I think we just have a different definition of "floor". You certainly could be right about the projections being off, and 78-80 wins may be a good guess going into the year. The floor is that they don't stay as healthy as last year, Perkins, Doziers 2nd half struggles carry over, instead of being #2 in baseball in "cluster luck" they fall to #29, etc. There are enough question marks on this team, the division could potentially be the best in baseball, I would say the floor is somewhere around 68-70 wins.