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ewen21

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Everything posted by ewen21

  1. ewen21
    That is all very cute, but we know what happened last year.
  2. ewen21
    Not meaning to be argumentative. WIth that, I will pull myself out of here for a few days Take care
  3. ewen21
    That one game "playoff" might be the post season to you. It isn't to me. That game was only a chance to make it to the post season.
  4. ewen21
    You seriously don't believe the buyer teams who express interest don't also express any concerns about the player they are interested in acquiring? You seriously don't think they try to drive the price down? I only expressed only ONE WAY how they might do that. I didn't even bring up his "clutchness" or lack of it. I simply responded to a poster who dismissed it as nothing. I am saying it MIGHT NOT be nothing to the buyer teams. The stuff you put in quotes is your own fabrication. Please don't try to pawn that junk off on me. Thanks
  5. ewen21
    That was never in dispute. It is a statistical fact that players (by and large) have worse "close and late" numbers but in the case of Dozier it is rather significant. He is also a veteran with no postseason experience. That can be a factor working against as well. I am only saying what the other side of the market is going to do. They will accentuate negatives as a means to counter the Twins. I am not going to say "other teams should want Dozier because..."
  6. ewen21
    I never said the negotiation hinged on those splits. It was only an example of ways Dozier's value can be further deflated. As I said in the last post, there wasn't a market for him last year. There isn't much of a market this year and he now only a two month rental. I guess we can sell the "Dozier gets hot in the second half angle" but then that is only lip service. What team is going to part with anything much by pinning their hopes on that?
  7. ewen21
    Yes, this opinions are subjective, but you are dealing in absolutes when you assert the data as completely irrelevant in the negotiation process. Not sure how you can do that. You are essentially saying it will have no affect at all and I don't see how there is a 0% chance those numbers don't get looked at or considered. I surely want to get as much for Dozier as we can, but we didn't get many bites last year and that was when he was slightly more than a two month rental
  8. ewen21
    I am not pretending to have a crystal ball. Nowhere have I predicted what he might do in the second half because that is pie in the sky nothing. In this situation, I stick to the facts. Teams possibly interested in Dozier will use whatever they can to get him for less. If these numbers are avaiilable to laypeople like us, don't you think office executives who do this for a living witl use myriad stats (these included) during the negotiation process? Put all that aside, and just look at where he is now. This was supposed to be the year for him to play for a mulityear contract. If he gets injured or doesn't have a very strong second half he isn't going to get the deal he was hoping for before this season. NOt even close.
  9. ewen21
    YOu can have your own opinion on this. I simply presented the facts. This is potential leverage against the Twins in any negotiations because to a contender they want to push his value down. It is the art of the deal. On the underlined, I know full well that close and late numbers are usually slightly lower, but it isn't in this case. His numbers are SIGNIFICANLY lower than his output in other situations. Not just a little bit, a lotta bit. Am I somehow wrong in these points?
  10. ewen21
    I did not use the word "choker". I simply presented the facts. My main point is that Dozier's performance in these situations can not be called an anomaly and in trade negotiations they will look for any way to undercut his value. These statistics are out there and they are not going to be ignored. You can draw your own conclusions.
  11. ewen21
    It isn't important that you agree with me or not. I simply presented the facts and these facts will more than likely be brought into the equation during any kinds of deadline deals.
  12. ewen21
    This is the kind of thing, quite frankly, that does this forum no good. You didn't even look at the links I have provided. The links I posted highlighted his CAREER NUMBERS so what you said above isn't even what I was talking about. I don't mind when people disagree with me, but I do have trouble with what you just did. I will try again and this time please give me some feedback on what these numbers say to you: CAREER NUMBERS, close and late: https://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_stats.cgi?full=1&params=clutc%7CLate%20%26%20Close%7Cdoziebr01%7Cbat%7CAB%7C CAREER NUMBERS, Margin > 4 R https://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_stats.cgi?full=1&params=clutc%7CMargin%20%3E%204%20R%7Cdoziebr01%7Cbat%7CAB%7C
  13. ewen21
    Dozier has been consistently horrible in close and late situations: https://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_stats.cgi?full=1&params=clutc%7CLate%20%26%20Close%7Cdoziebr01%7Cbat%7CAB%7C On the other hand, when the run margin in greater than 4 runs he is much MUCH better: https://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_stats.cgi?full=1&params=clutc%7CMargin%20%3E%204%20R%7Cdoziebr01%7Cbat%7CAB%7C There is enough statistical evidence to destroy any dismissiveness about how he performs in these situations. And if anyone thinks playoff teams are unaware of these statistics or are going to ignore them in trade negotiations they need to think again. This is more about the Twins than it is Dozier. He could have done better this year to command more value and demand and he choked in that area. Not the Twins fault.
  14. ewen21
    He has been on awful teams he seems to always heat up as soon as the season is lost I am tired of his act as well. He ticked me off with his comments about CIsco bunting on us early in the season and did it again after Escobar was hit by Porcello. What the heck is this all about? Is this supposed to be "breaking chops" which allegedly equates to "keeping the clubhouse loose" i.e "leadership"? Not funny (especially in front of the camera) when the incident was still fresh.
  15. ewen21
    Still not sure what the trouble is. But OK....life goes on
  16. ewen21
    YES, we actually are in agreement here. Remember the Dozier thread last year? Seems hardly worth it to have a reprisal of what happened there. I would be interested to know what kind of prospect we'd get. I actually agree with beckmt. Hard to imagine doing much better than the QO. THat isn't what I want the Twins to do because I feel Dozier has to be moved at this point. He is not a fit here
  17. ewen21
    The fact is Dozier couldn't fetch much in last year's market and he is going to fetch probably less this year. We saw the offer last year. What can we honestly expect when the guy has had a down year?
  18. ewen21
    What troubles you about my post? Be specific please and I will answer you.
  19. ewen21
    The real question for them would be how much better is Dozier going to make us? and Do we do a one year rental on a player who is having a down year? Generally speaking, the team dealing such a player is not in a position of strength.
  20. ewen21
    Dozier will give us very little in return. He is 31, having a down year, there are a lot of good second baseman in the game and he is just a rental. Sorry to say, but teams aren't lining up for him and we are not in a position of strength
  21. ewen21
    How players play seems not to matter. All this talk earlier in the year about just throwing Buxton out there and giving him at bats because he "isn't going to learn anything at AA" while he hits .150 in the majors was maddening to me. Don't call up players that are not hitting. Period. The problem is, Rochester is a consipiracy of ineptitude offensively
  22. ewen21
    Huh?
  23. ewen21
    An update: http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2018/06/derek-falvey-progress-byron-buxton-miguel-sano-jorge-polanco/ In five games with the Miracle, Sano’s hitting .250/.400/.300 with seven strikeouts and five walks in 25 plate appearances. The slugger was sent to the Twins’ complex in Florida to work on both his conditioning and pitch recognition. In a small sample size, the strikeouts are still high, but Falvey said his conditioning has improved since arriving two weeks ago. “We talked about the holistic plan around Miguel,” he said. “The conditioning has gotten better and better. He’s lost weight, done a good job. It’s not just the weight number, we want to make sure he’s strong. We’ve seen some things from an offensive standpoint in terms of adjustments. He’s progressing.” In two weeks his conditioning improved. As I said yesterday, he could have done nothing until New Year's Day and still come into camp in shape. If committed, given all the resources and time he had, it should have been a slam dunk. Even if he did nothing until New Year's Day!
  24. ewen21
    Let's call a circle a circle and a square a square. He messed up this off season and there is no way around it. Doesn't make him a bad person. When I was his age I was a college dropout. Dropped out after my Junior year and damn near lost my mind for about six months. It took me almost a full year for me to get past whatever it was that caused me to struggle, but it was ALL ON ME and I pulled it together. Far be it from me to turn on this kid. I am not saying he is a terrible person or saying anything controversial by questioning his work ethic. It needs to be questioned because of where he is at. If there is some kind of compelling issue that impeded him from preparing for a season post microfracture surgery, I haven't heard of it. I have to simply take it on its face, and again....this is fixable. If he can push through this year and show some life, then come into camp next year refreshed and in good condition a lot of people will give him a mulligan.
  25. ewen21
    Who cares? That is what you think and feel. That is what I am saying. If anyone thinks it is an assumption that he didn't work hard enough because he didn't care enough they are going to have to give me something concrete as to what else could have impeded him, otherwise they are making assumptions themselves. This is simple stuff. People don't fall into a situation like Miguel is in without being neglectful, irresponsible and far to sedentary. This idea that "you really don't know what he was doing" is ridiculous to me. I know when he came into camp the Twins and the media remarked immediately on his appearance. I know I reserved judgment until I saw him because there have been criticisms about his weight before and I did not think it was a big problem. That changed when I saw him this year for the first time. This is a guy that had microfracture surgery and for him to gain weight rather than rip down (not asking much, 10 or 15 pounds) is a terrible job by him.
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