gunnarthor
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Everything posted by gunnarthor
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Nice write up. I think we might need to pump the breaks a bit on Gonsalves. He's nice but he still probably profiles as a #3 type. I like him a lot but we might be over ranking him a bit. That said, with him, Romero and Jay in the top five, we have some impressive arms. It's unlikely that they all reach their ceiling of course but those are nice chips to have. Let's see where Jay is a year from now before we worry too much about his future role. Romero's break-out has been fun to watch. I really hope he can stay healthy. I'd probably have him #2 in front of Gonsalves. I think Gordon is clearly our #1 prospect right now but I'd like to see him draw a few more walks. Kiriloff is a fun pick but far away. But his bat really could be special. He'll be fun to watch. I think he's probably our best true hitter prospect we've had since Sano.
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- stephen gonsalves
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Astros minor leaguer insults Jessica Mendoza
gunnarthor replied to gunnarthor's topic in Other Baseball
And if he had said something to that affect, he'd be in a much better position. -
Nos modérateurs sont trop stupides pour savoir quand nous les moquer. Capitaine Mal était génial. Vous ne pouvez pas arrêter le signal.
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http://deadspin.com/astros-apologize-for-minor-leaguers-****headed-tweet-1787473609 So, if you're a 23 year old light hitting IF who is hitting .220/.310/.350 in high A ball, you probably don't want to say things that can be deemed sexist and stupid. And certainly not publically through your own twitter account. Someone forgot to tell Brooks Marlow, a 29th round pick who thinks women shouldn't be on ESPN discussing baseball.
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On Stewart, I wonder if a workable comp for him becomes Mike Pelfrey. Pelfrey could hit 94-95 and got a lot of ground balls - although Stewart seems to be better at that. Pelfrey was never a big strike out guy but did turn in a nice enough 10+ year ML career. They can't all turn into all-stars but if Stewart can be a slightly healthier, slightly better Pelfrey, that's not that bad. He's been pretty durable so far. I've said it a lot but I really liked the Blankenhorn/Cabbage picks and while Cabbage is lagging, Blankenhorn is doing very well. I think, for all the griping we do about our scouts, they've found some nice young players these last few years and/or Steil's changes in the farm have really helped. Javier is probably a bit too high but I like him. He's just too raw to be a top 10 guy right now. I'm probably a bit more conservative on Diaz, too. Maybe should be in the 10-15 range for now. To make it to the bigs, he's going to have to be an elite bat and he needs to work on plate discipline a bit. But the Twins do have some power in the minors. That's always fun. Why wasn't Mejia brought up in Sept? Was he hurt? Seems like a good place in the rankings for him and it was a solid trade. Hopefully he can provide us with some stability in the rotation next year.
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I liked the Burdi pick but until he can remain healthy, he's really nothing. I don't like that he missed the entire season and didn't need surgery. That seems like maybe we missed something and next year he will need surgery. Hope that doesn't happen. I like Wade. He gets on base a lot. That's a good thing. Ynoa is exciting and should be fun to watch develop. He's far away but could be a real stud. I'm far less enthusiastic about Jorge. I think you have him ranked too high. And Palka's a nice lottery ticket. Like Walker, he probably can't get the strike outs under control but if he does... wow.
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Is it more painful to be Twins Fan or Vikings Fan?
gunnarthor replied to Loosey's topic in The Sports Bar
Man, this season's ending really going to hurt this year. 4-0 with wins over Carolina, NY and Green Bay? The playoff loss will be brutal. -
Respectful? Dude, I no longer have my three warning posts. I'm gonna go off on someone! Where's Dave?
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We're a bit on the conservative side with our investments - as I've mentioned frequently, I love big dividend stocks. We have a lot in index funds that track the S&P, which grow at about 7-8% but also reinvests in itself. I think on average over the last 10+ years, we've probably done slightly better than the market (maybe in the 10+% range) but certainly not near 20% a year but over a two or three year period, we probably have. Frankly, from 06-08 I'm sure we were well over 20% and then the banking crisis happened. Over the last three years, I think we're probably in the 15% range because of a few specific stocks. I would say that as we've gotten older, our investing strategy has shifted. When we were young and dumb we bought a lot of stocks and carried a lot of debt - student loans, mortgages, car payments, etc. Even though they were all low interest (we never carried much CC debt which will kill you) we still had real debt. As we've gotten older, we've done a better job of mixing long term investing and paying off debt. So even though today our investment portfolio has less $ in it than it had before the banking crisis (we lost a **** load, **** you Wachovia), we are wealthier b/c we don't have the debt anymore. edit - I know you didn't ask about the second paragraph but I wrote it anyway.
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Damn straight. We're the best 100+ loss team ever! By baseruns - which was thrown around a lot last year - we were a much more respectable 71-91. Only the Rays (-13) were worse than our -12 game differential. Another reason to fire the coaches.
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Well 6 years ago we were losing to the Yankees in the first round. Buxton was a sophomore in HS, I believe. So, yeah, maybe patience was required. This probably isn't the thread to discuss the Twins overall - feel free to make one - but Buxton's performance does deserve patience. He's only 22 and missed a bunch of development time already. I don't think anyone is making irrational predictions. In this very thread, I said that he'd struggle this season but his sept would look a lot better and made a McCutchen comparison. That seems accurate. If he stays healthy, there's no reason to think he won't be a stud. a 91 OPS+ and 2.0 WAR season wasn't great but it's not horrible, especially considering where he was a few months ago.
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Happens to every one. Cliff Lee needed 125 starts to get to 5 WAR and then he became the Cliff Lee everyone remembers. Doc Holliday made the majors as a rookie at 22 and was sent to high A ball at 24. Buxton will be fine in the long run.
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Her comments on refugees, her defense of the Patriot Act, her opposition to Wall St reform, her idea for law enforcement to have access to the internet are all issues that have happened in this election cycle. I'm not taking old positions out of context - she stood up on stage and defended the Patriot Act at a Democratic debate. She spoke out for the need for law enforcement to have access to the internet following the stupid shooting in California. Her refugee comments were the origin of the anti-sanctuary city bills that were drawn up in the summer of 2015. Her position on very important issues are bad and/or dangerous. And she's competent enough to make things worse.
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I agree. I think the biggest problem was on the ML staff. Nearly every player - veterans, inexperienced players, rookies, hitters, pitchers - struggled this year. If it was only the rookie hitters having trouble, it might suggest one thing but everyone seemed unprepared for the season. That, to me, suggests the coaching staff was having problems getting the players set up. Say what you will about Gardy and Andy, they had much worse talent on some of those teams and got much better results. Time to move on from this staff.
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We're not singling out issues - we're singling out where she stands on those issues. Clinton is the preferred candidate of Wall St - unlike other candidates in our past she has worked for Wall St concerns to the point that the country club republicans are quite happy with her and democratic progressives want to jump ship. Her VP lobbied on behalf of Saliie Mae against the Obama administrations (very limited) reforms. Clinton was the one who opinioned for law enforcement to have a back door ("Manhatten-like project") into the internet. She supports the Patriot Act, rendition and targeted killing of US citizens. Clinton is far more hawkish than many of her (assuming she wins) predecessors. And her work at the Dept of State continues to show the efforts she has made to keep the workings of govt from being seen by its citizens. She's a horrible candidate. If the GOP was sane, she'd have been trounced. Instead she got put up against the one candidate worse than her. That's not "spin." There is so much to worry about in a Clinton presidency that we are ignoring. You are concerned about Trump's views on refugees? Well, Clinton's views on refugees were just as bad until the polls shifted. She still supports an asylum deterrence detention program.
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Might depend on what issue you are worried about. Clinton is going to be horrible on quite a few issues - national security, war, government transparency, wall st reform. She might be better than Trump but she might actually be worse. I think Trump is playing a character but Clinton really would work to enact a surveillance state, for example. I'm not going to vote for him but I can't vote for her either.
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I don't think Antony will be GM. I think Falvey might bring in another guy for that.
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100%. As Reusse noted, Falvey doesn't have a ton of old-hands to rely on. He'll need some of the Twins FO to stick around. My guess is that Falvey does more adding than subtracting but next years FO will keep Antony, Radcliff and Steil for sure and Johnson might still be the draft guy.
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Well, hopefully he is very good at his job.
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http://www.startribune.com/speed-of-change-won-t-decide-whether-falvey-can-be-fixer-of-twins/395567601/ Nice little article but the interesting thing to me was this section: "The legend has grown that Falvey was down the list on the Twins’ preferred candidates. Actually, he was on the radar early with the help of the Korn-Ferry search firm. The Twins would have taken a strong look at Ben Cherington. I’m not sure if it was him wanting to stay in the East that he went to Toronto, or if he wasn’t interested in running the Twins specifically. There have been reports that Alex Anthopoulos (spread by his agent, you would have to guess) rejected an overture from the Twins. In truth, he wasn’t on the interview list, so the rejection wasn’t a problem for their party." In any event, Falvey will probably keep some, if not all, front office guys around. Reusse mentions Rob Antony, Mike Radcliff, Brad Steil and Deron Johnson. I like Steil a lot. I'm not smart enough to know about the others either way but Radcliff is old enough to be a Ralph Houk-type guy and he's gotten some credit for improving the drafts since 2012.
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Thorpe's the obvious big name on here - baseball prospectus ranked him in their top 101 before his injury. Rortvedt seems low here and I'm not excited about the other three but hopefully I'm wrong.
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GOP will control the House and this was supposed to be a year for the Dems to get control of the Senate. They still might, but it'd be pretty close and they'll lose it in two years anyway. And if the GOP wins the Senate, I think they'll really limit the potential USSC pick. The next four years will look a lot like the last four years.
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What I'm really worried about is Clinton winning, two years of more gridlock and then an ugly midterm rout by the GOP which sets them up well nationwide for complete gerrymandering in 2020 in an election that I don't think the Dems will win.
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That said, while his strike outs are still quite high, he seems to be taking better at-bats and increased his walk rate slightly and decreased his strike outs a bit. He needs to continue on both but he certainly seems to be moving in the right direction. And my expectation that he'd look more like McCutchen in Sept doesn't seem too far off.
