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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    Among the Twins top 5 are 4 Hall of Famers and one more who probably should be. Mauer isn’t a slam dunk Hall of Famer. Bert probably should have been. He had 11 seasons bWAR above 5. Joe has had 5. Tony O also had 5 seasons of bWAR above 5 - out of 11 seasons with more than 130 PA. Joe doesn’t have a good HOF comp. a guy who was a an exceptional catcher for roughly half of his career and then a barely replacement level first baseman for the second half. If Mauer had been forced to retire 6-7 years ago, he probably would already be in the Hall of Fame. The longer he sticks around, the LESS likely he gets in IMO.
  2. yarnivek1972
    It’s worth remembering that Gibson will be 31 at the end of October. He may be a different pitcher, but that isn’t going to prevent an inevitable age based decline. He’s under team control in 2019. After that, QO him. If he accepts, fine. If not, take the pick and let someone else pay for his declining years. Since Phil Hughes’ name and contract were mentioned, he was only 28 when he signed the 5 year extension. I didn’t like it at the time, but paying a 28 year old makes more sense than a 31 year old.
  3. yarnivek1972
    Arbitration is the cause of high salaries, not free agency. If players were free agents after 4 years instead of the current 6, salaries would eventually go down because the supply of free agents would be higher and the quality better (because they would be younger). Arbitration setttlements are simply an artificial way to increase salaries. Don’t believe me? Consider Kyle Gibson. Made $2.9 in 2017 coming off a season in which he posted an ERA north of 5 and generally terrible peripherals. He proceeded to post almost impossibly identical numbers in 2017 and then LOST his arbitration case giving him a salary of “only” $4.2 mil in 2018. That’s the system that needs to change.
  4. yarnivek1972
    Let me know when trade union workers generate billions of dollars of revenue because people watch them work.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Yes. Let’s focus on 150 at bats when he was a good hitter and ignore the other 850. Dohkay indeed.
  6. yarnivek1972
    That seems moot IMO. It is highly unlikely that Buxton will be a “foundational player”. At this point I think the best that Twins fans should hope for is a competent hitter.
  7. yarnivek1972
    Quote: Basically, the owners are winning on both ends of a player's career. Well, the players have been winning for the last 30 years and what we have is a largely boring product with steadily declining viewers and steadily declining attendance that an average family has to pay upwards of $400 to attend.
  8. yarnivek1972
    What “young uns” are being played? Last night’s lineup had three guys under 27 on it. Polanco, Cave and Astudillo. Only one of them projects as a starter in 2019.
  9. yarnivek1972
    The problem is the Twins haven’t acted like a rebuilding team. As evidenced by signing guys like Lance Lynn and trading for Odorizzi. Those are moves of a team trying to contend. And further, let’s talk about the continued playing time for Petit, Field, Belisle, Forsythe. If this organizationis trying to rebuild, they are not doing so in a way that any other team has done.
  10. yarnivek1972
    I see the words “radically shaken up a firmly entrenched organizational structure.” Don’t know if I can agree with that. From what has been publicly reported, a handful of guys were shuffled. Another handful let go. I’d call that rearranging deck chairs. If there is some information available as to how many (and what percentage) of player development and scouting personnel were let go, I’d be interested in seeing it. Until that evidence is shown, as far as I am concerned it’s the same people in the trenches making the same decisions just with a new boss.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Twins got a guy who very well might be their primary first baseman next year. The Yankees got two months of Lance Lynn. Pretty good return if that proves to be the case IMO.
  12. yarnivek1972
    I agree that giving the front office credit on their drafts is premature to say the least. Who cares if they look good in the low minors? They need to be developed. Which has been a MAJOR problem with this organization for years. Sure, Falvine moved a few pieces around and a few out. But there is no evidence yet that player development has improved. Guys that are on the cusp of the majors had two years with Falvine’s staff. Most of those that have debuted this year have done poorly.
  13. yarnivek1972
    What do you mean “sign him”? He’s already under control for 2019. If he does well, QO him. If he accepts, fine. If not, take the pick. Let some other team pay for his post age 32 years.
  14. yarnivek1972
    Astudillo really doesn’t need to be able to do much offensively to be a valuable player in today’s era of 3-4 man benches. He’s competent at several positions, though likely average or below average at at least some of them. He can contribute offensively when he does play. IMO, rostering him is a no brainer.
  15. yarnivek1972
    By all accounts made public, there has been little turnover in the Twins baseball development areas. A few coaches “reassigned” and a few more let go. Doesn’t sound like the house cleaning that was/is clearly needed.
  16. yarnivek1972
    We’re already seeing kinks in the armor of Berrios and Gibson. How that plays out the rest of the year will play a big part in determining how they slot going forward. Right now, they rank 17th and 20th in ERA, but they have both been well north of 5 since the end of July. Really shouldn’t be fatigue for either as both logged more IP just last year than they have so far in 2018.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Given that the Twins kinda eaked that one out, it doesn’t say much for the level of their play.
  18. yarnivek1972
    If Buxton were having anything close to a typical season, I’m not sure “setting apart” from others would be a way to indicate offense is more important. The difference between a .250 hitter and a .280 hitter is 15 hits in 500 at bats, less than one a week.
  19. yarnivek1972
    But the batter is only going to have one outcome in a plate appearance. Walk, strike out or contact.
  20. yarnivek1972
    Depends on the position. Buxton has averaged 4 chances per game and about 3 PA. So, for him his defense is actually more than half of his game. Of course, for some of the positions, the break down isn’t quite that simple. I would argue it is for cf, ss and maybe 2b and 3b though. A typical first baseman makes 8 or 9 plays per game. But the overwhelming majority are routine, capable of being made by literally any competent fielder.
  21. yarnivek1972
    Only if he turns into a quality MLB hitter.
  22. yarnivek1972
    Every pitch thrown by Matt Belisle, Tyler Kinley, David Hale. Every at bat by Chris Gimenez, Tommy Field, Gregorio Petit, Taylor Motter. These are things this FO CHOSE. Note, I didn’t include Phil Hughes, because I believe Pohlad had to sign off on his DFA.
  23. yarnivek1972
    Matt Belisle wasn’t traded.
  24. yarnivek1972
    baseball reference, ratio batting. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/keplema01-bat.shtml Baseball reference is a little more user friendly with my phone I have found. That’s why I use it more. For example, I couldn’t figure out how to find out fangraph’s league average line drive %. But just eyeballing team stats, it’s 21-22%, which is also lower than what b-r has for it’s league average. But Kepler is considerably lower on fangraphs. Not sure why there would be such a discrepency.
  25. yarnivek1972
    That’s you speculating. Many are speculating that while service time might not be a primary reason for optioning a player it is certainly a factor the decision makers are aware of when they make it. If they weren’t aware of it, they would be negligent in performing their jobs.
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