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Loosey

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Everything posted by Loosey

  1. Loosey
    I agree May could be a nice addition to the pitching staff next season. However, I would not alter the off-season approach because he might be a pleasant surprise next year. I would approach the off-season thinking May is one of the many arms with question marks (which he is). If the Twins can get a quality starting pitcher or two I would do it if I were them and not think about what effect May could have. Never a bad thing to have too many pitchers.
  2. Loosey
    A question to piggy-back off of your comment that next year could be the best FA crop ever. Do you think that will actually dilute the pool in terms of $ being spent because of basic supply and demand? Or will each player get what they deem to be market value and inflate payrolls due to so many guys being at peak earning potential at one time?
  3. Loosey
    I have been thinking about how can the Twins acquire an Ace starting pitcher and still be able to keep most of their core intact. One idea that is WAY out this super high annual value and shorter years. Take Yu Darvish for example. His starting point for negotiations is probably at 5yrs / $120-125M. What if the Twins did something different and gave him less years but bigger dollars. 3yrs / $100M. That's $33M a year - A LOT per year. It brings Darvish through his 34 year old season. So assuming he pitches ace like he can most likely get one more contract with a high annual salary maybe a 2 year deal for $25M a year. So the value for him is he would possibly get $150M over 5 years. The risk to him is he doesn't pitch as well in the 2nd or 3rd year and might lose out on those additional 2 years at the high value he might get today. That is also the risk to the Twins who would be paying someone $33M who is not pitching well. But the benefit is they will be done with the contract sooner if that happens. Which is also part of the benefit for when Buxton, Sano, Berrios contracts come up in 2021.
  4. Loosey
    Very Cool! I never knew about his previous job as an on-air host for the Astros.
  5. Loosey
    The more I think about this, I might not do an extension. If the Twins become good again, I mean perennial playoff team for the next 3-4 years and a WS appearance and deep playoff runs, the amount of money that will be rolling into the team should be ridiculous. Winning solves a lot of problems. If those happen the team should have enough funds to pay for what they need. If they don't make deep playoff runs and get a WS appearance with Buxton, Sano and Berrios core what will they be paying for then? Great players on an OK team? If that core doesn't get the team to where we fans want it maybe they don't need to spend $300M on them.
  6. Loosey
    Those guys have years of performing like all-stars under their belts. Buxton so far has 3 months. Giving him $85M for 3 months of all-star like performance fair in my opinion. Or if he is confident in his abilities he will wait a few years and sign for much more. But $85M is guaranteed the day the pen touches paper. A much larger deal isn't guaranteed until he can sustain his 3 months of great play for a year or two. An injury or poor play and both deals disappear.
  7. Loosey
    Buxton hasn't proven to be a $100M player yet. The last few months he was there, but hasn't done it for a season or 2 yet. I think the Twins could get him to sign something in that $75M-$100M range. That's life changing money for someone who is already a millionaire. It gives him and his family stability and makes him not have to worry about getting to that next milestone of FA. Rip up his deal. Give him a bump this year to $3M. Then buy out his Arb Years and 3 years of FA. I'd suggest: 2018 $3m - Pre-Arb 2019 $6m - Arb 1 2020 $10m - Arb 2 2021 $12m - Arb 3 2022 $17m - FA 1 2023 $18m - FA 2 2024 $19m - FA 3 Total: $85m
  8. Loosey
    He is even older than I realized. I was thinking he was like late 50's. Even more reason to ask the question, does he want to continue the grind of a full season? Being the spring training guy who gets to go the Florida in February and March sounds much better than managing every. single. day. But maybe this is something he loves to do.
  9. Loosey
    Does Molitor want to continue managing? I assume he is a relatively wealthy person from his playing days and is still pretty young. As much as I love baseball, if I were in my 50's, retired and rich I wouldn't want to manage a baseball team. As cool as it would be for while, the season is long. And it is during the best months of Minnesota. Maybe he really is trying to decide do I want to commit to 3-4 more years of traveling every week from March-October. He could be doing a lot of other things that might be more fun. But he might just love being around the game and want even more years.
  10. Loosey
    Well the slider was non-existent and now so is the Twins 2017 season. You could tell Erv didn't have his stuff in the first at bat. Erv actually threw a strike three to Didi Gregorious, but the fact he missed his spot by 3 feet there was no chance of it was to be called a strike.
  11. Loosey
    The fact the team was competitive this season really didn't give Falvine a chance to show what they could have done if the team would have played closer to expectations. A lot people are complaining about the fact they didn't do much to improve this or that. The team was basically a middle of the road team. They were playing OK baseball, not good enough to shoot for the moon and not bad enough to sell off veteran assets. I think this offseason will give them a chance to show what they can do now that they have also started getting their own people in place in the front-office (or at least getting rid of old regime guys).
  12. Loosey
    Buxton is taking his "nothing but rain drops" quote quite literally this year. I like it.
  13. Loosey
    I would want Gee in case the good kind of out of control happens. If someway, somehow the Twins jump out to say a 9-0 lead by the 3rd inning, do you sit down Santana and go to a bullpen game and use Gee and Berrios and another arm or two the final 6 innings? That way it sets up for Santana to possibly be available in Game 2 of the next series assuming my bullpen game plan doesn't blow up and the Yankees mount an incredible comeback.
  14. Loosey
    The LaVelle tweet was a joke in regards to the Twins scoring 17,16 and 13 runs over his last 3 starts.
  15. Loosey
    I can only think of one scenario I would sacrifice bunt. Runner on 2nd, 0 outs, Tie game or down 1 run, 9th inning or beyond.
  16. Loosey
    Actually I would assume a .500 record will get them in based on the teams chasing. 9-8 will be 85 wins. outside of the Angels who have a horribly tough schedule coming up, the rest of the team will need to be about 12-5 to get to 84 wins.
  17. Loosey
    Is there a tie breaker if teams tie for 2nd Wild Card? Or is it a coin flip?
  18. Loosey
    Based on the teams left and the records needed to get to 85 wins, I don't think it's crazy to think that the 2nd Wild Card team might get in with 84 or even 83 wins. All of the contenders currently have records ranging from 75-69 to 72-74 (as of 9/13). The Twins winning pct is .521 at the top of the heap now and lowest realistic 2nd wild card contender .493. If the Twins go 9-9 they get to 84 wins which would be slightly under their current winning percentage but attainable. The Angels at .507 today, would need to go 11-8 to get to 84, a .610 winning percentage against some very good teams. The rest of the teams would need to play anywhere from 12-4 to 12-6 to get to 84 wins. So teams currently at or below .500 would need to play somewhere between .750 and .667 ball over the next 2.5 weeks. Again, possible but not likely. So the fact the Twins are the only team that can play under their current winning percentage and get in is probably a good thing. But anything can happen. Here's hoping they don't mess around and just keep winning.
  19. Loosey
    I should have bought lottery tickets that day in March.
  20. Loosey
    Thanks! Based on how bad the Twins were over the last 5+ years its hard to believe that only 3 guys have made it to the Big Leagues since 2013. And all of them this year, none of them are really impact guys either. Hildenberger could become one, but for now Granite, Slegers and Hildy are it. Not great when you have been rebuilding team. 2012 is a better with Berrios, Buxton, Duffey etc. But man, that 2011 draft, Woof!
  21. Loosey
    I think he is slumping right now. I don't think there were as many concerns prior to his multiple times getting hit in the wrist. I'm just spitballing, but perhaps his swing speed is off due to that and he has to guess now and is chasing pitches he wasn't earlier in the year. Bottomline: He is going to strike out a lot every year. I just hope this recent stretch of non-competitive strikeouts and chasing pitches is due to a slump, being banged up etc.
  22. Loosey
    I doubt he gets into any game that is not decided. I assume he is mop up man.
  23. Loosey
    I'm excited. But I also know this is a young team that has (and will continue to have) ups and downs this year. Right now we are experiencing another up. I hope it continues and will enjoy it. Maybe the next down will not come or maybe it will be small. Obviously there is a reasonable chance at playoff baseball this season, which is very exciting! Based on previous seasons 86 wins is about what is needed to get in, So 30-20 the rest of the way give them an excellent shot. They have lots of games against teams with losing records, so yes, lets get excited! But be reasonable as well. There are 6 other teams in the same boat fighting for one spot.
  24. Loosey
    I agree with Doc. I think ever since there has been a bigger focus and access to minor leaguers and prospects, expectations have started to become unreasonable. 10-15 years ago we rarely heard of anyone not knocking on the door the major leagues. Now we know about every player in the system with some degree of detail. When we begin to see a player have success in Rookie ball up through AA, I think we start to dream about what could be. Now when they falter we get upset and call them busts.
  25. Loosey
    That's a good question. I have never thought of the logistics of the process. Fantasy football sites have a database of players available and have waiver claim priorities. I wonder if MLB has a similar type of closed network database where teams can just go in and make claims, expose players to waivers and then talk smack to other GMs via a message board.
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