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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    I like it. Good work.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    I think an established floor should factor into ratings to an extent. Darnell has had success in AAA and has shown flashes of a guy who could be a #3. Is he there yet? No, but he's not far from being ready.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    7 infielders for 4 spots? Seems like a lot there. I think they'll want a bat they can use to PH for a weaker spot. May end up being Nunez, but I'm failing to see Herrman here given that he's not a very good hitter. He may be versatile, but he's not a defensive whiz out there either.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, I do agree with others that given the Ks and the weak contact, a higher walk rate won't kill him, but he's got to have more command than that. It's one thing to miss your spot by a couple inches, but when it's obvious, you'll put runners on and encourage more hitters to be patient. I think this was for the best. I do think he'll have a good career, but unfortunately, he needs more time. I think we forget that he's only been in the minors for 3 seasons. If he's pitching well in June, he's probably first on the callup list when someone goes down.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I know a lot of people around here don't like it, but walking 4.4/9 in AAA is going to be a lot worse in MLB. I think he's up at some point this year, but I'm not too worked up about letting him spend time in the minors. He needs to start, period. He's already not where you'd like from a work load standpoint given his injury history. Long term, this is probably for the best.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    The difference being is that there's only 5 picks in front of us and 2 of them cannot draft Aiken. I'd hazard a guess that at least one person falls... whether it be a Sean Manaea type situation or a talented HS kid who's a bit more of a project that will take a 7 figure sum to pry away from college. But someone will fall, we jut don't know who. The real issue trying to quantify the risk/reward of the scenario: Aiken + risk plus better value at #73 > whomever they are passing up. I'm sure there's some formula the Twins use to figure this out... Might be a good question for Jack Goin if he pops back up here. I'm sure the numbers are intellectual property, but I wonder if he could shed some light on how that works within the org.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    Duffy wasn't on the radar when the resigned Pelfrey. I doubt anyone expected him to do as well as he did last year. I was wondering about Santana. I get that he's a good pitcher. However, for all intents and purposes, that leaves one open spot for the next 3 seasons for Meyer, May, Berrios, and others to fight over (baring a trade). Back to the topic at hand. While he may not be trying to strike everyone out, he needs to up that K rate a bit more I suspect. From what I've read, he throws in the mid-90s, so velocity isn't the issue. But if he can up the K rate, he can end up being a bit more than a back of the rotation arm.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I really hope he had an insurance policy that pays the difference between what he would have made and what he will make if he's injured... On that note, say this is worst case and it's a TJS. He will probably be there at 6. Do the Twins go ahead and draft him and (if he agrees) sign him under slot (probably in the 2-3M range) knowing he's essentially out until at best rookie ball starts up next season at the best and all of 2016 at worst. Then use that cap money to get someone that falls into the 2nd? I could see that being a good investment if they think there's some high upside HS talent that will fall due to signability issues.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Unless your name is Jose Canseco and you happen to have a ball bounce off of you into the stands...
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I think there's something to be said for overall health too. I have to think that getting up and sitting down and warming up to throw 9 pitches against 2 hitters is not only wasting an arm over the course of the season, but adding additional injury risk because that guy doesn't get the next day off to recover... not to mention that if the previous reliever got the job done well in the previous inning, why not let him back out? At least then he gets some recovery time...
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure that the roster should be constructed based on the fact that they acquired Meyer and May in a trade. Though personally, I'm on the May bandwagon (not for that reason, as I think he is the guy that will likely perform best over the course of the season). I have to think though that if everyone stays healthy that at least one of Pelf/Millone won't be in the Twins organization come opening day. There are tons of teams who could use a 5th starter that would happily trade some international bonus dollars for one of those guys, and I have to think that Ryan would jump on it if they did.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I thought there was no structural damage to Thorpe's UCL. Does anyone remember if it was a sprain/partial tear/whatever?
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    The Twins need above average players across the diamond as well as on the mound. They haven't had a lot of that the last four years, which is why they've been so bad. Escobar, believe it or not, was an above average SS both offensively and defensively. Santana was above average offensively, but he never played SS. Both are certainly candidates for regression, but this is the second season where Eduardo has hit quite well for an extended period of time. I think Escobar's issue has more to do with longevity than talent as he wore down in 2013 and again last year (though to a lesser extent). Would I trade him? For the right price. Personally, I'd probably put Santana in AAA to see if the bat is for real and let Escobar run out there every day in the short term. But if the team is sold on Santana, then switching Escobar to a utility role is both unfair to him and minimizes his value to the Twins. As a starting SS, he has value... and quite a bit. As for a trade, if you packaged him with say Nolasco, just understand that he's being used to get out from under a bad contract, so the return is going to be underwhelming. As for a trade, I'd trade him for just about anyone that Sickles rates at a B or higher. Those aren't bad prospects (Kepler, for instance was a borderline B- prospect whose final grade was a C+), and I think a lot of people would be happy to get a Kepler like prospect for him.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    I think Aiken is my first choice. I'm not really enamored with the college pitchers and none look like the ace type (and those that do won't be there at 6) and the Twins rotation in the short term is pretty full. I'd rather go with the upside of an Aiken (if by chance he's there), another high upside HS P, or a bat. If Happ truly has the best bat in the draft, I could see grabbing him as the corner OF is certainly not accounted for, and even if that problem solves itself, it presents an opportunity to trade someone for something.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    Interesting review on both. We will see on Stewart. I'm hoping a lot of that picks back up in the FSL this season (particularly the Ks). It should be a big year for him.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    I think it will come up. His minor league career certainly indicates that it can. It's all about adjustments. Even a .020 increase in BA without losing his other stats would be pretty significant.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Problem as I see it is that while Santana's bat might be ready (looked good last year, but definitely a regression candidate), his glove most certainly is not. I'd be thinking long and hard about Santana in AAA. He needs to play at SS every day. CF as a short term gap I can live with, but moving him into a utility role or doing the experiment again this year is not good for his long term progression.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    How has May done this spring?
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure I like the idea personally. Rosario has yet to hit well in AA (something Hicks was able to do I might add). Not sure I like the idea of repeating the Hicks mistake. I haven't seen him out there, so who knows, but I don't get the warm and fuzzies about it, that's for sure.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, just looking at the Cubs with Bryant and Schwarber, I can honestly say that if we are in a situation like last year and just miss out on the big prospects (i.e. Aiken in particular as I'm not terribly interested in the college arms presently), I'm wondering if a guy like Happ with a major league bat would make more sense.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Let's drop the Sano weight agenda please. This has been discussed in multiple minor league threads now and we don't need to hijack this one.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    Is Ian Happ's competition just that much worse or is this a small sample size issue? He keeps hitting like that, and I'd say draft him instead of letting the Cubs take him.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    Gardy's problem was consistency. I don't have a problem pulling Hicks in that situation. I'd want him to do it to Hunter too if it was Hunter making the gaffes. Gardy would not do that. He'd also turn around and bunch the rookie in favor of the vet doing the same thing for days. A good policy and consistent enforcement is what I'd like to see here.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd say this is pretty close. Wouldn't be surprised if Gibson is the one traded instead of Nolasco, and I'm not certain Fein will be around either.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    usually ends up in either one... depends on context... it will be moved if the mods think it's in the wrong place. No big deal.
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