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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. I for one hope that there's some roster cleared out this offseason and May is given a shot to start. I want him to have a legit shot to start in what will likely be at best a season of pretending. 200 IP of a 3 starter in baseball is still better than 60 elite innings in the pen in my opinion. I think May's floor as a starter is 200 IP of a 3 starter, and I want to give him a real opportunity to see if he can achieve that.
  2. Honestly, unless I get an offer I cannot refuse for Nunez, I'd think about extending him. I think as a utility/bat off the bench, he's very valuable. It's possible that he's figured it out, but I suspect him to regress a bit, but he's always had a decent bat and I think in that role, he's an excellent option. Otherwise, James Beresford has certainly earned the right to play in a utility role if Nunez got traded. His bat isn't quite as nice, but I don't think he would be a bad major league player in that role.
  3. yeah, if you remember, Buxton wasn't that good in rookie ball. He started in the GCL and got promoted, though his overall line was pretty MEH. It wasn't until low A that Buxton broke out. Kirilloff on the other hand... that kid can hit. I was hoping they'd have grabbed one of the pitchers. Right now it looks like I was wrong.
  4. Interesting, especially coming from you as you tend to be more bullish on prospects than most. I'm working on my list and I think he's in my top 10 right now. What he's doing at his age relative to the league is rather impressive on it's own merit. The kids 3 years younger than the league and absolutely destroying it. He may not be an athlete, but unless there was some fudging going on with his identification, he's got to be in consideration.
  5. I know that it's always been all the rage to pick on Twins management, and to be fair, they earn the criticism from time to time, but doing so in a vacuum without actual context really bothers me. Ash said it right, there was no market. Fraiser (a much better 3B than Plouffe) had a very underwhelming return. Freese (an equivalent) signed for 4M less than what Plouffe is making. TR rolled the dice here and instead of a nontender/sell for basically no return, he (I assume) hoped that Plouffe could have a similar season and potentially be moved at the deadline. Maybe that wasn't his line of reasoning, I don't know. But of all the decisions to criticize, keeping a 20+ HR guy with decent defense at the corner given the sheer number of unknowns in the line up isn't a mistake I can really get all too upset about... Leaving Milone on the roster when he might have had some value (not to mention having 7 starters for 5 spots plus Rogers/Dean on the 40 man and Berrios sitting in AAA) or not getting help in the pen... those were much bigger mistakes.
  6. I think we as fans get a little too wrapped up in what is luck and what isn't personally. Gibson was a pretty good pitcher in the minors. His peripherals took a step forward last season, but I'm not sure he's done learning. His minor league K rate by the way is over 8 per 9 IP... I think he's a guy we should be patient with. He strikes me more as a guy I might dangle with guys like Gonsalves, Jay, Stewart etc. are fighting for spots.. especially if we are still seeing this maddeningly frustrating issues with consistency... Oh, I have to say it due to the irony, but remember when he was being held down due to being inconsistent?
  7. Actually, from what I've read, 2017 is supposed to deep with a couple of impacts at the top. It's a bit too early to say in that respect. Unfortunately, we won't have a good idea on 2017 until next May or so.
  8. I don't think or expect the team to try and lose games, but there are some big picture management/gm type decisions that are beneficial in the long term at the expense of winning now, and I'm all for those changes... That means bringing up and playing the kids and getting them that MLB experience. Many will struggle, and likely be as bad or worse than some of the guys they replace. I would expect drop offs from the following trades: DozierAbadKintzlerE. Santana (if he's traded)Milone/NolascoNot tanking per say, but I doubt Polanco, Chargois, Melotakis, Berrios match the first four on the list and I'm not sure May/Wheeler can out produce Milone and Nolasco (at least initially, though these two are the ones most likely to be out produced), especially if May needs to get stretched out again. Long term, with the exception of Polanco, I think all are locks to eventually be better than those guys. Polanco might be (the potential is there) with Dozier, but I don't think it's fair to expect an .800 OPS with good defense.
  9. +1 on modifying the declaration of independence... now can get a declaration of independence from the twins?
  10. I don't think anyone concedes Palka is better b/c he plays 1B. They do so b/c Palka strikes out less, walks more, has an extra option as he's not on the 40 man yet, and makes more contact (and note Palka still strikes out too much, which is why he too is a flawed prospect).
  11. I think the Twins would be happy to get rid of Nolasco for a bag of baseballs (and even that is asking too much). I do think that some teams might be willing to take a flier on the guy for said proverbial bag of balls, especially one with a license to print money and that doesn't want to pony up the prospects to get a better one. The Dodgers here might actually be a good fit as they can just DFA the guy when some of their help comes back, and if he pitches better in the NL (which many have assumed) then perhaps you keep him around. They could have all of that for what turns out to be a 30 year old minor league journeyman who is a minor league FA in 3 months. As for Plouffe, I doubt he had value this offseason, but if he comes back swinging a decent bat, he strikes me as an Aug 31 deal... Otherwise, he's a non-tender this offseason. I doubt he's back in MN next year. One guy missing is Dozier. I have to think the Twins are fielding offers here... or hope they are at least. I suspect he's an offseason move from the new GM, but I think there's a non zero chance he moves... same with Nunez.
  12. Yeah, this. It has to drop, and it needs to be significant. It will be interesting in seeing how it does when he repeats AAA. Right now, I think he'd approach 50% K rate in MLB. Not good.
  13. Won't necessarily disagree, but I think Rosario (who destroyed AAA again) is going to get that first crack, and he does play better defense and has the whole out of options thing working at some point as well. If Palka is the real deal, then yes, I probably trade Rosario, though I think we've long since learned that good defense in the OF makes a big difference. That slash line is dead sexy though. The question is whether or not he can eventually replicate it in the majors given that many of the outs are of the K variety.
  14. That's just click bait I was all excited about shedding Nolasco. The Red Sox are a bit more aggressive, so getting a decent prospect from them might be doable. I'd be fine keeping Santana, but I want Milone and Nolasco off the roster.
  15. I didn't realize GM positions paid that little... regardless, I'm arguing more that a qualified candidate may not be interested if they are setup to fail. Everyone is right in that the job SHOULD be an attractive one... However, job security is hardly the reason why a talented candidate would be interested in coming here. They want to be successful. I don't know how much of TR's failure falls on ownership, but the last few weeks have told me that it's probably more than we realize. You'll get a hungry candidate if that's the case, but not necessarily the best one.
  16. Potentially yes, but job security doesn't motivate talented people nearly as much as success. Don't get me wrong, a 2M/yr salary with job security is nice, but these individuals want to carve out name/career for themselves just as much, and they are already well paid. My biggest concern for the next GM is how much of our speculation regarding Pohlad is true. If for instance, he won't let the new GM replace Molitor, or if all of those strange budget issues weren't just TR.
  17. If you're being setup to fail.
  18. Forgot about Rosario in CF. He's probably not GG level defense there like Buxton, but you can rotate him in to give Buxton the night off. Kepler, from what I understand is below average in CF but above in the corners. I'd probably leave Kepler out of the picture, but at that point, you could add one of Walker/Palka if the manager was willing to get a bit creative with platooning. If Walker figures out the K thing, I'd lean towards having him DH, but then Sano will be at 3rd for a while in that scenario. I do think one of them can figure it out. I'd put money on Palka given that his AA/AAA numbers show that he's already much better in that category. Yeah, he swings and misses, but at 30% K rate, it's on the high end of acceptable for guys with elite power. If he can get that into the low to mid 20s consistently while continuing to hit 30+ a year, well that's good, especially since he's not afraid to draw a walk. As for Santana, he has a bad rap here, and I understand that. Given his age, I'd give him opportunities to compete. I have no problems keeping him as a super utility type guy, especially given what he did in 2014. He has some maturing to do, but if he can capture some of that, he's a pretty valuable utility guy or he can be traded to a desperate team at the deadline. If he cannot, well then dump him.
  19. Not sure I'd want to be the GM of the Dallas Cowboys but yeah, for the most part they are good roles. There will be interest. The real issue is whether the most qualified candidates will be interested. Hungry ones certainly will be, but qualified ones might be a bit reticent for a few reasons. Ownership can have a play there, as a smart qualified GM candidate will know the ownership scenario is one of the more important pieces. Sure, inheriting a team with a bunch of good MLB ready prospects and a nice pipeline will look good, but if your owner is insistent on keeping the manager that refuses to play them... well, you'll have lots of future Arcia moments too.
  20. I don't think Antony is a serious candidate, but this is the type of thing that can get his attention for one of the other jobs when they come available, or even an assistant job should Antony lose his (which with a new GM is possible). That said, I doubt that assets are frozen. Pohlad might have more say in it now than what he did, but I suspect his say is "get rid of the expensive ones." I'd hope that Pohlad defers to the baseball people on the "Trade Abad for player X type deals"
  21. I'm telling you, it's TC Bear. Why else would Pohlad come out and say something about needing a lovable replacement. Who couldn't be more lovable than TC Bear?
  22. GOOD LORD. Re-read my posts instead of incessantly arguing against a point I'm not trying to make. I never said BD had a good year this year or a bad one. I'm not saying he is capable of hitting .900 OPS and playing GG defense. I am saying that even IF he does that in 2017/2018, you trade him b/c we have a capable in house replacement and BD is only under contract 2 more years.
  23. Interesting, were the cards doing this to other organizations too?
  24. As a real estate investor, I witnessed plenty of fraud. My wife also had a side job selling real estate during that time, and that's just us in our small sample sizes. On a grand scale though, those loans were being sliced and diced and marketed to investors as AAA securities despite the mortgage companies knowing the situations underneath. That is pretty much the definition of fraud... and those same mortgage brokers turned around and soaked the tax payers as well. There were plenty of crimes committed during that time, and we like to focus on stupid buyers/sellers and not on the groups that quite frankly made it possible for them (illegally in some to many cases) to do what they shouldn't have been doing and then soaked the rest of us when it fell apart. I don't have a problem with foreclosures. But chain of title is a real thing and foreclosure mills are fraud. Banks screwed up there cutting corners and losing custody of their title chains in order to sell those loans to wall street and then setup illegal foreclosure mills to get them back, including I might add foreclosing on people who had owned their homes/land out right for years. I know someone dealing with that right now too, so let's stop pretending it's all stupid buyers. Yes, there were plenty of those, and yes bubbles are caused by more than one thing. But yes, people should be in jail right now. No back to the topic at hand
  25. I wouldn't mind it if Antony decided to get a bit more splashy with the trades (at least for the usual names mentioned here). Ryan wasn't known much for deadline deals... though truthfully, the one exception to that might be BD, as I want a decent return there and would be much more comfortable if that was handled by the new GM. If Antony is smart, he lets his baseball people largely make those decisions anyways.
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