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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. awesome work, Parker!
  2. It would seem to me an article suggesting making Mauer a utility player is, indeed, the definition of an "original" idea. Whether it's worth discussing is in the eye of the beholder. What isn't original is "Let's ignore Mauer's actual performance."
  3. http://www.startribune.com/a-solution-to-the-twins-joe-mauer-problem/331496821/ The gist: Plouffe at third, Sano at first, Mauer to super-utility player.
  4. My belief is also that the Cubs will constantly be looking for the next Arrietta, and if they think they may have found one, they'll do what it takes to get him. I don't have confidence the Twins won't simply settle for the next Stauffer.
  5. You think Berrios and Duffey are going to equal Lester and Arrietta next year?
  6. It's pretty questionable how much value Hughes has in a trade today. He's 29, pitched 200 innings once in his career, has a career ERA over 4, topped out with a 111 ERA+ in his best season, has posted below average ERAs in 3 of the last 6 seasons, currently has lingering and unresolved injury issues, and is owed $49M over the next four seasons. BTW...Compare that to Hamels, who you don't want: 31 yrs old, has a LOW pt of a 104 ERA+ over the past six seasons and has been as high as a 152 ERA+ as recently as 2014, has pitched 200 or more innings in each of those seasons, and is owed 77M over the next three seasons (including his buyout). It doesn't make sense to me that somehow Hamels would "cripple" the Twins, but Hughes is a bargain. Yeah, Hughes costs less. He SHOULD cost less. A lot less.
  7. Maybe. It might depend on which beat reporter you trust more: http://blogs.twincities.com/twins/2014/10/28/twinsights-contact-twins-joe-maddon-source-says/ In any case...the Cubs saw something they felt was a good gamble, and they went out and got it. The Twins didn't. That's sort of the point.
  8. Concur. There's something to be said, but I don't think it's what you think it is.
  9. A: I could be misremembering, but I thought it was pretty well established that the Twins DIDN'T contact Madden. B: You're missing the forest for the trees. The overall point is larger than the individual details of one specific person. The Cubs think big, and look for ways to excel. They worry less about the potential costs than the potential gains. The Twins think small, and look for ways not to fail. They worry less about the potential gains than the potential dangers. Yes, the Cubs have a few resource advantages. Focusing on that, yet again, misses the point.
  10. I had no problem with signing Suzuki. The problem is...one team would have flipped him in 2014 at the deadline. One team signed him to an extension, and thought they had solved a problem.
  11. Arguing the Twins "can't" is exactly what is wrong with this organization. They absolutely can. They just too often choose not to. If the chance to add a Cole Hamels is deemed too expensive, I rest my case. Think small, be small.
  12. The question isn't is he worth protecting. The question is does he need protecting. If no other team would keep him in the big leagues through the 2016 season, then he doesn't need to be on the 40 man. While I personally doubt another team would keep ABW on it's roster through all of 2016, I'm just guessing, and the Twins would obviously be in much better position to make an educated guess on that than any of us. I also thought there was no need to put Kepler on the 40 man last winter, and the Twins did, so they must have judged that some other team would hide Kepler for a year.
  13. Which teams have no Latino players? Which teams have no North American players? Which conflict hasn't featured players from both North America and other cultures?
  14. Nobody thinks that. That's why an umpire can eject a pitcher for purposely hitting a batter.
  15. While this was true in this case it's incorrect to say that therefore it's true in every case. This argument fails in its logic.
  16. Where the Cubs pull ahead is, you never hear any "we're going to do this the right way" crap. Have a chance at the best manager in the game? Find a way to get it done, even if some feelings get hurt along the way. Have a chance to add an Addison Russell? Pull the trigger and make the trade. John Lester is out there? Pay the money. Want to take a flyer on a pitcher? Don't just sift through the trash heap on cheap veterens. Sift through, but also see a former top pick with good stuff, who's fallen out of favor with his team, and find a way to make THAT trade, too. The Cubs haven't gotten really good simply through good drafts. They've added to that. They think big. They're not afraid to make the big mistake. They see opportunity, and they go get it. I have trouble believing TR can do the same. Someone with courage and vision could have added Cole Hamels this year, for example, pretty cheaply. Can anyone seriously envision TR doing that?
  17. I agree with much of his, but think May does the team the most good in the bullpen.
  18. Dunno. Between the best and the worst? If forced to guess, I'd say maybe 15? One every 10 games? And those 15 catches add up to 10 runs? But that's a complete guess. Maybe I'm way off, and there really is a 30 run difference. But my gut tells me that's too far fetched to be very likely. As the study said, most balls really aren't in question, which has always been one of my issues with metrics...they often don't pass my smell test. What's your guess?
  19. Your math assumes that outfielder A makes 100% of those 35 balls into outs, and outfielder B makes zero. That seems very unlikely to me. So now you're down to some unknowable portion of those 35 balls. Some of those are singles. Some of the few that are left will be for extra bases, but won't end up costing actual runs. In the end, a 3-4 win difference based on one corner OFers defense compared to another isn't very plausible. I do agree that no team us going to pay him $16m for his defense...because they all likely don't believe it's worth that much.
  20. To repeat...I like the current WC setup. The 2015 NL situation is an anomaly, and one should think carefully about changing policy based on anomalies. Even in this case, if there weren't two WCs, the Cubs are at home watching like the Twins...would that be better? Seems to me it's working just great. The third best record in the NL has a chance. Want a better one? Win your division.
  21. I like the WC setup. And in this one....die Yankees, die!
  22. I would be surprised if Buxton DOESN'T start 2016 in AAA.
  23. I have a broken heart, but I don't know if that counts.
  24. Billy Beane Ken Brett Mickey Hatcher
  25. Do you also advise people to keep investing for their retirement right up to the day they die?
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