting pitchers reached agre...

Front Page: Twins Making Sweeping Changes on the Diamond?

Minnesota Twins Talk Today, 04:13 PM
When the Minnesota Twins decided to non-tender C.J. Cron it immediately created another position of need for the 2020 club. Joining the n...

2019/2020 Twins Minor League Coaching Changes

Twins Minor League Talk Today, 04:12 PM
http://www.startribu...tes/562941602/    According to the Star Tribune, the Rochester Red Wings will have a new coaching staff in 20...


Jake Odorizzi: the X Factor

Posted by Nash Walker , 30 July 2019 · 1,158 views

Jake Odorizzi: the X Factor Although there have been a number of surprises, Jake Odorizzi has been one of the best for the Minnesota Twins. After going 7-10 and posting a 4.49 ERA in 2018, Odorizzi has improved mightily. His 9.4 SO/9 is the highest of his career. Odorizzi had a phenomenal month of May, going 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA and opponent BA of .160.

In July, Odorizzi holds a 9.35 ERA and is allowing a 1.106 OPS in four starts. His last start came at home against the Yankees, where he surrendered nine runs and two homers in four innings. Odorizzi will start tonight against Miami.

The importance of Odorizzi is two-fold. The Twins need a solid second starter, and they need someone to shut down right-handed bats. The Yankees and Astros have Aaron Judge, Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, George Springer, Edwin Encarnacion, Luke Voit, and DJ Lemahieu, just to name a bunch. Because Odorizzi is a fly ball pitcher, his .204 BAbip suggests that his outfield is active against righties. On fly balls, his opponents are batting just .165.

To put perspective into this importance, here is how righties are hitting against the Twins starters:

1. Odorizzi- .178/.264/.327 - .591 OPS
2. Gibson- .249/.299/.369 -.668 OPS
3. Berrios- .238/.290/.385 - .675 OPS
4. Perez- .256/.332/.418 - .749 OPS
5. Pineda- .253/.307/.481 - .788 OPS

If Odorizzi can find at least some of his dominance from May, the Twins chances greatly increase. This is true for both the rest of the regular season and the playoffs against either Houston or New York. His arsenal against the right side of the plate could dictate how far this team goes.

There is optimism to be found in his last few starts. His BAbip in the last 28 days is .349, and with Byron Buxton back from his concussion, that number will inevitably decrease.

Tonight is an opportunity for Odorizzi to bounce back against a beatable Marlins lineup. Go Twins!

  • blindeke likes this