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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    I'll be surprised if Walker isn't protected. He's rule V eligible this offseason, and while there's plenty of quesiton marks, his ceiling is high enough that he's protected. It gives the Twins 3 option years to figure out if he can be a good major leaguer, which if he figures it out, he'll be a very very very good major leaguer.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Tonkin is an odd case b/c throughout his career, he's never really gotten an extended shot (though he's never earned his keep at the ML level either). I wouldn't have a problem giving him an extended look in mop up duty in the Graham role for 2016 to see if there's something there, because his minor league numbers certainly indicate that he can do it. I don't think the Twins should be drafting someone in the Rule V portion of the draft this winter.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem in my opinion is that trading for Shields will be a mistake. I don't care if SD gives him away. He's a name, and a name that did poorly in a notoriously pitcher friendly NL ball park. I'll pass there.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    I really think May could be that ace we've been looking for. His peripherals indicate he can be that type of guy. I hope he doesn't get relegated to a BP role b/c of need and b/c he did well there. I hope he gets another chance to start. The more I think about it, the more I think Dave is right. Trade Gibson and Milone so that May and Duffey are starting in 2016.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    RBI's are situational, so I woudln't get too worked up about them. I think you need to worry about whether or not the overall production changes. I'm more concrned in that aspect about Plouffe than Hunter. Hunter was really good in May, but beyond that, he looked every bit old and washed up. I'd be concerned about keeping him around another year and his hot streak only lasting a week. As for replacing it. I think that Sano, Arcia, Vargas is going to produce more offensively net season than Sano, Plouffe, Hunter did this year, or what they would do next year. As for backups. I think Kepler is probably closer than people realize and will likely make a strong case for that starting job this spring. Not only did he dominate AA, but he had a nice powerspike the last couple months too. He's also still very young. I do think the Twins would be wise in getting a part time OF for 2016 while this sorts itself out a bit, as I expect some bumps. As well, I think a good case can be made to get a AAAA guy to stash in Rochester as an additional option should it be needed.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    That would explain the 2nd half drop off...
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    Not quite sure we can reasonably expect another SP at this point, not without eating a lot of money (and I don't think Terry Ryan could do this if he wanted to), but I'll be very disappointed if there isn't outside help for the pen brought in this offseason. I'd like a bullpen ace or two to pair with Perkins. I don't care if it's a trade or FA.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    I kind of wonder if Krivisky was brought on with that in mind.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Agreed on Beane, though I think there's a cult following throughout the baseball community that be very vocally against such an eggregious suggestion I really think finding a successor makes the most sense for Ryan. I'd add the Cardinals organization to that list as well. The Twins do a lot of things well. They need someone who can come in somewhat objectively and with surgical precision remove the things that aren't done well.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm of the opinion that this should be Ryan's last season. I think this is the last season that can take advantage of his strengths, but come 2017, they are going to need someone a bit more talented at aquiring needed major league pieces, making key deadline deals, negotiating contracts, etc.... things that Ryan hasn't really ever done well. So expectations, I'd probably see if he's ammenable to retiring this offseason and bring his replacement in house to spend a year in the org prior to taking over. I'd look long and hard at a few of the exects in the Tampa Bay organization or some of Theo's guys in Chicago. I do think that Ryan and Beane are largely cut from the same cloth in terms of talent (though Beane is without question more aggressive and has had both success and failure being aggressive). Both have done a pretty good job finding inefficiencies in the market and capitalizing on them. Just because Beane has a book and a movie doesn't somehow make him better. If anything, he stacks up worse when you look at Bean and Ryan strictly by the numbers.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    Berrios doesn't need to be added to the 40 man, so you won't see him on it this offseason. Not sure guys like Vielma or Jorge would stick in the rule 5. You can wait a year there... just my 2 cents there as well. Walker, however, should be protected along with several of those AA relievers. I'd part ways with all the FAs unless of course Hunter was ammenable to a pinch hitting role, but I don't see it happening. I'd probably gut most of the pen too. I'd rather bring in some of our younger higher upside guys to struggle than keep some of the older guys who weren't that good as it was. At least with one, you have some hope. I'd probably keep O'Rourke around. I know he started well and finished poorly. He's the definition of a loogy and needs to be used fairly conservatively in that role I'd non-tender Fein and Robinson. I'd attempt to trade Plouffe, Milone, and maybe Gibson. Herrman is a DFA candidate, and honestly I'd start thinking about DFAing Nolasco if he's not looking good in ST. I wouldn't be too upset about a DFA for a couple other members of the pen. I'd probably option Buxton, Meyer, Kepler (though I think he's most likely to earn a job of this group), Santana, and Polanco.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    That and he didn't exactly have good options. This is where I think a guy like Torri would still have value. He's old and wearing down, but I think as a pinch hitter he's still very dangerous and could probably maintain some good production over the course of a season. We need a Jose Offerman type player off the bench.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    Those types of guys make good coaches too. Seems to me that some of the best coaches out there are the ones who didn't have all the natural talent, but instead had to use their head to maximize their skillset.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    Wholeheartedly agree, the problem though is that right now he's shown no indication of being able to do either... and if he's uncoachable and hard headed, perhaps he should spend additional time in Sunday school, b/c he's not going to be a front line starter if he is.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think Hicks should be on the block. Buxton needs more AAA time and Rosario, like it or not, is still a regression candidate. Ask me again next year on Hicks. He takes another step forward and Buxton does the same, Hicks can not only be traded, but will net a far better return. Heck, given how bad Hicks was the last two years, another season as a league average offensive CF with + defense would increase his value.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    Most of these kids are coddled their whole lives and need to learn a little humility. Not sure if Kohl is one of those or not, but if he is, restarting at FTM isn't necessarily a bad thing for him. His numbers were a bit borderline from a promotion standpoint anyways. He needs to get more Ks.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    Like it or not (and I think it's the right answer), but Arcia goes north with the Twins this spring as a DH/RF. I think Dave is right that you cannot let that kind of prospective talent go. He mashed at every step of the way in the minors while being quite a bit younger than his league and showed enough promise last season that he was a popular break out pick this year. It didn't work. That happens. Given his age, we aren't a place where we should be giving up on him. Given his options situation, he should go north. If I remember right, he was added to the 40 man early. His story should be a good one for all of us armchair GMs when we talk about adding guys to the 40 man. He wasn't ready, and now we are in a position where he needs to be kept b/c he was pushed too fast.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    The good news is that most of the guys who were above average are younger. The bad news is that several of the below average guys are older and still under contract. Hopefully Mauer can recover a bit of his old self next season. That would help things a lot. Same with Suzuki (though I think he'd be helped by simply getting a competent backup).
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not sure many teams will offer Hunter a starting role next spring, call me crazy. It's quite possible he changes his mind after he fields the offers.. He could also simply retire... I could see him doing that, but I think right now he thinks he can still start. That said, as a starter, no. As a bench guy, absolutely.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd say you wait a year with Escobar, but he's penciled in as the starting SS for 2016. How he fares in that role dictates whether he should be extended. I think you trade Plouffe. No extension there. Not liking that Santana is out of options. He's not ready. Are we sure he's out of options? For some reason I thought he had one left.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    Problem with Nolasco is he's essentially negative value in a trade right now. I'd love to see him out of here, but reality is that they are probably stuck with him for another season. I could definitely see the Twins parting ways with Gibson, and I think Gibson would command quite a bit in the trade market. I think trading Dozier is a bad idea. Yeah, his value isn't higher than it's going to be, but there isn't a replacement in house that will come close to his production. This isn't a sell high situation. This is a ride the wave situation. Plouffe, on the other hand, better fits the sell high situation. He's above average, so he would have value to a contending team needing a 3B. We have a replacement who will likely out perform him. I'm not quite sure on names just yet, but I would market 3 guys: Milone for a very good reliever. Plouffe for a starting catcher and/or prospects. Gibson for a starting catcher and/or prospects.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think it's worth a big massive contract, but I'd definitely be open to him coming back as a bench bat/occasional OF sub. He's not going to be the starter anymore, but with Buxton, Hicks, Rosario, and Arcia all needing PT, he gets the 1-2 day a week start to go with PH threat off the bench. I think that would keep him fresh too which might extend his career. My concern, as I stated elsewhere is that I don't think it would work out this way and he'd be starting more than he should be... However, if it's the intangibles that they value, this would be a perfect role to maximize his declining skillset and keep those intangibles around.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    I think that this might be a good case for correlation does not equal causation. Baseball is probably one of the most ethnically diverse sports out there, which means that any confrontation is likely to have other ethnicities involved. Sure, I could buy that there may be something to be said for learning a culture, but I am pretty skeptical that this is a cultural thing. Now if they can show how these confrontations have increased from when baseball was a lot less diverse, there might be something here.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd agree with that. His dad being an HOF certianly gives him some leeway. Problem at this stage is his age. He will be a minor league free agent next year, correct? At that point, he's got to be added to the 40 man (though he'd be a 4 option year guy if I understand the rule right).
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    I know this will be the unpopular route, but I fail to see how gun control will somehow fix this problem. There's a real problem with people who have no value on human life, so much so that taking a dozen or so lives of children/innocents is no problem. Somewhere along the line, we need to get away from attacking symptoms of the problem and start looking at the actual problem. Again, I don't think that answer is to simply bolster mental health and give people the power to just commit someone (that's a whole different can of worms). Like gun control, it won't stop this. Perhaps we should asking why it is that we have this mental health problem? What makes these types of people click, and how can you undo that? I'm not sure there is a simple 1 shot answer (and as a society, this is what we are conditioned to expect), because at the end of the day, you are asking us to figure out why deprave human beings behave in a deprave manner. The issue at the core is the heart of man. Sure, cultures play into this in various ways and causes it to play out in different manners, but the core devaluation of human life will still persist and people will find more shocking ways to show it. Legal or not, they will still get the guns, and if by some chance you could eliminate all guns in our society, people will still figure out how to get around it. The problem isn't a gun issue. It's not a mental health issue. It's a heart issue. No laws or regulation can fix that.
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