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Tomj14

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Everything posted by Tomj14

  1. Tomj14
    Not saying he is an "ACE" but hasn't he been the best pitcher in baseball since last July?
  2. Tomj14
    A few positive spins on the projected rotation? 1] a pair of young arms in Berrios and May. 2] I don't care what Nolasco does going forward. He was a bad fit. I'don't rather have Santiago, and his numbers, and the way he finished his 2016. 3] I've seen the Twins put out worse rotations, lacking any growth potential, than this one. Ages: May (27), Santiago (29), Hughes (30), Gibson(29) Career Starts/Games: May (102/25), Santiago (174/116), Hughes (253/200), Gibson(98/98) I am not saying May shouldn't be our 4th starter, just pointing out that he isn't exactly young or proven yet. I think that Santiago and Gibson have proven they are legit 4/5 starters. So Santana pitchers like a 2, Berrios and/somebody else pitches like a 2, and May pitches like a 3 we should be OK in the starter roles. I also agree with other it wouldn't be a bad idea to bring up Gonzo or Meija to pitch a game now and then to get some seasoning instead of calling them up just when somebody gets hurt. (less pressure)
  3. Tomj14
    I think if he recovers and is someplace between 2014 and 2105, Santana pitches to career norm, Gibson is 2015, Santiago pitches to career norm, and Berrios or Mejia figure it out that is a decent enough staff to give the young hitters confidence that they have a chance to win most games. And since only Berrios or Mejia are ready or close to being ready to compete at the major league level that isn't a horrible plan. Plus you have May as a back up plan. Do I think all of these things will happen? Nope
  4. Tomj14
    I agree signing Trumbo isn't a good idea, but I have zero faith in Vargas (and don't understand why others do) and I don't see him as a solution to anything and if I am correct and we are short a DH or 3B if Sano ends up as DH. Park is a wild card and we don't have anybody in the system close to helping in either of these two, so I think that is something we need to address.
  5. Tomj14
    I am not saying we should sign Trumbo, but he is basically the same age as Park (Park is 6 months younger) and better than Kennys. So can it be said if you are against Trumbo, you are against Park and Kennys as the Twins DH?
  6. Tomj14
    Honest question is only having 1 regular with an OWAR above 1.8 an issue? (and that being the one we are talking about trading?)
  7. Tomj14
    He is my fear, 2019, Mauer gone, no replacement, 2B Dozier gone, polanco isn't what we hope he was. SS - Gordon (Buxton of 2016), 3B - ? OF, Rosario doesn't improve plate discipline, Buxton 20/20 guy, Kepler can't hit lefties, Sano solid DH, and a bat hole at C. And we have our current pitching prospects still trying to find their way. EDIT - I should have said and that is why I don't trade Dozier for less than they think he is worth, or why I give up any year too soon to stock pile prospects.
  8. Tomj14
    I said after the season there wasn't a real good match for Dozier, either the teams that needed a 2B didn't have the pitching or the teams with pitching prospects didn't need a 2B. With that said I don't believe you make a trade just to make a trade. It seems as most here have given up 2017 which I don't completely understand. You have a young core that should be ready this year or we are in trouble. Buxton, Rosario, Kepler, Sano, and Polanco. We need to complement them not force them to give up hope for two more years. If our pitching prospects are two years out (which it seems) and it takes two years (which most do), we will have missed our mark on the hitters and we will be starting another rebuild. With two wild cards I think it is tough to give up completely prior to a season.
  9. Tomj14
    "Daniel Palka adds to this team something they do not have:Left hand power" Or he adds something we already have too much off - K's
  10. Tomj14
    They Twins options at DH are Vargas, Park, Grossman, Palka and occasionally Mauer or the outfielders. That is GROSS even for a rebuilding team.
  11. Tomj14
    If the Twins idea is to have a 30 year old Park who has accomplished nothing in the majors taking space, I am willing to spend other peoples money on Jose. The draft pick is a high price to pay but in reality that pick is 3-5 years away from possibly making the majors, and 4-6 from making a real contribution. I am not a fan of Vargas, I think platooning him is the only option with him. I agree with most others saying pitching is our real need, not hitting.
  12. Tomj14
    So BJ/Melvin Upton with a longer career? I am hoping for better than those numbers.
  13. Tomj14
    With a lineup of Dozier (2B), Polanco (SS), Mauer (1B), Sano (3B), Kepler (RF), Rosario(LF), Vargas/Plouffe/Park (DH), Buxon © and any Catcher this team should win 80 games with even a decent pitching staff. If not the young guys will have failed to show improvement and we are looking at another rebuild of hitters which would suck worse than the last few years. IMO
  14. Tomj14
    On Vargas his career major league OBP is .309 and his K rate is 32%. In the minors he does have an excellent OBP (.372) but his K rate is 22%. I am not saying Mauer is the answer at all, my point is you can't start a whole teams that is going to K as much as these guys and expect to consistently win. That is why I am saying there isn't room for all these guys, if you want Palka, ABW and Vargas you can't have Sano, Buxton, Rosario and Kepler in the lineup. They are going to have to pick 3 or 4 of them and figure out how to swap the others for players that can help. Plus Vargas, ABW and Palka are all over 25, while Kepler, Buxton, Sano and Rosario are under 25.
  15. Tomj14
    Mauer strikes out too much also, but you are talking about swapping him out for a rookie that more than likely will strike out at twice the rate if not more. If you are going to go with an outfield of Rosario, Buxton and Kepler and they play 150 games and strike out at the same rate as last year you are looking at (192,123,148) about 460 K's. Even if they improve and that drops to just under 400, you can't add another K machine to that outfield. If you go with Polanco, Sano and Dozier in the infield you are looking at (230,100,127) another 450 K's at 150 games. Like I said with those guys you can't add another K machine. Both Palka and ABW K about 1.5 times a game though out their minor league career. There may be a spot for one of them but not unless you remove Sano, Buxton or Rosario from the mix. Again I am not a huge Mauer fan, but the talk of replacing his .363 OBP and replacing that with one of two guys that had OBP in AAA of .305 and .296 last year doesn't sound like a winning formula to me. ABW highest OBP in the minors is .319. Palka does have a .346 career OBP but again he is 25 already and has only played 133 games above A ball. Just my opinion.
  16. Tomj14
    I am not a huge fan of Mauer, but if you go into next season with Vargas, Sano, Plouffe, Palka, Buxton, Kepler. Escobar, Polanco, Rosario and a Catcher, there is a good chance everybody K's more than 100 times. (Plus Dozier if he is around) and I don't think any pitching staff will over come that. In my opinion that is the issue with the Twins offense now, they just strikeout way too many times. Team At bats - 5618 Team K's - 1426 25.38% If they don't figure out how to get on base more then we are going to end up looking for our next set of offense players and yet another rebuild. As long as we have Sano, Buxton, Rosario and Kepler, there is no place on this team for ABW or Palka.
  17. Tomj14
    Don't the Twins have Gordon and Javier in the minors? As for Dozier - I want a Steven Matz type of pitcher and another prospect or two, doesn't have to be in the top 50 just somebody with a good arm and if we have to throw in a prospect to do it I would do that also. I think by next year or for sure the year after that, Rosario (25), Buxton (22), Sano (23), Kepler (23), Polanco (23), Vargas(26) will either be playing enough to win or we will be looking to rebuild and start over, again. If you think they will be playing well enough we need pitchers that will be ready at the same time and not bringing up guys hoping they can contribute to a team trying to make the playoffs.
  18. Tomj14
    I completely agree with you about rankings but I needed something to use as reference of where other teams prospects were. I really was trying to say - it is great and all to say I want this and that from other teams, but those teams need to have that (most don't have what people are asking for) Gems are always great and scouting can find the guys floundering on other teams (Kluber and Liriano for example) but I don't want a trade for an established player to revolve around that kind of player.
  19. Tomj14
    I am really asking anybody, it just doesn't seem anybody is realistic on what we could get. I went to MLB prospects (I know there are probably better ones and looked at their top 100 - just pitchers) I don't see a team that fits what you are looking for. Lucas Giolite (3) - Wash Alex Reyes (7) - Stl Tyler Glasnow (8) - Pit Anderson Espinoza (13) - SD Francis Martes (29) - Hou Jason Groome (30) - Bos Jose De Leon (32) - LAD Josh Hader(33) - Mil Jeff Hoffman (34) - Col Tyler Jay (35) - MN Braxton Garrett (36) - Mia Reynaldo Lopez (37) - Wash Riley Pint (38) - Col Brent Honeywell(39) - TB Sean Newcomb (46) - Atl Luis Ortiz (51) - Mil Phil Bickford (53) - Mil Yohander Mendez (55) - Tex Robert Stephenson (56) - Cin Carson Fulmer (57) - ChiW Kolby Allard (60) - Atl Brady Aiken (63) - Cle A.J. Puk (64) - Oak Matt Manning (65) - Det Michael Kopech (67) - Bos Grant Holmes (68) - Oak Forrest Whitley (69) - Hou David Paulino (70) - Hou Mitch Keller (72) - Pit Erick Fedde (75) - Wash Sean Reid-Foley (76) - Tor Ian Anderson (77) - Atl Justus Sheffield (78) - NYY Luke Weaver (81) - Stl Stephen Gonsalves (85) - MN Mike Soroka (90) - Atl Yadier Alvarez (91) - LAD Triston McKenzie (95) - Cle Dylan Cease (97) - ChiC Tyler Beede (98) - SF German Marquez (100) - Col So our two best trading partners are Atlanta and Milwaukee. (Neither is trading for Dozier) Next three are Washington , Colorado and Houston, don't need a 2B. Next is Pittsburgh, maybe they would be willing if they didn't include Glasnow. Finally you have the Dodgers (32 and 91)
  20. Tomj14
    so we trade Dozier for Philip Humber, Deolis Guerra, and Kevin Mulvey? what does on the cup of AA/AAA mean? Is that Kohl Stewart, Felix Jorge, Tyler Jay, Fernando Romero, Randy Rosario,Stephen Gonsalves, Adalberto Mejia, Jose Berrios? Is that the kind of players you are talking about? Lets say those were the prospects from a team that needed a second baseman, what would it take to trade Dozier to them? (for me it would have to be Berrios, and two more of them)
  21. Tomj14
    Agreed, but if they trade are only 40 homer in about a half century for a bunch of minor leaguers that won't be here for a few years, it will cause people to not buy tickets, if there are any still willing to buy. We have traded a All stars before Frankie V and Johan and gotten back of bunch of crap, if they trade him they need to bring in somebody that steps up right away.
  22. Tomj14
    Honest question, all of you that want to trade Dozier, what are you expecting realistically in return? a 28 year old pitcher with a lifetime era 3.84? Somebody like Dylan Bundy or Shelby Miller? or just more pitching prospects like we have? or a top pitching prospect like Alex Reyes, Tyler Glasnow, Lucas Giolito? Would you be happy in a Dozier for Tyler Jay trade? I think sometimes people just like the unknown more. (the 28 old pitcher mentioned about is Hector Santiago) I would trade him but if it was for prospects the best of them would have to be in at least AA and a few below with crazy high ceilings.
  23. Tomj14
    In all honesty what are you expecting in return for Dozier? Are you expecting more prospects like Gonsalves,Felix Jorge, Fernando Romero,Kohl Stewart? or are you expecting a pitcher already established in the big leagues that fits behind or ahead of Santana? I am not saying don't trade him, but if we are going to get AA or high A can't miss prospects, it seems we already have a few of them. Or are you thinking we can trade Dozier for somebody like Shelby Miller or Dylan Bundy? I don't think it is fair to say Dozier/Polanco + Pitching Scrub X, I think you need to say Dozier/Polanco + May vs. Escobar/Polanco + S. Miller or D. Bundy. Because if we only get prospects you can't say league average pitcher. Just my two cents.
  24. Tomj14
    I think Anthony did a great job setting up the next GM (Minus not getting rid of Suzuki and possibly Brandon Kintzler) You go into next year with Santana, Gibson, Santiago, Berrios and Duffy/May/Wheeler/Mejia. If the hitters start out terrible again next year, you have can trade Santana, Gibson and Santiago for more prospects and if the hitters are good, you have plenty of prospect depth to try and go out and fill holes. So basically trying to win in 2017, but if that fails you have plans in place to hopefully trade for more prospects and hope one or two of those AA pitchers turn out.
  25. Tomj14
    This doesn't really seem that hard. 60 games left. Kepler 54 games in Right. Grossman 6 games in right. Buxton 50 games in Center. Rosario 10 games in center Rosario 35 games in left. Grossman 25 games in right 1B - Mauer - 40, Vargas - 10, Sano 10. 2B - Dozier - 45 - Polanco - 15 SS - Escobar - 45, Polanco - 15 3B - Sano - 30, Polanco - 20, Plouffe - 10 DH - Sano -15, Mauer - 10, Vargas 20, Dozier - 3. Plouffe - 12 You can play with each of those numbers a bit, but there should be no way Mauer and Dozier play more than 50 games, 22 is probably high for Plouffe. (I am not a huge Vargas fan and I see him falling off, but 30 games is good), Kepler, Buxton, Rosario, Sano end up playing almost all the remaining games. And you get 50 games to see what you really have in Polanco. Escobar gets to play in 3/4 of the games. If Sano or Polanco can't play 3B and SS, at least you have that figured out for next year.
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