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Vanimal46

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Everything posted by Vanimal46

  1. I agree he should be able to get hitters out either way. Seems like the new pitching coach messed with his mechanics to cause this loss in control. I don't know how else to explain the increase from 3 BB/9 to 5 BB/9 in 2018 to 2019.
  2. CC to Jim Pohlad. Strike while the iron is hot, my friend!
  3. I hope they stretch him out to start again. I hated that he was moved to the pen in the first place.
  4. Sure, that's the goal to keep the offense on the field as much as possible. The offense was terrible at converting short yardage opportunities to keep drives going, and we're all aware how bad the OL was last year. While the Vikings led the league in sacks up until the final week and wound up finishing tied for third with 50, they still posted some disappointing pass-rushing numbers. For instance, their 16 sacks on the road ranked tied for sixth-lowest in the NFL. Their number of sacks on first and second down (18) tied for eighth lowest, showing a lack of pressure generated with their typical four-man rush. Their quarterback hits (42, per PFF) were at a five-year low. https://zonecoverage.com/2018/vikings/three-telling-stats-from-the-2018-vikings-season/ I will keep beating this drum... Generating pressure and hitting the QB is the key to a good defense. Generating turnovers is unpredictable year to year. That's usually the cause of a great pass rush that flusters QBs and causes them to make mistake passes. The Vikings struggled with that and I don't see it getting better this year after they replaced Sheldon Richardson with Shamar Stephen.
  5. Of course there are exceptions to every rule, and the examples you mentioned are elite players who have been able to maintain good production longer than most. Harrison has been elite and has a good chance to bounce back from last year's campaign. I've never thought Rhodes was elite, YMMV. The key to a good defense is generating pressure and hitting the QB. Both DTs are known for stopping the run, not rushing the QB. I don't think Weatherly is a starting caliber DE, and Griffen was non-existent last year. If they can't fluster the QB, it's not a good sign to get off the field.
  6. While a lot of the blame got heaped on Kirk Cousins and the offensive line for the Vikings struggles in 2018, this was the unit that quietly took a huge step backward. Xavier Rhodes earned the lowest coverage grade of his career (55.1) while Harrison Smith went from a 91.6 coverage grade in 2017 to 68.7 last season. https://www.pff.com/news/pro-ranking-all-32-secondaries-ahead-of-the-2019-nfl-season Rhodes looked terrible in last week's preseason game. Getting burned by Cardinals WRs I've never heard of. If there's any way to trade Rhodes I would do it today. Alas, there's not a lot of demand for 29 year old CBs with as much guaranteed money he's owed.
  7. NFL fans are the worst. They forget the people they idolize are human too. They're acting like Andrew Luck intentionally kept this retirement under wraps in order to sabotage the Colts. It's sad... Truly sad.
  8. Go back a page and I detailed why I think it's declining. Not confident in 2 starters on D Line, lack of depth in the secondary now that Hill is suspended 8 games and Hughes on PUP, Rhodes/Smith nearing the age where historically players decline. Can you offer any evidence or research why they're going to keep getting better?
  9. Was just gonna post this. Shocking, indeed. I don't see him as the type of guy to come back to football.
  10. If they're still a bottom 5 offensive line... Woof. I'm hoping for a bounce back as a middle of the pack unit like they were in 2017.
  11. He was your adopt a prospect since the start... Now he can be your adopt an Ex-Twin!
  12. Harper was a fun story at the start of the year. But the gig is up... He's been figured out. When is Littell's 10 day stint in Rochester over?
  13. Neat. I was commenting about Tom's video showing every one of Graterol's pitches from this one outing. Nothing more, nothing less.
  14. Believe it or not I'm more confident about the offense this year than the defense. If the line is improved, which shouldn't be too hard after last year's disaster, that will boost the run and pass game. Dalvin should be in the prime of his career right now. Thielen relies more on physicality than speed so that should extend his productivity another year or 2. Diggs is in the prime of his career.
  15. I can lead you to water, but can't make you drink it... https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-the-nfl-cant-rely-on-defense/ There's years of data showing players start to decline at 30 and only gets worse from there. I never said a "rapid decline" is on the way. The defense is not young anymore... It's going to take a lot of things going right to maintain a top 5 defense.
  16. Yeah he's got a little too much Sam Deduno in his game for my liking... Meaning I don't think even he knows where the ball is going once it leaves his finger tips.
  17. Lots of question marks for sure with DT. It's difficult to project turnovers year over year. But one thing that's steady and consistent for a good defense is generating pressures and QB hits. A good pass rush lowers a QB's completion percentage by 5-10% all over the field, and results in higher probability of turnovers. If the DTs are all focused on run stopping, and we only have Hunter as a premiere pass rusher, that doesn't bode well for getting the defense off the field quickly.
  18. The Browns and Lions both went 4-0 in the preseason before going 0-16 in the regular season... I get it, and not basing that opinion off of preseason. I'm not confident in 2 spots on the D Line... Griffen's turning 32 in December and was a non-threat after returning from his mental breakdown. Is Weatherly ready to take more of his snaps? Will Weatherly be exposed in a starting role? Shamar Stephen/Jaleel Johnson as Linval* Hungry's partner... Richardson's pass rushing stats will be missed. He had 47 total pressures (30 hurries, 12 hits, five sacks) on 407 pass-rush snaps, giving him the 17th-best pass-rush productivity rating (6.4) among qualifiers according to PFF *Damn, Linval's 30 this year too. https://www.pff.com/news/pro-2019-free-agency-profile-sheldon-richardson Linebackers look good. I'm confident in Kendricks/Barr/Gedeon. It should be with the cap space they're commiting to the unit compared to other teams in the NFL. In the secondary, Rhodes turns 29 and Harry the Hitman is 30. Both at the age where it's not uncommon good players start to lose a step. CB and Safety in the NFL is high churn and young overall. Depth looked good but not at the start of the season with Hill suspended and Hughes on the PUP.
  19. Pressly's monthly splits in 2018: March/April - 13 appearances - 15.1 IP - 0.59 ERA - 20/4 K/BB May - 16 appearances - 13 IP - 4.15 ERA - 19/7 K/BB June - 12 appearances - 9.1 IP - 9.64 ERA - 16/5 K/BB July - 12 appearances - 12.1 IP - 1.46 ERA - 15/3 K/BB There wasn't a lot of risk on Houston's side. He had 2 elite months and broke down in June after Molly used him nearly every game. The stuff was always there as shown by the K/9 rate.
  20. Thanks Rob Manfred and the juiced baseball! It's no longer possible to compare results today to results 3 years ago.
  21. After watching Tom's video with every Graterol pitch, I've gotta say the dude looks wild with his pitches.
  22. Forgot to include Chicago in the tough part of the schedule. Now it's going to be easy!
  23. That's his floor for sure... Ceiling is a cross between Mike Trout, Babe Ruth, and Pedro Martinez. 2 way player!
  24. Celestino was promoted to high A today. One of the pieces in the Pressly trade. In 3 short years maybe we'll see him get a cup of coffee with the Twins!
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