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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Yet your avatar provides compelling evidence.
  2. nicksaviking
    So the Phillies signed German 17-year-old Julsan Kamara. I thought the Twins had the market cornered on German prospects. He's an outfielder though, I guess the Twins can focus their International budget elsewhere. Has anyone heard any updates on Aledmys Diaz? Is MLB going to take it's sweet time with the age investigation and cause him to wait an extra year to sign regardless of the findings?
  3. nicksaviking
    Did anyone else notice that despite the Twins efforts to get groundball pitchers this year they rank 23rd in GB%? Also of note, of the bottom 15 teams in GB%, 8 have winning records. Is it possible the Twins are succeeding partly due to an over-estimation of the rotation's ability to get groundballs, when in fact groundballs would have been a negative variable?
  4. nicksaviking
    Agreed all around. Like everyone else though, if I had to chose between my team losing a fundementally sound game or winning a grip-it and rip-it game, I'll chose the winning outcome.
  5. nicksaviking
    17 clubs have a team K/9 of 7.5 or better. Only 5 have a losing record. 13 Clubs have a K/9 under 7.5. Only four have a winning record. As far as BB/9 goes, the three best teams in this catagory (the Twins are number 1) all have losing records. Full disclosure: the bottom four teams in BB/9 also have losing records, however I think there is enough concerning evidence that strikeouts should be a higher priority than limiting walks. The Twins are probably quite fortunate at the moment not be giving up a ton more homeruns. In an era where more and more batters are becoming three-true-outcome-hitters (HR, BB or K) the Twins are basically taking away the preferred option and the lesser of the two remaining evils. It stands to reason that a team that doesn't strikeout many batters, and makes them get on base by putting the ball in play should be giving up a lot more longballs.
  6. nicksaviking
    Well regardless of my limited initial understanding of the role, congrats. Obviously your selection shows that your efforts are recognized leaguewide. Our Twins DO have upper echelon talent within the orgainzation!
  7. nicksaviking
    Or the quality of the scouting? Or development? This team loves pitchers who limit walks perhaps more than any other team. In recent years they have also seemed to target guys with strikeout potential in the draft. I think we actually need to question why the Twins have such a hard time finding guys who can fit into an acceptable range for both criteria. What are the other clubs identifying that the Twins do not seem capable of spotting themselves? By the way, my two cents is that a walk is not as big of a deal as the Twins seem to think it is. It is certainly preferable to a hit which can move runners over multiple bases and allow for sac hits, though at times it seems the Twins think the walk is the greater of the two evils.
  8. nicksaviking
    I agree, it was an interesting read but 5 years only shows a minor trend the sample size is just too small. Many factors could influnce who they take in the 3rd round. Perhaps through the second round other teams had been picking the bones of the HS players they still thought they could give a decent enough bonus to skip college and left some college players available the Twins were still really high on. I could see some stratagy working in tandem with rounds one and two about picking guys who compliment the expected size of each others contract, but I'd think after round two it's a free-for-all unless there's a significant signability issue.
  9. nicksaviking
    He has a much more forgiving wife than I do.
  10. nicksaviking
    Wow, that is the saddest and funniest accidental stat mis-adventure I have read! Ha, that is so awesome in fact that it taps into a new metric that really should be used to evaluate Twins pitchers because it is unfortunately oh so relevant. K9/ERAd: The difference between the K/9 and ERA. Pelfrey is at -2.1. It's like the guy who attempted to make a military grade epoxy but ended up inventing Silly Putty instead. Well done!
  11. nicksaviking
    Stew, I thought I saw that you were put on a commitee by the commisioners office to straighten out the wayward officiating that has suddenly plagued the game. Is this correct, or am I mistaken? I could have sworn I saw somthing about this during some broadcast but I can't find any info online?
  12. nicksaviking
    Of course one criticism is his unorthodoxed technique. Refining a technique could also help add velocity. Of course it's possilbe it could decrease it too. He's in my top 4 though. If he's also in the Twins top 4, I'm not going to be as butt hurt as I would have been two weeks ago assuming they miss out on Gray, Appel and Bryant.
  13. nicksaviking
    His OBP is over 100 points higher than his batting average. That's actually pretty impressive considering.
  14. nicksaviking
    Agreed. Surely he and Boras will spin it, but his draft stock soared due to the Cape showing, so the barometer needs to be set at that mark. It sounds like his slider is a great pitch when on, but if the velocity on his FB is 5-6 MPH lower than advertised, he's not going to be nearly as effective as expected four months ago. I'm not interested unless we get evidence in the next month that he's still capable of bringing the heat that was reported last summer.
  15. nicksaviking
    Yup, Gibson may profile to go deep into games with his control and moderate strikeout ability, but the other options all either give up too much contact or too many walks, both of which lead to too many baserunners which lead to early exits. And of course the Twins will be extra cautious of Gibson considering the TJ surgery and the innings limit. Funny though, he did throw 117 pitches in his complete game. Shouldn't the team be more concerned with the actual pitches and less with the innings?
  16. nicksaviking
    I don't get the disgust with the qualifying offer option. It's a no fuss no muss no sweat scenario. If by seasons end Morneau is a better player than Parmelee, where is the harm? Unless the Twins are suddenly going on a free agent binge, it's not like the team will be up against their self imposed salary ceiling. Is it overpaying? Yes. Does it matter? No. It's a one year deal and it's been said a ton, there's no such thing as a bad one year deal. So he gets overpaid, big deal, he fills a large hole and it's not like he's an unknown free agent who is getting this obscene deal, it's Justin Morneau, if you can overpay a guy for one season, it can be a guy who won your team an MVP and may one day have his number retired. Besides, perhaps he doesn't want a one-year deal and turns down the offer banking on Toronto giving him a three-year contract. Then the decision to split is on him and the Twins are awarded a draft pick.
  17. nicksaviking
    I just don't like how Moran profiles offensively as a corner infielder. Sounds like a solid hitter but with limited power potential. I don't want to be a "chicks dig the longball" kind of guy, but If your ceiling is Sean Casey, you better end up being Sean Casey, because if there is very little power potential and the hit tool ends up not paying off, it's a total bust.
  18. nicksaviking
    I think Walker moves up and moves up a bunch simply because his percieved biggest weakness, the strikeout, is not nearly as pronounced as expected. In rookie ball he was striking out in 30% of his plate appearances. He is now doing so at a 22% rate in full season ball. That's not an ideal percentage but in today's baseball, that is pretty acceptable, particularly for sluggers. Heck Buxton is lighting the world on fire with an 18% strikeout rate. Just as the Twins have moved Rosario and Sano in tandem thus far, I'd like to see them do the same with Buxton and Walker. Perhaps there's nothing to it, but I like the idea of providing some familiarity and chemistry when these youngsters move levels. I also like to think it breeds a certain competitiveness to help foster the idea that they are not falling behind or failing their buddy.
  19. nicksaviking
    Wow, this is the direction you thought it should go? This antagonism seems pretty intentional?
  20. nicksaviking
    So the Twins trade future contributors to the team to get the needed pitching instead of signing free agents? Why? To save money? Or do you think it's a safer bet to give away the yongsters than to sign a free agent? If so, I'd check with Toronto to see how they feel about Dickey, Johnson and Buehrle right about now.
  21. nicksaviking
    I agree. I still want him but no way should we be hoping for an ETA of 2015. Berrios was drafted a year before him and won't likely be up until 2015 under the best scenario, and among Berrios' high marks are his refined technique in contrast to his age and level. By all acounts, Stewart has more rough edges which almost always translates to longer development.
  22. nicksaviking
    Arcia only jumped one level last year, I guess I wouldn't consider that too significant. And again, I don't think any delay is service time related at this point, particularly because Arcia only recieved 81 PA at Beloit in 2011 and I'll bet no one can find a HS bat who spent less time at Low A for the Twins in this century. He then got promoted to Ft. Myers after only 235 PA in 2012. Because of this evidence, I feel the Twins made their decision to keep Arcia and Hicks at New Britain because of the affiliate's playoff run. You said you don't think the Twins did anyting wrong with Arcia last year which is true. But I'd wager you also wouldn't have have found fault had both Hicks and Arcia been moved to Rochester at the end of the year to get their feet wet.
  23. nicksaviking
    If it's Manaea teams surely will have done their homework on him. Just like the NFL draft, even the most intrepid reporters probably still don't know what each team's medical staffs know about the guy. I just wish it wasn't the Twins medical staff doing the evaluations.
  24. nicksaviking
    We can take Morneau and follow a slightly different string. Say he continues his current production as does Parmelee. At the end of the season the Twins have three options: negotiate a new deal, let him walk, or extend him a qualifying offer. For the sake of this discussion let's say the Twins do the smart thing and pick option #3. The qualifying offer may be $13.5-$14 million next year. Is Morneau worth that much at his current production? No. But is he a better player than Parmelee? Yes. If the Twins have no intention of spending big in free agency and have salary to spare, there is no reason they should not extend Morneau a qualifying offer as he is an upgrade to any other logical option under this scenario. The only reason you would not overpay for him is if you are bluntly offended at the prospect of a player getting the better end of a deal. I don't think car tires should cost $100 each, but I'm not going to drive around on the rims just to spite the Michelin Man.
  25. nicksaviking
    Agreed, and maybe I'm wrong, but he just doesn't seem to have much upside. The Twins drafted Berrios in that spot last year. The Astros later picked McCullers and even Bard the next pick by the Twins both seem to have upside. I can't say I've seen him pitch, but the numbers, the conference and the stats all seem to point to a "servicable" lable for Windle.
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