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USAFChief

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Everything posted by USAFChief

  1. USAFChief
    Nor are you when you make the claim that in the past 25 years, conditions have never allowed the Twins to make aggressive, non conservative moves, ever. It's not just about money.
  2. USAFChief
    Both the 87 and 91 WS are on (DVD) whenever I feel the need. We win every freekin time, too!
  3. USAFChief
    TR would release him before the ceremony.
  4. USAFChief
    this particular proposal saves SD $7m. That has value. Whether SD likes that value is questionable, but it is value.
  5. USAFChief
    That statement assumes, among other things: -- Jepsen and Perkins will be healthy and productive. All year. -- The "two guys who don't make the rotation" are still here, in the pen, and are productive. -- The Twins will have a seven man pen, only a seven man pen, and it'll be the same seven men through the entire season. Nobody is saying it's a good idea to fill 8 or 9 bullpen spots with FA's, particularly those on the expensive side. But "don't sign FA relievers" isn't realistic either. Nor is "don't sign FA relievers who cost some money." A deep, dependable and dominant bullpen isn't something that can come entirely from the minor leagues. Bullpens are at least 7 deep these days, sometimes 8. And you can't count on the same 7 or 8 to last the season, so realistically having 10 or more on hand should be the goal. I don't think any minor league system can be expected to continually cough up quality arms to fill those spots. Bodies? Sure. But not quality bodies. Same with digging through the FA scrap heap, hoping something sticks. That might yield a temporarily adequate guy on occasion, but usually just means you're stuck with a bullpen piece you don't want on the mound, and you're looking for help by June. When--or if--those minor league arms force their way into the discussion, they'll get their shot. If they don't, it's only because the arms in the big leagues are getting the job done, which is a good thing.
  6. USAFChief
    You could say the same about any position. Stop chasing catchers and develop them. Stop chasing starters and develop them. It's one of those theories that has the ring of authority but has little chance of working. Forcing players onto your big league team simply because you drafted them isn't how you get consistently good. There is nothing inherently wrong with signing FA relievers. The key, as with any position, is signing talent, and then getting lucky with health. Not to mention, adding relievers from outside your organization is doubly important simply because you need so many of them. You might hit on two draft picks to fill your C position. Having 8-12 good relievers available to get through a seaon entirely from your own system is unlikely at best. Don't pay for saves. Absolutely pay for guys who get results.
  7. USAFChief
    Concur. I think Arcia has only himself to blame for 2015. I hope he comes to camp raking in the spring.
  8. USAFChief
    Caleb Joseph will be 30 next year. He can't hit. He is the reason Baltimore gave Wieters the QO. No team wants to enter a season with Caleb Joseph as option A.
  9. USAFChief
    The Tigers have averaged more than six more wins per season over the past ten years. I'll revisit in another ten.
  10. USAFChief
    Well, he has an option for a third year, so it might be over three instead of two. And I value bullpens much higher than some. Always have. I don't care whether its as a closer or a seventh inning guy, but someone who I'm confident is going to be dominant over 55 or so appearances is worth more than raw numbers show. A lot of MLB games are close. Having a late inning advantage is, well, an advantage. A big one. And Margot, for what it's worth, has yet to post a .750 OPS in the minors, and is roughly equivalent to where Aaron Hicks was ranked as a prospect at a similar stage. Just sayin...
  11. USAFChief
    For his career, Mauer has an OPS 150 pts higher vs RH pitching. Platoon splits are real, or will be real eventually, for virtually every hitter in MLB history.
  12. USAFChief
    It's a lot to give up, but none of the prospects will help SD in 2016, and potentially never will. But then, I don't have much faith in prospects in general. I'm more of a win now guy. There will always be more prospects down the road. For every team.
  13. USAFChief
    Potential redeeming value: Murphy proves to be good enough to fill the C position for 120 games per year at a level acceptable for a strong team for several years. If that happens, I don't worry about the potential of Hicks or the probable short term OF hole in 2016. Or, proves good enough to be a viable backup over the same time, while Hicks doesn't get much if any better. I put something like a 40 percent chance of either of those happening, but they certainly could. If you add in the chance neither player is very valuable going forward, it's even a bit higher. 3-2 long shots come through all the time. So personally I just have to hope this is one of those times.
  14. USAFChief
    Didnt take Dombrowski long to get comfortable.
  15. USAFChief
    If Wieters was going to be too expensive, I don't think it's likely they'll be shopping in the Cespedes section of the FA outfielder market.
  16. USAFChief
    It might not be CarGo (although in a a salary dump type deal I'd be happy with that), but I have to believe Ryan is going to add a starting OFer before opening day. He's not going to go into the season with his current OF options.
  17. USAFChief
    It would be nice to have at least three. Right now I'm not sure the Twins have even that many.
  18. USAFChief
    I would feel a lot better about this deal if Murphy appeared to have more upside. It always is risky to trade the guy who might end up really good for a guy who might end up competent. I still think Hicks has a good chance of ending up really good.
  19. USAFChief
    Which is just another argument against trading Hicks for a catcher that might or might not be any better than Suzuki.
  20. USAFChief
    Let me add to Glunn's excellent reply... All of the mods are volunteers and we all have lives outside of TD. Between us we try to review every post, but that's a big task, and sometimes we might miss stuff. Sometimes--gasp--we even disagree among ourselves on what to do, or with actions already taken or not taken. But, and you'll just have to trust me on this, there is no bias for, or against, '"pro" posters or "anti" posters. For one thing, all of us mods are above average, like the children of Lake Wobegon. So we would never do that. For another, Ownership wants lively, passionate, intelligent debate, but civil debate. If we were favoring one side, that would kill the debate. Quickly. And if you think we messed up, let us know...here, or in a PM. We'll respond.
  21. USAFChief
    I had the same question in the back of my mind. I doubt it, though.
  22. USAFChief
    True. But I'm disappointed in THIS case, about this trade, and the appearance to me of intentionally aiming low. And for me, at least, that's not a new phenomena. Hopefully, Murphy surprises, and plays above his likely ceiling, because if he doesn't, I don't see how the Twins have done much to fix the catcher spot. I will gladly retract if wrong.
  23. USAFChief
    I'll be honest...I'm terrified Hicks goes on to be the next Bernie Williams. I'm not joking.
  24. USAFChief
    Hmmm. Twitter handle "JRMurphy. According to BBRef, goes by "J R." J. R. It's all becoming clear to me now.
  25. USAFChief
    For the record, the OP has a point. I've seen many claims here that Murphy can hopefully, someday, be "league average." That, by definition, IS mediocrity.
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