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Harrison Greeley III

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Everything posted by Harrison Greeley III

  1. Is it possible for the Twins to trade him to themselves?
  2. I haven't done my Safety homework in this draft. Who is around for the 2nd round? Would it be worthwhile to trade up for Barron or Smith? Or is there anyone around later on in the 2nd that would be a suitable center fielder/run stuffer a la Bob Sanders/Mike Brown/Darren Sharper? Obviously my expectations are high, but there are three primarily elements towards making a Tampa 2 defense effective. A sack-happy defensive line, fast linebackers, and a healthy Bob Sanders type of safety. The only time Peyton Manning won a Superbowl was when the Colts had all 3 in January. The Vikes obviously need this for the defense to stop being embarrassing.
  3. They did one better. They reported the story. The information that he's holding against the family that he had an 'emotional and physical relationship' with Pavano in high school is now out of the bag and now he has nothing in terms of book deal leverage.
  4. I really don't care about a weak arm. Cuddyer had a great arm and he was still costing the Twins runs defensively in RF. If Revere can chase down balls that average fielders can't chase and not embarrass himself playing the bank off of the limestone, then he can play right field in the 8th after pinch running for Parmalee as much as possible.
  5. Dude is a swinger. He's good at making contact, and when you have his speed you're going to have a relatively high BABIP in the long run because he's beating out tapped ground balls that are outs for other guys. He's not going to walk and he's not going to strikeout. This is the kind of hitter he's going to be, the organization should not even bother trying to turn him into something he's not. I think he makes for a great OF depth play in the case of an injury or two as well as a pinch runner/late inning defensive replacement. That's the ceiling here and he's already near it. I say bring him north.
  6. Gabi Sanchez is a really nice 281st pick. It's a little ace SP heavy for my liking, as I like to take dependable bats early. So you're probably relatively light on dependable boppers. But there are always different ways of going about it and I've had a terrible run of it in the last few years so what do I know.
  7. Yep, I get that. I just don't understand why Johan Santana that makes the Rule 5 draft "over-rated." Nobody participates in this draft and looking at this thread, and half the participants didn't even know how it worked until they did some googling. And that's fine. But my definition of "Over-rated" involves some sort of respect or high regard. I think 'mostly irrelevant' is a more accurate description.
  8. Between Baker's health issues and Marquis's personal tragedy, I'd be more surprised if he doesn't go north.
  9. How can a draft that is ignored by all but 12 teams possibly be overrated?
  10. I got confused when he called Ben Zobrist a mediocre player. He is in reality what people have always perceived Michael Cuddyer to be.
  11. The problem is that a flame thrower who isn't protected on a 40 man roster is most likely a flamethrower who is trying to figure out how to throw strikes. That makes a potentially painful proposition with the idea that he's got to stay on the roster the whole year.
  12. Neither. It should be noted only 12 teams bothered with the Rule 5 draft. If a team has a scout or two that has a beat on someone undervalued in another system, this is a really nice low leverage way to take a chance on that player. Giving a guy a good shot to make the team and then sending him back after a couple of weeks of not missing bats is not a 'bad mistake' at all. It's a calculated low risk, high potential reward scenario.
  13. I like his defense and his speed. They aren't exactly missing out on much if he's mainly a pinch runner and late inning defensive sub till an outfielder gets hurt. It's just kind of an embarrassing way to use a former first round pick.
  14. He came to camp in shape this year. He didn't last year. He did in 2010. I like his chances of being consistently effective this year. But it's really hard to justify a big contract to a starting pitcher whose focus has so much variance.
  15. David Ortiz hit with a closed stance up here.
  16. Bah, I should have just posted in that thread then. Sorry. Were there a lot of Twins fans in that league? I'm the only Twins fan in my league so I'm assuming I can really sit back on my Liriano pick.
  17. My draft is Sunday for my head to head league. I'm mostly interested in finding mid to late round value right now, but I haven't done a good job keeping up on injury updates. And usually when it's written up on the big sites, there's no advantage at that point in the knowledge. I'm using Yahoo. I'm in a 12 team H2H 6x6 with OPS and K/BB as the extra categories. I'm looking at yahoo's current rankings and finding guys who I think may be undervalued, cross checking fangraphs projections and rotoworld spring training progress. Then I take their rank, divide it by 12 to tell what round I should expect them to be taken. If I want to reach for them, I'll consider them for the round before the expected draft round. For example: I kind of like Brennan Boesch's prospects this year. Yahoo has him at 196. In a 12 team league that means he's be expected to be drafted in the 16th round unless someone really reaches. Therefore if I do want to reach, I'd be thinking the 15th to start considering him on my radar. Other prospective reaches I'm considering are the following. Please speak up if you think I've got any of these wrong or if I'm missing anyone. Potentially Outperform list Dustin Ackley - 11th round (expected to go in the 12th) Brennan Boesch - 15th Emilio Bonafacio - 12th Gabi Sanchez - 15th Jason Kubel - 16th Doug Fister - 15th Francisco Liriano - 19th Doug Fister - 15th Justin Smoak - 22nd Ryan Doumit - 27th Yadier Molina - 16th Josh Willingham - 15th Wilson Ramos - 22nd Tyler Clippard - 26th I haven't made the underperform expectation list yet.
  18. An open 3 can be a higher percentage shot than a contested 15 footer. Especially when you factor in Points/attempt. But yes, the line should be where the NBA 3 point line is. There's almost no point to attempting a 2 that isn't a lay up or dunk. The other thing I'd change is the 35 second shot clock because it encourages 15 seconds of aimless perimeter dribbling before getting serious about running a play.
  19. This is quite a claim. He had a nice 2009, but not much more evidence that he'd develop into a high quality MLB pitcher. Maybe his stuff is going to get to the next level, but 2009 was a while ago.
  20. What was the case against? I can't find it in the numbers, and he's perceptually squeaky clean.
  21. Too bad. It would have been nice to have an effective sabermetric-minded pitcher in the bullpen.
  22. But who cares? Casilla will almost certainly be a lousy everyday 2B. Dozier might actually provide some value at the position. If he's lousy too, so what? The alternative was Casilla.
  23. This is a tough one. I suppose it all depends on how much you expect Cabrera to improve in hitting. I had the perception that he wasn't a bad defender, though fangraphs is refuting that notion. Ramirez is the highest WAR player in the past, but if Cabrera becomes an elite hitter, it's going to be a tough call.
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