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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. The metrics may have been kind to Arraez, but, to me at least, the eye test was not. He went after balls to his right when he shouldn't have, he stayed on the bag too long on obviously errant throws and struggled at times with throws in the dirt. He did alright on pop flies to short right and foul territory down the line, his positioning on cut-offs was adequate and he has the arm to make the cut-off throw and the throw across the diamond. The shortcomings can be worked on this off-season, but it will take time and game repetitions for "instincts" to take over, and if the team continues to use him as a utility player he won't get those. But the bat plays so the team needs him on the field...
  2. Urshela's replacement. About $4 MM cheaper and under control for '23 & '24. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/11/twins-to-acquire-kyle-farmer.html
  3. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/11/twins-tender-contract-to-emilio-pagan.html
  4. Where do you think the team name "Twins" comes from? Also, the "TC" logo on the hat stands for Twin Cities, so I guess us out-staters have been getting slapped in the face for years....
  5. I like the new-look uniforms. I am not a fan of the new "M" hats (not a fan of the old ones either), but the "M" looks like they inverted the "W" from the old Senator's logo, so maybe it pays homage to the team's roots.
  6. The only way I want to see Cruz in a Twins uniform is as the hitting coach.
  7. I don't think Correa gets that kind of $$$. IF that is his asking price, the other 3 SS will sign first, as well as Judge, Verlander, and deGrom. Also the next tier led by Rodon, Nimmo and Contreras. That doesn't leave a lot of teams or $$$ out there, and he'd be negotiating against himself. 1 SS will get paid more than the rest, but I don't think it will be the last one to sign, which, if this article is right about his contract demands, will be Correa.
  8. Read comment directly above mine Pretty bold statement!! Or will it be "Challenge accepted" ?
  9. Adding Hosmer is a hard pass, to use your words. Miranda, Kirilloff and Arraez can handle 1B for now.
  10. Teoscar Hernandez traded to the Mariners. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/11/blue-jays-trade-teoscar-hernandez-mariners.html
  11. FanGraphs/CrowdSource predicts 1/$10 MM for Gallo, I assume a value building contract. Gordon, Kirilloff, Wallner and Larnach = $750 K * 4 = $3 MM Kepler = $8.5 MM Current Twins total = $11.5 MM for LH OF. Again, I say no to Gallo as the team should get better production overall from internal resources.
  12. 2 seasons of roughly 30% above MLB average offense, league average defense, then flipped for his replacement, the back-up C/DH and salary savings to sign Correa. Not too bad, I would say.
  13. Gordon and Garlick provide enough RH OF bats, no need for him. Edit: My bad, Gordon bats LH......
  14. Player's generally want the option to opt out of a contract to pursue either a bigger, longer contract or higher AAV. Correa's value is at its peak because of his age (28) and position (SS). In 4 or 5 years he will be "old" by MLB standards and ready for a positions change, both of which mean less $$$. He could have played out his contract in MN and not cost himself anything, unless he got hurt in year 3. He would be 30 years old and inline for another big payday, lets say 7 years, $245 MM. That would equate out to 10 years, $350.3 MM including the 3 year, $105.3 signed last year. I don't think he gets that much this year competing against Judge, Bogaerts, Swanson, Turner, Verlander, deGrom, etc...
  15. Why don't the Twins just sign Drury and Haniger in hopes they provide 3.0 WAR each. They could then trade Kepler, Arraez, Gordon and Polanco for a SP and a starting C. Might have to make it a 3 team trade as I don't know if Oakland has any starting pitching ready to be a #2 or #3 immediately, but Murphy would be nice. This trade then makes room for Larnach, Kirilloff, Miranda, and Lewis immediately and opens spots for Martin and Lee if they are ready by August or September. Of course would still need to sign a short term SS or play Urshela there until Lewis is ready in late May or June. There is some sarcasm implied here, but probably not as much as should be. Martinez may experience a late career resurgence and turn into Nelson Cruz, but this team doesn't need bat only players who are on the backside of their careers.
  16. No. Failing in SD was one thing, but it continued in Milwaukee. It actually got worse in Milwaukee.
  17. A TD user, rwilfong86, stated several times after Lopez began struggling that he (Lopez) had personal issues going on at home, something with one of his children. Do not underestimate how much something like this could affect his performance, especially after being traded to a different team and being separated from family.
  18. So a .291/.366/.467 130 OPS+ slash line is disappointing? 5.4 bWAR & 4.4 fWAR is disappointing? Among qualified SS (21) his AVG was 3rd, his OBP was 2nd, and his SLG was 2nd. He didn't grade out very high according to defensive metrics, and we can all read into those what we want.
  19. Fulmer - maybe Rogers - no May - no Pagan pitched as well (???) as any of the 3 listed above and gets no love, his secondary/rate numbers are the best of the 3. He will get about $3.5M in arbitration, but he is from another organization (outsider). I am NOT saying Pagan is the answer, but his late season numbers (after accepting coaching??), salary and rate numbers say he is as good or better of an option than the 3 former Twins suggested.
  20. In the games I was able to watch he looked unsure on which plays to make and which to let go on hits to his right, he didn't leave the base on bad throws on several occasions, leading to errors and extra bases and I saw him have issues with throws in the dirt. The first two issues can probably be addressed with coaching, but Arraez didn't show very soft hands as a 2B or 3B, so the third issue will probably continue.
  21. Twins - 19 of 30 teams in earn runs, 19 of 30 in ERA. MLB average runs allowed 632, Twins 639. MLB average ERA 3.96, Twins ERA 3.98. Don't know where you got your info.
  22. I think it will be interesting to see how SDI rankings will be affected by the elimination of the shift starting next year, or does SDI already take that into account? I will admit to being surprised by Arraez's ranking, he looked very below average to me in the 2 dozen or so games I was able to watch.
  23. Bogaerts and Correa. Turner is represented by CAA.
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