It’s rather...illogical, since you claim to argue from logic...to state there can be varying levels of certainty in a debate, but then dismiss another’s claim because there’s “no evidence” for that position. And then spend paragraphs dismissing or refuting the very evidence you claim isn’t there.
Illogical to claim you can’t use results to argue process, then spend paragraphs showing how trading Kintzler didn’t have any actual effect on results.
Illogical to make claims about Otani and international FA money...which weren’t made at the time of the trade. And also haven’t proven to be worth a penny yet, BTW.
The Twins were in contention for a postseason spot for EVERY single day of the 2017 season. Every. Single. Day. Including around the deadline.
And speaking of which....Fangraphs’ playoff odds? As a logical argument point?? Really??? Those numbers are concocted out of thin air. They’re based on nothing. They are virtually meaningless. They are a guess, just like your guess, mine, and the guy you’re dismissing’s guess.
They HAD NO business trading away pitching at the deadline. None. In fact, They should have added pitching. They were a contending team in need of pitching. Still are, BTW. That’s every bit as logical as your position...and my opinion (held at the time) is the one borne out by events. Not yours.
To argue otherwise is, well, it’s illogical.