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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    He could get hit by a car tomorrow crossing the street. Of course there's no guarantee to health. But why are people pretending he IS going to have an effect? Catchers have arthroscopic surgery all the time. They come back perfectly fine all the time. People are confusing him being out for this season as having had a major surgery and that's simply not the case
  2. alarp33
    It will be around 4 months of pretty easy rehab, it's a very minor surgery. He'll be totally cleared by doctors a solid 5-6 months before Spring Training. No, it's not a major surgery. - someone who had the same surgery last October (and has had 6 other knee surgeries)
  3. alarp33
    He had arthroscopic surgery in May. He will be fully recovered by Sept or Oct. No, his health will not be a factor (in regards to this surgery). People here clearly con't understand the type of injury / surgery he had, and that's fine. But let's not make stuff up like his return is a question next year
  4. alarp33
    He didn't tear his ACL, are we predicting that is going to happen? I've written on here multiple times, Castro did not have a major injury, I don't get why people continue this narrative that he is completely cooked. Yes he is aging, yes he's missing most of this year. But his health is not a factor in 2019
  5. alarp33
    Not even close.
  6. alarp33
    Did you catch the A-Rod / Mike Trout interview last night during Sunday Night Baseball? Thoughts? The inside out approach seems more similar to what Kepler is doing vs Rosario, no? The last few minutes specifically seem to talk about this
  7. alarp33
    I'm confused by your reasoning here. Are you thinking the Twins have a shot this year so they shouldn't trade Escobar without a replacement ready?
  8. alarp33
    Good info. To be clear I wasn’t comparing Rosario / Kepler as hitters, just disagreeing with those saying Kepler “doesn’t hit the ball hard”
  9. alarp33
    Certainly possible. They do have another catcher in upper minors that is ranked ahead of Smith on some prospect lists. But I know nothing about their pipeline or plans Also I could see them potentially being interested in Escobar and maybe a reliever (Rodney Duke or Presley). Escobar + reliever for Smith?
  10. alarp33
    Thank you for the history lesson from 4 years ago. He was the top prospect in baseball. No one called him Mickey Mantle or Willie Mays. There is a top prospect in baseball every year, he was one of them
  11. alarp33
    What is unclear about what I wrote? We have around 47 healthy at bats in early april to judge Buxton by. He unfortunately has been hurt. This isn't difficult
  12. alarp33
    Yes. The last 4 months of last season are more meaningful than the 47 healthy at bats Buxton received Mar-mid April this year
  13. alarp33
    I'd love it if they were right, but kind of an absurd comp? Markakis had a 7.4 WAR season in the Majors at age 24
  14. alarp33
    Falvey and Levine's responsibility is to win baseball games. Winning baseball games "build the fan base". If you are looking for a marketing cheerleader I think it's Dave St. Peter you are looking for.
  15. alarp33
    You literally wrote; Raher than make comparisons to other players (been done a lot with this player) how about we simply observe and comment on what we see instead?Right now he is barely hitting .200 in AAA after over 50 at bats and he is striking out about 40% of the time.This is the reality and we have no crystal ball so.....what are we really talking about? Yes I interpreted that as meaning his AAA at bats this year is his reality, because you wrote that. Are you trying to tell me what he has done since this season began needs to be completely discounted in favor of what he did in the second half of last year? I mean pretty much yes on discounting this season. He had around 45 at bats, got migraines, broke his toe, foolishly was rushed back, and has been "healthy" for 2 weeks. It's been a total loss of a season and I'm reading basically nothing into this. I'd like to see him continue to build on his last 4 months of last year when he knocks the rust off and gets back up here
  16. alarp33
    If you think the 50 at bats in AAA are more indicative of his future than the June 1 - September 29 numbers of last year in the majors (.275/.326/.472) than I don't know what to tell you, but we'll have to agree to disagree
  17. alarp33
    I mean it really wasn’t nitpicking, the post called Hicks a project, he was a very highly rated prospect. Generational talent is absurd hyperbole. Yes Buxton was the #1 prospect in baseball, yes he has yet to live up to expectations. There’s no need to add untrue fluff onto that statement. Buxton was from rural GA with no hs competition while Hicks grew up playing in elite leagues in CA. If either one of them was a “project” coming into pro ball it was Buxton
  18. alarp33
    Hicks was a top 25 prospect in baseball. Also I don’t think I ever once saw someone say Buxton was a “generational talent”
  19. alarp33
    Fernando Romero who hadn’t made a start in AA yet was a better option to start 2017 in the rotation?
  20. alarp33
    Falvey / Levine were not here in 2016. Also, Hughes was owed $39 million entering 2017 (thanks Terry Ryan). There was 0 chance he was going to be cut prior to the season.
  21. alarp33
    Also for those saying their eyes say he doesn't hit the ball hard. What do your eyes say about Rosario? Because Kepler has a higher avg exit velo than Rosario, and a higher "hard hit (95mph+) %" than Rosario. Of course 14.7% of the fly balls Rosario hits are leaving the park, while its 7% for Kepler https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_leaderboard
  22. alarp33
    I'm as confused as anyone why Belisle is on the active roster right now, but some of these examples? Phil Hughes spent like 6 weeks in the rotation from april to mid may last year, who were the other options at the time? He then spent like 5 more weeks for the rest of the season on the active roster. He had a bloated contract and was given a chance. They cut bait fairly early on this year - earlier than I expected this cheap ownership to allow. Haley was on the active roster for like 4 weeks. 19 games for Kinley. Bad pitching staffs (historically bad is what they inherited) are going to have bad pitchers on it. Also, I don't think we should be penalizing them for the roster 3 years ago considering this is the 2nd season they've led the Twins.
  23. alarp33
    Not familiar with this website, but I found this data interesting. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1axMG2D9IkLo473l3qhkS859v85vbIb20uQ5mfhEi2dc/edit#gid=437748026 A glossary of terms; https://www.xstats.org/glossary/ Kepler's "DB%" (dribblers that have low success of being hits) is way down from previous 2 years), his HD% (high drive - best chance to be hits) is way up. His ground ball % is way up according to this data, perhaps leading to lower expected BABIP (and actual babip). He is better than league average in xOBA+ and OUTs. I'll stick by my earlier hypothesis that he's had a run of terrible luck this year
  24. alarp33
    I didn't bring up his BABIP.
  25. alarp33
    your "core" is going to win 65 games this year. You have proposed nothing except filling catcher to make that 65 turn into 90
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