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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. maybe it's just saving face...
  2. This. I want him to fire people who need to go, not fire for the sake of firing. That will take time. He's got to get a handle on the organization. I'm guessing he will start adding more heads initially than removing them. But like you said, by 2019, you'll definitely see a few less familiar faces around One Twins Way.
  3. yeah, I think Rortvedt is probably a bit too high. Let's see him prove it. I'd imagine time fully dedicating himself to his craft would allow for a much better showing in Etown next season... that would be my hope there. At that point, I'd move him up a bit more.
  4. I'd love to know what is going on with Thorpe. Is he still recovering from mono?
  5. Nolasco was bad before Allen too. Not sure what to think there. Allen was the reason they started making more of a push for strikeouts, but goodness was the pitching bad.
  6. Hmm... coached by Aaron Hicks... Interesting pick. If he's a Bryce Harper type (i.e. once in a generation), I'd have no problem taking him. Only real concern I have here is that the write-ups on him basically say that his changeup is non-existent and the curve is nowhere near ready. That's not a guy who is going to be in AA to start. He may not be on the Kohl Stewart track for patience, but he's going to have to master pitches 2 and 3 if he's going to be the ace we need.
  7. I'm wondering if part of the wait is b/c they are going to announce them both with Falvey working through the candidates now... certainly wouldn't be unheard of, but I have to think that sooner than later this needs done as he's going to need time to work through offseason plans.
  8. I think the big issue here is risk that gets assumed waiting till July. A lot can happen between now and July, and in Santana's case, that rehabbed UCL in particular is a potential time bomb, not to mention that over his career he's definitely spent his fair amount of time on the DL. I'm not against keeping him. I'm not against trading him. I don't, however, believe that Ervin's value will be that much higher come the trade deadline next year than it will be this offseason, and that lack of FA pitching is why. I do think there may be merit in getting an MLB ready higher ceiling pitching prospect for BD, and then trading Santana for something else (you won't get MLB ready pitching for him, but could potentially get that catcher or some higher ceiling lower minors guys). 2018 has a lot of big name pitchers hitting FA... You can use 2017 to evaluate guys like Berrios, Mejia, May, Duffey, Gibson, new guy, and potentially guys like Gonsalves, Jay, and Stewart. Then you use 2018 for the big splash to fill in those gaps a bit and start shedding off or moving to the pen the pieces that don't fit. My big issue with the sell high thing is that the Twins already have the hitting core here, most of whom are already producing. If this team is going to contend sooner than later, they need to deal with starting pitching sooner than later as well as make sure guys like Sano, Polanco, Escobar, and Kepler are focusing on improving their defense.
  9. I'd rather just promote Engelb Vielma if that's what you want. I'm not a fan of the all glove no bat SS. I'd rather just roll with Escobar. Don't have a problem with a guy like Vielma as a defensive replacement, but am a bit too jaded by history to think that this is how it would work.
  10. You're right. It's getting old. I'm with you on Ervin, for good value, I'd move him. I'd probably move BD a bit quicker, but I can certainly understand the motivation to move Santana as well. Me thinks the real reason it needs to be said is b/c all of the second guessing on these forums about the trades that didn't happen. I mean... the Angels were really offering Trout for Plouffe this offseason, right? (yes, I'm exaggerating... just trying to prove a point)
  11. It's called a learning curve, and whether it's baseball or some other profession, these types of things always exist when you put someone in a harder (or different) role than what they were doing previously. Refusing to show patience through said curve and have a dedication to development is the surest way to see your talent go (and have success) somewhere else. Berrios is probably the closest thing we have in the high minors that is both MLB ready and is likely to have a career that will be better than the average starter. You need to be patient with this b/c while he's shown that he's got little to learn in AAA, he clearly has plenty to learn in MLB. This is not a pitcher you plan on leaving in Rochester to start next year. This is a guy who you give a shot to. He has options if needed, but I'd like to hope that with some different coaches and an offseason to focus on improvements that he can prove himself in 2017.
  12. This... If QOs are still around, it makes a ton of sense for Ramos to take one. He gets a guaranteed pay day much higher than what he'd get at a long term deal and has a chance to be back on the market next year... it's possible someone might still throw enough (say 80 or so mil) at him to make him rethink it, but I've got to think he'd be better off waiting a year.
  13. Successful players will eventually move towards their MILB career norms. Unsuccessful ones never get there. Guys that come up very early are typically the ones that succeed their MILB numbers. I'd call that a rule, though there will always be exceptions to it... Not sure what you mean by grading ourselves. We've all been attached to various minor league prospects. We were all right about some. We were wrong about some. It's how it works.
  14. I think you'd be better using career splits than AAA splits... Much more telling.
  15. Is there anything saying that McCloud cannot be the GM?
  16. Pretty much this (and your other post). Mauer has a spot next season, and smart usage of Mauer should be able to get decent results. He's under contract for 2 more years... Neither Vargas or Park is a sure thing, though I'd be money that one of them really forces something next year... truthfully, I think the odds favor both of them. 2018 is going to be a bit more dicey there, but then again, one or both could fall on their face at which point Mauer isn't the problem, even if he's only putting up a .750 OPS. You can keep Mauer going by shielding him against lefties, and he does become a nice bench weapon, and if he can play just a bit of 3rd, he can give Sano the occasional day off. And yes, Plouffe really needs to go. I like the guy, but I don't see the value in keeping him, and I doubt he's got trade value as 3rd isn't really a weakness for most contending teams. He's unfortunately a non-tender at this point. We'll be lucky to get a C+ prospect for him.
  17. Like it or not, there's not much to work with. We all saw the offseason list... Nothing. There's no point in doing a Pelfrey type signing in hopes you get a guy with a good year... The best names on that list are ones that did well and are well past their primes. Most never really had a prime. No international FA is going to make things different next year. I'm not up on the Cuban defector market, but finding a stud there is hardly a sure thing. Only real chance there is a Dozier trade, where you might end up with a high ceiling pitching guy that is near ready, but even that is not a sure thing since those guys tend to fall in the 'untouchable' category. We have plenty of guys that could be solid or above average contributors in the high minors. I think you have to roll with them and trust the new FO to put some coaching around them that can help with the transition. Some will sink. Some will swim, but you have to actually let them do it. Come end of 2017, we will have a much better idea of what we need, a lower payroll with a few more guys off the books, and possibly the money needed to go get a nice pitcher.
  18. Sans some sort of trace, me thinks we are better off letting May, Berrios, Duffey, and Mejia duke it out next year for those spots with Gonsalves potentially entering the fray at some point... let's see who sinks and who swims... then you can go augment in 2018 when the class is much better.
  19. Gordon has the skills to be above average just about everywhere, but not necessarily stand out anywhere... now that could change as he ages, but that's still a very good player, especially at SS. I've had time to think through this (the original topic) a bit more. I think the Twins system is a bit lacking at star power right now, as they graduated Sano, Buxton, Berrios, and Kepler. That's going to put them down a bit on lists. I do think, however, that they are very strong in those depth prospects right now (think 100-250 range). Lots of guys with the 'sleeper' tag really came out strong this year. Another good year from guys like Wade, Garver, Javier, Aarez, Romero, Jorge, Blankenhorn, Ynoa, and Diaz would suddenly leave us with a lot more guys sitting on those top 100 lists. Not all would make it, but the younger ones in particular if they continue to dominate much older talent will see themselves on it.
  20. I want to respond to this, but the only thing that comes to mind would be something that would get me banned...
  21. yes and know on Joe... He's not out performing Vargas right now, and there's a decent chance that Park figures things out at some point as well. I don't see the Twins doing anything about Joe come 2017, but I've got to think that with guys like Park, Palka, and Walker angling for PT that at some point Mauer will be the odd man out in terms of his production.
  22. I think given the orgs needs, faster to the majors is definitely something that should be valued more. Not sure picking 1 overall that I want a top 15 guy under slot. I'd hope that there are 2 ace type college pitchers that you can put against each other to perhaps save a million or two to use for some later round HS talents, but I really do hope that there's as close to a sure ace as possible sitting in the college ranks. That is one of those scenarios where the guy they drafted could be sitting in AA by the end of the year and be auditioning for a spot in 2018.
  23. Not terribly surprised here. Sickles tends to rate pitchers lower in general. For the longest time he wouldn't even do a top 150 with both and had separate lists for pitchers and hitters. I think Jay could probably be a bit higher here, same with Romero, but that's quibbling. Both of those guys could easily force it next season by simply continuing what they did this season... And living in Indy, I'd simply note that I'd be ecstatic if Pirates decided to trade Glasnow... He's a good pitcher. Yeah, that walk rate needs to come down, but the big difference between him and Meyer is that no one can hit him when they don't walk or K.
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