Jump to content
Click here to check out our updated free agents rankings, now up to 150 players and sortable by position! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

diehardtwinsfan

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,174

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    22

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    There were quite a few people (myself being one) who did not want us taking Turner at the beginning of the season. I think you are overly high on him. I just don't think Turner is a wise pick at 5. Perhaps I'm wrong, but I think the Twins should take an upside pick here. Turner doesn't have the upside.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    After reading these threads, I'm not as down on Nola as I once was. That said, I'm quite happy to be typing that the Twins have no room for him on the roster next April... or the April after that. I think I'd rather go high upside with the pick, even if it fails... that might be the wrong answer 10 years from now, but given the org needs, I think BPA should have considerable upside.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    Baseball is a game of adjustments. I have no doubt that opposing pitchers picked up on our walk heavy tendencies and started throwing more strikes. I also suspect that they started widening the zone a bit once hitters got used to it. In Parms case, I think there's something to him needing to be a bit more aggressive. When he destroyed AAA, he was being aggressive, but he had a great OBP. When he came up, the OBP wasn't bad, but he was very timid. I think in his case, recognizing when you get a hittable pitch and 'swinging like a man' at it would be best for his career. I like walks, but there's still a balance between working the count and taking a good cut at a hittable pitch.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Many of the vets will inevitably fail too. Baseball is no sure thing.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    funny how memories differ. I remember a lot of people wondering how it is he had survived at SS that long and how the scouting reports didn't capture how truly horrible he was on defense.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    While Buxton is an excellent prospect, I do think it's wise to temper expectations a bit. He hasn't even been exposed to AA yet. Once his wrist heals, he will get there, but May of 2015 essentially means he destroys AA like he did A and A+, which may be wishful thinking. Given his season is rapidly becoming ruined due to injury, I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up spending more time in the minors.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    The 4th year is pretty simple actually. The team needed pitching and if they waited for the market to play itself out, they might be without pitching. Both signings happened shortly after the FA period began. If you want to get a guy there, you have to get him at a value that he doesn't reasonably think he's going to get. In short, they probably overpaid for both... The flip side... they got the guys they wanted.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I seem to remember Plouffe being trumpeted as an averge defender at SS too.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Nice read. I'd think it makes more sense to have a team near some of their other affiliates, but the cold weather climate is something they have to deal with in MN, so having some teams in similar climates also makes sense.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    To address the OPs statement, I think addressing this in terms of luck is not a good idea. Just because something falls into a bell curve doesn't mean that the results are random. Things can appear to be random, even though they are not. Hicks simply isn't making contact. If his bat speed is too low, then he's a lost cause. However, I don't think he would have been a highly regarded prospect if this wasn't the case. It's more likely in my opinion that he coudl benefited from the more gradual exposer to tougher pitching so that he can make those adjustments. Going from AA to MLB was too much. I'm hoping that this eventually starts to play out as he figures things out, but I do think that AAA was teh best option for him and at the moment still do. Unfortunately, there's nothing on the 40 man to give that to him.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    walks are less valuable than singles, I don't think anyone would argue, but walks do pose a few problems: 1) increased pitch count 2) it puts a guy on base. I don't think WHIP is that pointless, limiting walks is within a pitcher's control, and less of them means less runners.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    Given the SoS for April/May, I think most of us would have laughed had someone said they'd be 2 games above .500 near the end of May. This is definitely going to be a big test, but I'm to the point where I think they can do it. I think they'll still be within a game or two of .500 at the end of this.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    With Darnell, May, and Meyer on their way up, I wonder if it's time to sell on Deduno. He's not young, but he's cheap and has demonstrated AL success. With continued starting success, I'd think he'd fetch a nice prospect. They are going to need to find room for these 3 and with Hughes and Nolasco under contract, and Gibson also doing quite well, there's not enough room.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    of course if they were pitching him inside, perhaps they were expecting him to pull. I learned a ton about UZR today, so I really appreciate this conversation. I cannot help but wonder if it would just be easier to track the number of catches an OF makes relative to their peers at the same position. You can normalize it by the number of innings played in the position. I'd think the better defenders would typically lead those categories. If they are out of position, it shows. If they are in position, it shows. A lot more simple, and then you can start calculating how many outs/game a good defender can make.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I predict multiple hit games for Hicks and Parmelee today.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    Inflation may pick that up a bit, but I'm thinking Suzuki is going to want a starting gig... But a Redmond type deal might also require naked batting practice.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    There's a problem with history here as Ks weren't emphasized the way they are today. Teams were also quite willing to have low hit good defense guys at a number of positions too. The game has changed quite a bit. I'd argue that a many of the HOF pitchers were still high K guys relative to their peers, and that I think is more important. Where the K/9 stuff comes from is the fact that for the most part, when a ball is put in play the amount of time a batter reaches base doesn't vary much from pitcher to pitcher. I think there's quite a bit of assuming going on here, and I get annoyed when it's attributed to luck, but the bottom line is that the best hitters in the world tend to fall into a bell curve in terms of the amount of times they reach base once they make contact. As such, the best way to prevent runs is to prevent contact. A guy that can record 1K/inning is generally going to record one or two less hits per game over a guy with a 4.5K/9.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    My understanding is that unless they've worked out an arrangement for no QO, a team and player can go year to year with QOs. That really isn't in the player's best interest unless the player knows they won't get that kind of cash on the FA market. Drew manages to skirt it b/c he hasn't been on the roster all season. I have a feeling no matter what he was going to do, he was going to sign with someone who would agree not to do a QO... He's marginal enough that this really hurt him.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    Why is it I was thinking he was signed for 2 seasons instead of 1? Guess I'm going crazy. My take, if he isn't going to net much more than a marginal prospect, I'd hold on to him. I don't see any evidence that Herrmann is going to do much of anything at the ML level and I'd probably be willing to do a Mark Redmond type deal with Suzuki if he was up for it. He may want to try his hand in FA, b/c if this season continues, he's probably going to get a larger contract, high BABIP or not.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    Unfortunately, I don't think this is an option with KC. The Twins had to burn an option with Arcia to make this work. KC has a major league contract and I'm pretty sure he can refuse the assignment and walk away with 6M.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I personally don't understand how UZR can fluxuate that much over an entire season. I would think given the number of balls hit to a players zone over the course of the season would even things out... unless the metric doesn't account for things like grounders through the infield, or liners off the wall...
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't see either having much value, though given the way the AAA pitching has worked out, I'd be happy trading either for a bucket of baseballs as their replacements should be pretty nice upgrades and there's plenty of depth if they fail.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    keep in mind that there's a certain overall percentage that you can go overslot with without penalty. That adds some wiggle room there.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    Cmath, I highly doubt you watch all of the Phillies games either, so I'm not sure how this makes you more qualified than RiverBrian to talk about the pro/con of UZR. I don't think that watching every game is a prequisite to being able to distrust or trust UZR and other defensive metrics, especially given the fact that there's quite a bit of disagreement in the SABER world on the value of these stats as well. It's not a whole lot different than you and I saying we should not place value on stats like Wins, Losses, and RBIs. I'd caution you a bit here. RB is using the eye-test from his own observations, and you are not. Baseball uses both approaches, and the general consensus of Twins fans watching Revere during his time here was that he was a pretty good defender. I have no problem with you choosing to disagree, but there's no reason to be condescending about it. Thanks,
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    too much risk for the first pick. I'd much rather have Gordon, Jackson, or a half-dozen pitchers a head of him.
×
×
  • Create New...