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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    88 wins by 2016? Given the prospects in the system now, I have a high confidence that they should be able to hit that, whether the present regime is there or not. That's just me. Another really bad losing season will mean another very nice prospect at the top of the draft as well, which might very well be ready by 2016.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    As others have said, there's good reason to be skeptical of this rumor, but this was pretty similar to how it went down last year. Just a couple of weeks before the draft, people started talking about Correa going high. No one thought the Twins would even consider him and 2 and Houston took him at 1. If the Twins want a shot at Appel/Gray, then something like this absolutely has to happen.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    There's probably a lot more to it than velocity. I can think of a few things... Age is a big one. Guys continue to get stronger into their late 20s which can see improvements. Minor league seasons are shorter as well, so hitting a few more HRs over the course of a season is reasonable too. In the pros, you have far more than increased velocity. The breaking pitches are better as well. I'm sure there are some qualities that translate to the majors much better than others, but trying to project them on guys like Buxton vs. Parmelle doesn't work. For one, Buxton doesn't see very many good breaking pitches at his level. Parmelee does. While Parm has definitely struggled, I'm a bit unhappy that he isn't playing every day. I get that he hasn't exactly earned it, but we walked into this season wanting to know what we had and he was benched within a month after getting off to a decent start and cooling off. I don't see how this really answers any of those questions. Perhaps Morneau or Willingham gets traded so we can answer that a bit better later this year, but in a lost cause season, you have to give a guy like Parmelee the chance to prove himself.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    This. In no world is an ace worth less than a power bat. You see it in what people pay for pitching, and in how hard it is to find a good ace. The advantage Bryant has is that he's much more of a sure thing than a guy like Stewart, but in terms of ceilings, Stewart, Gray, and Appel are far better options. I certainly wouldn't cry about getting Bryant, but a lineup full of sluggers wont' be winning many games without good pitching... and we all know well what types of pitchers that our rotation would be augmented with.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    Haven't heard much on him, is he a candidate for 4 overall? If so, I think I'd rather have Stewart or Manaea... Second round... on the other hand...
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Truth be told, there's always someone who's a signability risk in the second round. The issue at hand is that the Twins have zero control over who that person might be. I think this is a great strategy if the Twins look a 4-10 and see that they are all about the same in terms of risk/reward. At that point, I agree wholheartedly with John. The problem though is that I still think the reward is there at 4. I'm a bit more leary on Manaea now after the injury, though I'm not against getting him (especially under slot), but I think the guy they should be targeting is Stewart. He's got Gray/Appel upside but a longer development time. Unless Houston takes him, I don't see any way the Twins don't grab him short of something really surprising happening where one of Appel or Gray is sitting there at 4.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    Putting a guy in the bigs sooner than he should be won't grow the trade value of his contract nearly as much as it would if he was dominating at successively higher levels... Putting him up early wastes service time. And service time is one biggest contributors to trade value.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm sorry, I know he isn't doing great, but Parmalee really needs to play every day.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Honestly I think Stewart to Houston makes more sense than anything. Their new core is a bit further away than ours. Appel/Gray would be up in the bigs pitching well for some bad teams. That just wastes service time and by the time the core gets up and gets established, those guys are looking a couple more years of arb at best. Stewart would take a bit longer to develop, which works for them a bit better IMO. The problem is that I still don't see Appel or Gray getting past Col and Chi... Col might might might take Bryant, but I have a tough time believing they wouldn't take the pitcher in that scenario.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    As I said before, I doubt Gibson sees MLB this season. He has been pretty up and down in AAA, so why exactly should they burn his innings in MLB? Deduno is what the Twins likely view as an expendable commodity. Gibson is more valuable, and it makes sense for the team to make him iron things out in AAA so he has less to iron out in MLB.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, the rule was ruled right... it's a stupid rule though. Remember way back when one bounced off of Jose Canseco's head and went into the stands (or something like that)... the ball would have never made it over otherwise. I'd call that a double. The rules disagree.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem with this that you seem to be ignoring is that "clutch" is not a repeatable skill. They may have one year where they hit .350 with RISP, and then follow up the next year hitting a measly .220. Over a career, one's "clutchness" tends to trend towards their career average, and there is plenty of evidence towards this. I'll make it real easy to prove this. Name 10 present day major leaguers who are clutch, and base it only on their RBI totals. Once you've done this, we can look into their careers a bit closer. Whether you like it or not, RBIs are very much a team dependent thing. Other than by home runs, you won't be racking up RBIs when the guys in front of you don't get on base. And in the event that the guys in front of you do get on base, you'll find plenty of situations where a hitter gets an RBI without ever reaching first base. RBIs are team stats. I'm far more interested in how a team as a whole gets them, and the best way to get lots of RBIs is to stack a lineup full of guys with high OBP/OPS.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I can't either... Just commenting on Matt's board and hoping there's something to it.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    Last start 5 IP, 5H, 0ER, 2BB, 5K
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    Appel and Gray at 3 and 4... Not sure what to think about that. Here's to hoping at least 2 of the other top 3 GMs agree.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think so. He's hardly earned it. I get that there's starters who haven't either, but like everyone else, they need to work a bit at the ML level to see what they have... and in the case of Pelf and Worley, they have had success at the majors and do deserve a longer shot. Pelf for the simple reason that he's a tradable asset if things start working, and Worley because he's a longer term piece. This is a rebuilding team. Gibson is a big part of that future, but he hasn't exactly kicked the door down either. No reason to waste service time when he can still develop in AAA during a season that is quite frankly lost for him and his team.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Really, all this about 14 pitches? Gibson didn't do well because he's not ready. He's still recovering from surgery. He's already on an innings limit, and being up in the show would certainly not have given him better chance of success. Gardy might want to have done the same thing, and it's not unreasonable. 100 pitches is not some sort of magic number. I suspect it has more to do with how a pitcher's mechanics alter when he tires, and 100 pitches seems to be a good place to start. The moral here is that over time pitchers need to build up stamina in that arm. The kid needs to build up some arm strength post a year plus layoff, and he still has to work on some finishing touches with regards to getting hitters out. As I said previously, I doubt we see him this year given this and the fact that he's on an innings limit. Throwing 114 pitches the start before has absolutely nothing to do with it.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    seems to me that if the Astros are going to rock the boat, they take HS talent to fit in with the guys they have... I'd think Stewart would be a better pick for them... Same upside as Appel/Gray, but a bit further away and more in line with what they have... I could see him going a couple million under slot too. They could use that to entice other HS guys.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    You should have challenged Hawk. I'm not sure he could put TWTW with "The Will to Win". I'm sure that would have been amusing to watch.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    1) Souhan is an idiot. 2) The people being called out here are the guys who should be the lineup every day, regardless of how well they do. Plouffe and Parmalee both showed that they didn't need AAA time. Dozier might need some seasoning, but right now he's looking like an average middle infielder, which is something this team has been missing for a while. I get that they aren't producing, but this season was lost when we went into it with a rotation fronted by Pelfrey, Correia, and Worley. Let those kids play and see if they can develop. The ones that improve will find themselves in the next wave. The ones that don't get let go or become role players.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Am I missing an inside joke, or someone trying to get banned?
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    With Hammer, it depends on what was offered for him last year. I doubt anyone wanted to pay much for that very reason... My short list of potential trades: Morneau Hammer Doumit Carol Perkins (though I think this one is more logically an extension) Burton If the Twins are .500, trading off these pieces for help in 2014/15 makes a lot more sense. The record will dive, but that will do nothing but improve draft stock next year too. If Morneau hit a few more HRs, I see him fetching something nice. Willingham needs to get the average up to do the same. Perkins would get something nice, though I'd argue it would make more sense to extend him.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    skimmed through it... found it interesting that the competition is so high that they wonder if there's link between hair color and baseball skills...
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    This board wasn't here. I was on BYTO when that happened. People were quite happy about it.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    Gray/Appel Stewart/Manaea. I'm guessing Gray and Appel won't be there at 4, and I'm leaning Stewart, who has the same upside but will require seasoning. It sounds like Manaea's problem is that hip injury, which should heal, so I'm not against that either, though I suspect he's going to need a year or two in the minors.
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