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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. AFAIK there is no reliable data indicating some specific increase in innings year to year leads to injury. “The Verducci Effect” is sloppy science at best. There is no reason to set an innings limit today. If at some point he is fatigued, rest him. Let Romero, the pitching coach, and the medical staff determine that, if/when necessary. Pitchers are at risk for injury. All of them, every time they pitch. Pitch them when they’re healthy. They’re of no use if they can’t pitch, and resting him in 2018 does little or nothing to help 2019, IMO.
  2. He could lose some weight, stay on the field, recognize a pitch every now and again, and produce. That'd change the status quo for me.
  3. There isn’t a realistic trade out there that would move the needle more in the next couple years than going from what the Twins have at catcher to Realmuto. Nobody is trading you as big an upgrade over the Twins current corner OFers provide, as what Realmuto provides, particularly considering defense. Aaron Judge would be a great trade, and a huge upgrade over Kepler. Who’s trading someone like that? And anyway, all the Twins needed to do was add a lefty masher to spell Rosario/Kepler and they’d have had their difference maker.
  4. Thanks Tom. I very much enjoy your work. Much appreciated. BTW: "CG" = "computer generated." Something not actually real.
  5. I like Kepler, but I was, am, and will be skeptical of "solved LHP," for at least another couple years. He had a nice start against LHP to this season. My bet is, the inevitable weight of LHP will pull his numbers back down. But he should start hitting RHP much better.
  6. I do not agree that weight played no part in any of their careers. And for the record, none of them were third basemen. I'll further state that including pitchers in the equation is intentionally misleading, while still not providing any evidence of your claim.
  7. None of those three are "hitting," regardless a couple ABs in last night's game. It's possible Garver may end up a competent hitter, if he manages to stick in the big leagues. Neither Adrianza nor LaMarre will ever hit.
  8. I find the idea that Sano's weight isn't a factor in his health and performance to be the assumption, not the other way around. He'd be the first athlete in history not to be affected.
  9. The difference being, of course, that there is no cure for, or blame to be assessed, over a broken toe. The same can't be said for continued poor baseball play. Baserunning, for example, isn't merely a god given talent. Nor throwing to the correct base, or countless other details that add up over the course of a season and contribute to winning or losing.
  10. Concur. The fizzling core wouldn't be quite so damaging if the bottom third of the lineup wasn't such a black hole.
  11. The quality of play--not the talent, the quality of play--is bad and keeps deteriorating. Baserunning, cutoffs, how to defend other team's baserunning plays, etc etc etc are things that make a huge difference at this level of play. The Twins are bad at all these things, and IMO that is a direct reflection of the manager and coaches. Rosario showboating basically every catch, until he inevitably drops one, is another example. You often get the level of performance you accept.
  12. I don't remember it that way. I remember reading his defense needed a lot of work.
  13. I think a lot of people got way too exited about a half season at Rochester. He was a competent minor league hitter, but nothing particularly noteworthy. Personally, I believe any time spent trying to make him a regular catcher is a waste. Go get a catcher. We don't have one, and Castro can be a great backup next year.
  14. I've been on the Realmuto bandwagon for months. Do it. Pay the price. Is this a team interested in competing with the big boys or not? This team needs a long term solution at catcher anyway, and Garver is not it. As a AAAA depth piece, or even a 3rd catcher? OK. As someone expected to handle lots of catching duties? No way. LuCroy would be an upgrade, but he's a 1/2 yr rental. And I have no idea why Atlanta would be open to moving Flowers. They're in first place.
  15. I have little basis for this, or any other draft opinion, but...I could not be more underwhelmed with these two picks. A corner outfielder who was a "fast riser" -- only one season of quality production in college. He can't move down the defensive spectrum much if needed. And a college catcher with defensive questions. Both a bit of a reach, IMO.
  16. Lefty mashing corner OFers are one of the more easily found commodities in MLB. IT didn't have to be a free agent, although Carlos Gomez was just about perfect.
  17. A RH hitting 4th OFer. We've been pretty clear on that.
  18. Probably when he declared he's now a linebacker.
  19. It's not quite that simple. If players only played when 100 percent healthy, it'd be rare to see 100 games played in a season. They're always dinged up to one degree or another, it's a long season. Ideally, you'd want every player to want to play if physically able, but have a medical staff and manager capable of saying "no" when appropriate, and have a bench that makes it easier to sit people. In this case, with a broken toe, I would agree they almost certainly rushed him. In the specific case of Morneau...eh, I doubt it. This was a team already giving DH ABs to Jason Tyner.
  20. I know this is the theory, but I doubt this is actually true. Of course the math says it'll be 50-50 going forward. You take all the teams that lost more close games than they won, add them to the teams that won more than they lost, average it out, and declare "See...it's all luck. 50-50." There are short term variances, of course, but the idea that better teams wouldn't win more close games than lesser teams doesn't make any sense to me. They're better. Over time, they'll do the things that win games--close games or blowouts--more than bad teams.
  21. I think it's very possible the pitcher was intentionally trying to get the previous two hitters to swing at pitches outside the zone, knowing he had Buxton due up. It's pretty rare for major league pitchers to truly be "unable to throw a strike." And he swung at a fat, nothing FB, right in the "hit me" zone. IMO the problem wasn't that he swung. The problem is, he got a pitch he was waiting for, and was unable to do anything with it.
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