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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    It’s reckless for him because the evidence has shown that his body can’t take it. If he doesn’t understand that almost no team is going to guarantee a boatload of money to a guy that can’t stay on the field, I’m sure his agent does. I can guarantee that if he goes to an arb hearing next year (which seems all but inevitable) it is going to come up.
  2. yarnivek1972
    He’s on the IL right now for crashing into the wall. This is the second time it happened THIS YEAR (wall or ground). Where’s the evidence of evolving? Maybe he was just lucky to not get to balls at the wall the preceding few years.
  3. yarnivek1972
    The wrist injury that occurred while swinging the bat is concerning and seems to indicate a frailty. I mean, he’s going to swing the bat dozens of times per day, including batting practice. Also, while over aggressiveness may not have played a part in his recent injuries, they are definitely part of his past. From wikipedia: The Twins invited Buxton to participate in spring training in 2014.[25] He injured his left wrist, spraining his pisotriquetral joint, while diving for a ball and opened the 2014 season on the disabled list.[26] He was activated on May 4, and assigned to Fort Myers.[27] After playing in five games with the Miracle, Buxton reinjured his wrist.[28] Buxton batted .240 in 30 games before receiving a promotion to the New Britain Rock Cats of the Class AA Eastern League on August 11.[29][30][31] In his first game with New Britain, on August 13, Buxton collided with fellow outfielder Mike Kvasnicka. Buxton was taken to the hospital and diagnosed with a concussion.[29][32] The Twins shut Buxton down for the remainder of the regular season,[33] but assigned him to the Arizona Fall League after the season. There is also mention of a sprained thumb in 2015 but not how it happened. I don’t remember.
  4. yarnivek1972
    As you say, he only has 11 IP at AA. He will probably make 4-5 more starts for 20-30 more IP. I certainly hope the Twins FO doesn’t deem him ready for AAA based on that SSS.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Funny thing. Schoop has a better OPS than his career number. He is exactly who he is supposed to be. Arraez has just been better.
  6. yarnivek1972
    Where he has an ERA over 4. At A ball his ERA was barely better than league average. He’s not going to move up until that improves substantially. He more than likely starts 2020 in AA. Frankly, I think he’s being pushed too fast. He should still be in A ball IMO.
  7. yarnivek1972
    The only reason Perez is still in the rotation is because Pineada is on IL. He’s given up 4 or more runs in 8 of his last 11 starts. That’s not good. Who are these 7-8 knocking on the door? No, really, I’d like to know. Are you counting the guys on the AAA shuttle (Smeltzer, Thorpe, Littell, etc)? They are already in the door. Also, succeeding as a mop up reliever is very different from success as a starter. As you say, there are 5 starting pitchers on every team. As of August 6, only one of the current members of the rotation is sure to be back next year. Just resign two of them? What if they don’t want to? Even with resigning two, the Twins still need two more. One might go to Smeltzer or someone else. But if Perez is back I think it would be a big mistake. The Twins also need 8 relievers. Rogers is really still the only sure thing next year. MAYBE May, Duffey and Harper stick. Maybe Littell joins them. Still need 3 more. At least two of them should be really good ones. We saw in June and July what can happen when a team is counting on unproven relievers to take key roles. There’s only one left fielder per team. I feel confident that Rooker won’t be a big enough drop off from Rosario as to substantially impact an offense that leads all of MLB in HR and is second in runs scored by .06 runs per game. The only position players not under control for 2020 are Schoop and Castro. As I mentioned previously, Marwin and others provide the safety net for Rooker. I don’t happen to believe Rosario is a premium asset. He’s a slightly better than average hitter and a bad defender. I’m also not suggesting using him to acquire an aging veteran starting pitcher. Because he isn’t going to bring that return. Might get a reliever. Should get at least a very close to MLB ready prospect that shows promise. As I said previously, someone who would be a step up from Smeltzer, who the Twins got for two months of Dozier. Rosario still has two more YEARS of control. Smeltzer is already in the rotation, so I’ll ignore him. Balazovic is still in A ball. He’s at least 1 1/2 years away. Graterol probably needs at least half a year in AAA. Duran at least two years away. Meaning none of them should be considered anything more than plan C or D for a team that hopes to contend next year. The prospects you named didn’t go stale. They got figured out and/or hurt. Yes, build for the long haul. Like it or not, in Twins territory that means making roster decisions with money as an important factor. Rosario might get upwards of $ 9 mil in arb next year. That’s $ 9 mil that won’t be spent on pitching.
  8. yarnivek1972
    I’ll second that emotion. Twins don’t need him to be “the guy”. Just one of the pretty good guys.
  9. yarnivek1972
    The Twins aren’t going to call up Rooker to have him be a bench player.
  10. yarnivek1972
    I don’t know why you wouldn’t assume player. His physical appearance isn’t substantially different from Kepler’s.
  11. yarnivek1972
    My weather spies tell me there is a pretty heavy storm about to hit the metro area. It should clear before game time, but there might be a slight delay.
  12. yarnivek1972
    Darn it. Accidentally deleted my post. Rosario’s “clutch” stats are right in line with his overall stats both in 2019 and his career. Never trust the “eye” test. They usually lie. Rooker is already 24. It’s his turn. Marwin, Cave/Wade (I would expect one to be a roster casualty this offseason) and Astudillo are the “plan B” options. That’s plenty of a safety net. Who is talking about a “high mileage veteran” pitcher? Rosario won’t fetch a proven MLB starter. Reliever probably. Solid close to MLB ready prospect is more likely. Like a step up from Smeltzer for example. Let’s also bare in mind that money is always a factor in Twins roster decisions. The Twins have a far greater need for pitching than they do for Rosario IMO.
  13. yarnivek1972
    Barnes has pitched 4 2/3 shutout IP this year in AAA. That might be a good enough reason to roster him.
  14. yarnivek1972
    With Buxton and Wade both on IL that would probably be a bad idea.
  15. yarnivek1972
    Sabremetric gurus that Falvey and Levine are, I am sure they are aware of it. I could see the Twins trying to move Rosario for pitching in the offseason. I don’t think it is at all likely he receives an extension offer he is willing to sign. He’s a good, not great, player. He’s the kind of guy you play until he gets too expensive. Then you replace him with someone cheaper. Mr. Kirilloff for example.
  16. yarnivek1972
    Seems unlikely given that he didn’t hit the IL until two days after his start.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Ian Kennedy would fit the definition of a large contract on a non-contending team.
  18. yarnivek1972
    More likely the 6th or 7th. In my “perfect world” scenario, Rogers is the “get out of trouble” guy in the 7th or 8th (or 9th in a tie game). Romo should be used to start the 9th with a lead. Duffey would be used if/when the starter runs into trouble in the 6th or 7th. Until he shows he deserves a more critical role, probably use May to relieve the starter before the 6th (most likely when losing). Dyson and the AAA reliever rotation roles to be determined.
  19. yarnivek1972
    How long does Dyson get to use the trade as an excuse? Romo hasn’t been with the team that much longer and already has 3 effective outings. Sure, I think he’s throwing too many pitches out of the strike zone, but that is who he is.
  20. yarnivek1972
    That wasn’t the situation you specified. btw, Rogers has entered a game in the 9th with no one on and a 3 (or more) run lead 4 times in 2019. In one, he did not finish the game. Ryne Harper did. One was against the Yankees in which he had not pitched in 4 days. There was another against the Jays where he had not pitched for 3 days. The other was against the Indians and I seem to recall universal support for the decision to use him against the division rival in hostile territory. Rogers hasn’t been used as a traditional closer all year. I suspect that to continue. Indeed, trying to use someone else with a 3 run lead seems to support that hypothesis, no?
  21. yarnivek1972
    Is he though? Without looking at his usage, I suspect you can count the number of times he’s come into that situation on one hand.
  22. yarnivek1972
    I remember an interview with him stating it was his philosophy. It didn’t work out that well though.
  23. yarnivek1972
    Andy MacPhail’s philosophy was develop pitchers and pay for hitters. Ironically, they had much better luck developing hitters during his watch. Banks and Mahomes basically flopped. Rich Garces’ weight became his biggest obstacle. Neagle did alright, but of course he was used in the Smiley trade. Radke was the big success of MacPhail’s pitching drafts. Knoblauch, Leius, Cordova and even Chip Hale and Denny Hocking all were MacPhail draftees.
  24. yarnivek1972
    Of course, Kepler’s BABIP takes a hit (sort of) on those balls over the fence. If he had any thing close to a league average BABIP he might be putting up numbers second only to Trout.
  25. yarnivek1972
    He may not have even been in the ballpark in time to pitch the 7th or 8th.
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