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Article: The Case For Brett Anderson (Again)
GoGonzoJournal replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The bulging disc really worries me, but I'd still give him a minor league deal with an invite. I've had disc issues for five years. They don't go away, even after surgery, unless you have disc replacement surgery, which can't be done in the US. -
Article: Jordan Schafer: Breakout or Bust
GoGonzoJournal replied to jorgenswest's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd like him in a platoon with Hicks in LF or CF (more in LF). I love his baserunning ability, and with Paul Molitor guiding him, he could be a terror on the bases. -
A platoon of Hicks and Schafer would be better in LF. Danny Santana would be better in CF. Arcia in RF.
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Article: What to do: Eduardo Escobar
GoGonzoJournal replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think the Twins are as committed to Santana at short as they or you make it out. That decision should be made after Spring Training, and all this talk about Santana at short may be Terry Ryan's attempt to shop Escobar. I like Escobar at short, Santana in center, and a platoon of Hicks and Schafer in left to start next season. If Sano or Buxton tear up the minors prior to the trade deadline, then you field offers for Escobar, but until then... -
I have just two problems with answers new Minnesota Twins manager Paul Molitor gave in response to fan questions in a recent interview. First, he said he'd like his nickname to be spelled ‘Mollie,” citing that it looks more masculine, but I suggested his nickname be Paulie, as in a guy named Paul from St. Paul and the big sign in center field featuring a guy from St. Paul named Paulie. It’s common sense people. This blog was originally published at Go Gonzo Journal. My other issue is with his answer to a question from Andrew Pint about developing Spanish-speaking prospects. Molitor said, referring to he and Terry Ryan, “We feel it’s on the players who come here from various parts of the world, particularly Spanish-speaking players, to learn our language.” This is simply an insanely outdated concept. The fact that Tsuyoshi Niskioka, which I can still spell correctly despite not having to do so for nearly three years, was never expected to learn English and was allowed a translator in the dugout, is ass-backwards. It should be on the organization to correctly develop their talent, not on the talent to do it all themselves. These young kids have enough on their minds trying to make a big league ballclub to have to learn English as well. I just watched the ESPN’s “30 for 30″ film Brothers in Exile, featuring the stories of Livan and Orlando “El Duque” Hernandez, who had great Major League careers despite having never learned English because they had bilingual coaches in the minor leagues (Livan) and bilingual players in the majors (Orlando) to help them adapt. Hell, El Duque’s catcher, Jorge Posada, served as his translator in interviews. Spanish is the second-most popular language in the world with 110 million more native speakers than English. If Ryan and Molitor blow an opportunity to bring in a Spanish-speaking coach, even an assistant coach, because of their outdated beliefs, the organization will suffer for it. I've pitched plenty of options, including Julio Franco as an assistant hitting coach and strength and conditioning coach. Franco would jump at the opportunity to coach in the bigs based on what I've read, and I think he has valuable experience despite limited time as a coach. The guy was basically a player/coach for a decade while still playing professionally. Don't blow this opportunity, Paulie. Adapt, like you expect the Spanish-speaking kids to. ---- Anthony Varriano is editor of Go Gonzo Journal, a blog featuring the rants of fans and outlaw journalists.
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New Face, Old Gard(y): Twins Choose Tradition over Talent, Again
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Most likely through trade. Terry Ryan has never and will never pay top dollar for a starter. It's just not his style. He'll sign some low-risk, high-reward guy like Masterson.- 10 comments
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New Face, Old Gard(y): Twins Choose Tradition over Talent, Again
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Like I said to Seth, the number of wins Molitor brings over Gardy is negligible. Managers don't make teams winners. Starting pitching does. We have everything else except outfield defense, which is coming, and will improve overall pitching numbers.- 10 comments
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New Face, Old Gard(y): Twins Choose Tradition over Talent, Again
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Not an article. Just a blog. Gardy and Molitor are the same when it comes to winning games is the argument I try to make. Difference in WAR is negligible. And the need of an ace has everything to do with managerial situation. If we had one there wouldn't be a managerial situation.- 10 comments
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Article: Twins to Name Paul Molitor Manager
GoGonzoJournal replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This decision means very little in the win/loss column. Difference in WAR is negligible. An ace is what we need to win, not a manager. -
Terry Ryan kept with company policy and made the long-expected and unsurprising decision to offer Paul Molitor a contract to become the new manager of the Minnesota Twins. Molitor, a St. Paul native, has been expected to take over as Ron Gardenhire’s replacement for at least a year, if not longer depending on the rumors you choose to believe, and could have taken over for Tom Kelly in 2002 had he not removed himself from the running due to the contraction fiasco. So Terry Ryan and the Twins got the man they wanted 13 years ago. No surprises in Twins Territory. This blog was originally published at Go Gonzo Journal Sports. The move means absolutely nothing. There is no discernible difference between Molitor and Gardy. They're both infield and baserunning specialists, although Molitor may be more in tune with today’s dependence on statistics when it comes to defensive play, and will hopefully be more open to platoon players with extreme splits to increase overall productivity. That’s a difference of winning a few extra games per season. It won't make the Twins a contender. The ONLY thing that will make the Twins a contender is an ace, and I'm not talking about Phil Hughes. I’m talking about Madison Bumgarner, or someone with comparable talents. Although, after his World Series performance, comparable talents may not exist. Bumgarner proved that in almost 150 years of organized baseball, nothing has changed. Starting pitching still wins championships. Kansas City’s bullpen approach didn't work. You can have as many high-powered arms in the pen as you like, but one man can still shut you out and win three games in a seven-game series despite an average offense that had very little pop in the MLB Playoffs. The Royals could have run a different pitcher out there every inning and still would have lost. Cliff Corcoran of Sports Illustrated found the Royals’ bullpen ranked seventh in runs allowed in all-time postseason history. Even they couldn't hang with Bumgarner and were rocked in Game 4. Starting pitching still wins championships. You can make all the noise you want about the Royals being sound defensively, especially in the outfield, but they didn’t win, and the Giants did despite a two-base error by their center fielder in the ninth inning of Game 7. Starting pitching still wins championships. You can make the argument that you need the bats of Hunter Pence and Pablo Sandoval in order to score enough runs to win, but you'd be wrong. Gregor Blanco drew a bases loaded walk and scored again after drawing a walk when rookie Joe Panik tripled in Game 1. Blanco got the scoring started with another walk in Game 4, took second on a wild pitch, and took third because he could, later scoring on a groundout by Pence. Matt Duffy, who had just two plate appearances in the World Series, scored on a single by Buster Posey after slapping a leadoff single of his own and taking second on a groundout. Then, in the bottom of the seventh inning, Brandon Crawford hit an infield single and Michael Morse walked to put Blanco in a bunting situation. He laid it down and reached on an error allowing Crawford to score. The rookie Panik then doubled to score Morse and Blanco. That would be all the Giants needed to win Game 4. Juan Perez, a defensive replacement, scored an unearned run in the bottom of the eighth inning of Game 5 on a single by Crawford. In fact, the only game the Giants truly needed the bats of Sandoval and Pence was Game 7. They accounted for every run scored, but it was Morse and Crawford that drove them in. Pence and Sandoval had stellar performances that would have been MVP-worthy any other year, but starting pitching still wins championships. Without an ace on the staff, like Bert Blyleven, Jack Morris, Johan Santana, or even a young Francisco Liriano, the hopes and dreams of Twins’ fans will continue to be dashed by the front office at Twins Way. Unless Terry Ryan and the rest of his disciples learn the Twins’ way isn't the winning way, Molitor replacing Gardy as manager is meaningless, and every job in the front office should be made available. ---- Anthony Varriano is editor of Go Gonzo Journal, a blog featuring the rants of fans and outlaw journalists.
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Maddon opting out and the Twins' vacant managerial position is no coincidence. I think Maddon wants this job, and he knows Terry Ryan has the money to pay him. Maddon cited "financial reasons" for testing free agency, and no one has more money to spend than Terry Ryan. Whatever Maddon demands, the Twins can match. Frankly, I don't think Maddon opts out if the Twins fill their managerial position by now. I truly think this has everything to do with money. Maddon wants to be the highest paid manager in the game, and deserves to be. He's done more with less better than anyone, including Gardy. Maddon would have what he had in Tampa – a young, talented pitching staff, a young, hard-hitting third baseman like Evan Longoria, an effective infield defense, and quite possibly a superstar in Byron Buxton. It's too good to be true, but Terry Ryan has an obligation to make it true. I'd give Maddon $7 million per year before paying a starter $20 million per year. He's the best free agent on the market.
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Article: Left Field In Need Of Upgrade
GoGonzoJournal replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I've been calling for a Schafer/Hicks platoon in LF with Santana in center and Arcia in RF. That would make for above-average hitters at all three positions with just one defensive liability in Arcia. Giving more than one year to anyone is a mistake at any price, and I'd rather see what we have in Schafer and Hicks in what is hopefully the final year before Buxton's arrival. -
Laughing through the Pain: Another Way to Look at Twins Pitching
GoGonzoJournal commented on PeanutsFromHeaven's blog entry in Peanuts from Heaven
I don't think on-field performance and nickname should carry the same weight in determining player "value" amongst the fan base. In fact, I would get rid of every category except play and personality and add community involvement, attitude, and screen presence (CAPPS).- 2 comments
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A Gonzo Look at the 2015 Minnesota Twins Coaching Staff
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Not with postseason success on their resume...it's not just because he's Latino that I think he'll make a great manager for the Twins. It's because he's been to the tippy top and knows what it takes to get there again. I also believe he's learned a ton from his time as an ESPN analyst, and won't be firing off f-bombs or talking politics anytime soon. I think he's gotten a lot more likable in his later years as well.- 7 comments
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A Gonzo Look at the 2015 Minnesota Twins Coaching Staff
GoGonzoJournal posted a blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Coaches are underrated, underpaid and picking a coaching staff is hard. That’s what I’ve learned since attempting to dig into all the coaching candidates to fill positions on the 2015 Minnesota Twins coaching staff. Choosing a coaching staff is largely the manager’s job, but Terry Ryan will certainly play an active role in who the new manager hires, especially if the new manager is young and influential. Although recently it seems anyone Gardy wanted Terry allowed. Perhaps we’re seeing and feeling the effects of that now. This blog was originally published at GoGonzoJournal.com The right collection of coaches makes all the difference, but the problem with forming a staff is the coaches you want the most already have jobs they wouldn’t leave except for a promotion to manager, which forces promotion from within rather than seeking outside. There’s not enough money devoted to MLB coaching staffs, and too much devoted to owners and players. If the coaching market and players’ market had the same amount of money devoted to each, it would make this Twins’ rebuild even more interesting. But as it stands, it’s pretty damn boring, so in an attempt to spice up the search for Gardy’s replacement, here’s a Gonzo list of coaches I’d like to see on the Twins’ staff next season, some of which may be untouchable or a little too Gonzo, but I’ve provided runner-up choices as well. http://i0.wp.com/gogonzojournal.com/wp-content/uploads/Julio-Franco.jpeg?zoom=2&resize=159%2C200 Julio Franco, 55, prepares to hit as a player/coach for the Fort Worth Cats. Strength and Conditioning Coach/Assistant Hitting Coach – Julio Franco I think Mark Berardino tossed his name out there on Gleeman and the Geek this week and I was immediately interested in what Franco’s been up to. Well, he most recently became the only person to play professional baseball in five different decades. He returned, at the age of 55, to act as a player/coach for the Fort Worth Cats, and is looking for an opportunity to get back into affiliated ball after some time coaching in Venezuela. Although he has no experience as a strength and conditioning coach, he obviously has a personal fountain of youth. This 2006 article describes Franco’s diet and exercise, saying he “stays fit and chiseled through intense workouts and cross training in the off season. In addition to regular cardio workouts, he lifts weights and uses plyometrics, exercises to maintain power and explosiveness.” If he’s fit enough at that age to swing a baseball bat and run to first base, I think he can hold the Twins together better than Perry Castellano has. He’d be a great addition to serve as an assistant hitting instructor for the young, Spanish-speaking Twins players as well. Runners-up: Ichiro Suzuki, Torii Hunter If these guys don’t get contract offers this winter, they should both be strength and conditioning coaches in Major League Baseball. Their run has been more than impressive. Suzuki’s 41 years old and still looks 21, and Torii, 40, can still swing the bat. Hell, the Twins might pay either of them to play a little left field and do some instructing if the price is right. The language barrier may be a barrier for Suzuki, but the point is I’ll take anyone but Castellano. Either give me somebody who can make Mauer a horse or give me somebody who can make him bend so much he never breaks. I’d prefer the horse. Athletic Trainer – Larry Bennese I don’t know many trainers, but Bennese must be a good one. He won the Florida State League’s Trainer of the Year award five times, and he’s put in the time in the Twins’ system – 19 years with the organization. He’s only been in Rochester for two years, but he’ll be familiar with a lot of the bodies on the Twins’ roster and how to handle them, especially the pitchers. It seems like a move Terry Ryan would make. Bullpen Coach – Marty Mason Mason is an easy choice to be the Twins’ bullpen coach because he’s put in the time – 28 years as a coach, including 11 as Tony La Russa’s bullpen coach – and he knows the kids that will be pitching out of the Twins bullpen pretty well. I also think Mason was hired in 2012 as a possible replacement for Rick Anderson. He’s got quite the reputation for turning soft-tossing pitchers like Johan Pino and Logan Darnell into successes, and his pitching staff in Rochester was second in ERA and third in WHIP this season in the International League. A negative may be his inability to right Vance Worley. Mason didn’t have much in the cupboard in 2013, either. And maybe Alex Meyer and Trevor May could have developed faster, but I think with the right cans in the cupboard, Mason can make a mean casserole. http://i1.wp.com/gogonzojournal.com/wp-content/uploads/Minnesota-Twins-Paul-Molitor-.jpg?zoom=2&resize=300%2C168 First Base/Infield Coach – Paul Molitor I’d like to see Molitor stay on the staff, but I don’t know if that’s possible if he’s denied the manager job. He could even end up in Milwaukee. I just think this is the best spot for him. He’s a baserunning and defensive shifting wizard. He belongs on the bases, but if he does get Gardy’s job or decides to walk, there are some options. Runner-up: Jake Mauer The man played every infield position except catcher and wasn’t terrible at any of them. He’s also got a ton of energy and a winning attitude. Plus, maybe Joe will smile a little more with his bro down at first base. Third Base Coach – Gene Glynn I don’t think there’s any way he’s not on the Twins’ coaching staff in 2015. He certainly deserves it. He’s been a coach or scout for 20 years, and most of it as a third base coach. It just makes sense to promote him given his success at Rochester, and I think he’s being groomed to take over as manager in a couple of years. Hitting Coach – Tom Brunansky Brunansky proved his worth this year, getting through to Brian Dozier and Trevor Plouffe regarding plate discipline. The whole team walked early and often until pitchers realized who they were throwing to. Dozier and Plouffe continued to excel, and I don’t know anyone else I’d rather have teaching young, Twins talent the importance of patience. Pitching Coach – Jim Benedict This is just payback. Benedict fixed Vance Worley; he fixed Francisco Liriano with three words – “right back pocket.” The special assistant to Pirates’ GM Neal Huntington should get just about anything he wants. I don’t care what it costs, just bring him to Minnesota. He’s obviously the best there is in the game when it comes to pitching. He’s been turning other teams’ garbage into Pittsburgh’s treasure for years now. Runners-up: Dom Chiti, Frank Viola, Marty Mason Chiti worked wonders with Baltimore’s bullpen in 2014 and certainly has impressive credentials. He’s been coaching since 1982. Viola is coming off open heart surgery this spring, but rejoined the Las Vegas 51s, the Mets Triple-A affiliate, as pitching coach. Bench Coach – Terry Steinbach I wouldn’t mind Steinbach sticking around as bench coach, but I have a feeling he’s headed to Arizona.According to Mike Berardino, “Twins catchers have praised his work on their fundamentals,”but why is it that pitch framing has been largely ignored? Hiring him despite no major or minor league coaching experience was quite the shock. Runners-up: Gene Glynn, Doug Mientkiewicz Everybody seems to love Gene Glynn, or it could be a great learning opportunity for Mientkiewicz to do some of the manager’s grunt work. He’s never done that in his career, and it could change the way he treats his own bench coach. Manager – Ozzie Guillen Anybody who reads this blog knows Ozzie’s been my man for three years, and I’m not easing of the gas pedal now. Ozzie wouldn’t. Terry Ryan is interviewing the first minority candidate, Sandy Alomar, Jr., so the odds of Ozzie becoming “Don Piranha” are getting worse everyday. Terry Ryan doesn’t seem like an Ozzie kind of guy. He’s not one to put up with bull****, so here are some backup plans. http://i1.wp.com/gogonzojournal.com/wp-content/uploads/Minnesota-Twins-Rusty-Kuntz.jpg?zoom=2&fit=300%2C300 Runners-up, in order of preference: Rusty Kuntz, Paul Molitor, Torey Lovullo, Sandy Alomar, Jr., Gene Glynn, Doug Mientkiewicz I really like Rusty Kuntz, and not just because of his name. He’s regarded as the best outfield and baserunning coach by Nick Cafardo, and you can see it in Alex Gordon, Nori Aoki, Lorenzo Cain, and Jarrod Dyson. And what was one of the biggest problems for the Twins in 2014? Outfield defense. He looks good in the powder blue uniforms, and there aren’t many internal candidates with a specialty in outfield instruction, either. Molitor seems like a good fit. I’ve heard Twins players respond well to him, and considering his willingness to shift defensively and ability to teach good baserunning skills, I’d say he’s an upgrade. And you can’t deny the awkward way he was brought in as the seventh coach on the staff in charge of baserunning, infield defense, and “in-game strategy.” Sure sounds like a manager to me. Funny thing is hiring Molitor was all Gardy’s idea. Seems to me Gardy wanted a way out. Torey Lovullo has a reputation for being an encouraging guy, and maybe with all these young players coming up, the Twins could use more positive reinforcement than negative. I think this Twins team would be an ideal fit for Lovullo, and he would thrive in Minnesota. Sandy Alomar, Jr. is an interesting candidate because he’s a former catcher who can teach both Suzuki and Pinto the proper way to play the game defensively. I’m not sure I want Steinbach to be the only coach in that role. I think Glynn is going to groom Mientkiewicz into the job. Molitor may only stick around for a few years if he gets the job. It’ll be another Tom Kelly situation. Whoever inherits this team in three or four years is going to be given the keys to an old-fashioned, gas-guzzling, American muscle car with the power to get out of the parking lot in a hurry. Something tells me it’ll be Glynn or Mientkiewicz, but not this year. ---- Anthony Varriano is editor of Go Gonzo Journal, a sports blog featuring the rants of fans and outlaw journalists.- 7 comments
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Article: Postseason Review: Eduardo Escobar
GoGonzoJournal replied to stringer bell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think Esco earned the starting job at SS, but I wouldn't mind a platoon. Santana proved he's talented enough to make a quick switch in positions, so when they need him to play SS, he'll be ready. Esco was the better defensive SS, too. Santana stays in CF, platoon Schafer and Hicks in LF, start Esco at SS.- 9 replies
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Dave St. Peter said payroll won't go down significantly, but I just did a little exercise and if no moves are made except reasonable non-tenders and arbitration raises, payroll could fall to $75 million next year – $10 million lower than last year. That would place the Twins 29th in payroll behind the Rays. Tell me it's not going to happen. And if it doesn't, tell me Terry Ryan signed a competitive starter and didn't extend Hughes and Dozier after one good season. At least he waited until the end of the year. Suzuki only needed to play well for half the season.
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With Dave St. Peter saying the Minnesota Twins’ payroll won’t be “going down significantly” in an interview with Mike Berardino, the time has come to determine how significant the payroll decrease will be. With season ticket sales due to drop without the lure of the MLB All-Star Game and the “honeymoon effect” of shiny, new Target Field wearing off, I argue the Twins’ payroll will go down significantly. This blog was originally published at Go Gonzo Journal. Right now, the Twins have nearly $60 million in commitments. They started the season with a payroll of $85 million, but dumped about $10 million when they traded Kendrys Morales, Josh Willingham, and Kevin Correia midseason. Aaron Gleeman assures us on this week’s episode of Gleeman and the Geek that we won’t be seeing that money again, and it won’t be invested into 2015. I know, it’s stupid, but let’s evaluate the non-tender candidates and see what we’re left with. Tommy Milone Originally, I had assumed the Twins would make a splash in the deep starting pitching market this offseason, but that’s looking more and more unlikely, despite Mike Berardino’s support of my idea to sign Ervin Santana. Berardino suggests Jason Hammel as a cheaper yet effective option, which is reasonable, but I think the Twins intend to keep Tommy Milone around now that they’ve seen him pitch one shutout inning. The Twins’ front office likes to take a small sample-size and extrapolate it into some form of unhinged hope. I mean, he’s a free poker chip, and Terry Ryan probably thinks of him that way. Ryan’s subconscious will also play a role. I imagine it’s saying, “When that kid turns it around and starts throwing like he was in Oakland, people in Minnesota will be calling you a genius again.” That could very well be, and with team control until 2018, Milone could end up a free poker chip that pays off. He’ll be around. Anthony Swarzak There is no way I see Swarzak returning to the Twins. His strikeouts per nine innings were down 1.5 from 2013, and he walked nearly one guy more per game than the previous year. I see Mike Pelfrey filling this role, since there’s no place else to put him. Jared Burton If Terry Ryan picks up Burton’s option for 2015, I’ll throw a bigger tantrum than Aaron Gleeman did when Pelfrey was given a two-year deal. If it happens, there’s no way Ryan has a job in 2016. Brian Duensing I was on the fence on Duensing when I reviewed the Twins payroll last month, and his community involvement made me leave him on the roster, but that’s no longer the case. Duensing’s strikeout rate has dropped significantly, from 8.3 in 2013 to 5.5 in 2014, but his 3.31 ERA will keep him in the running for an increase in pay this year. I guessed he’d make $3.2 million in 2015, which is too much considering Duensing can’t get righties out. They had an .843 OPS off him in 2014. Eduardo Nunez Like Gleeman, I don’t see the value in Nunez. He never could hit, and he’s the worst defensive shortstop in the game. For some reason Twins Daily fans seem to think he’ll be back, but I don’t see it. Eduardo Escobar is a more versatile utility option that can hit, and according to Mike Berardino, he’ll be $1 million cheaper than expected. His average was 25 points higher, his on-base percentage was 44 points higher, and he can play six positions, albeit just below average. Nunez is well below average everywhere he plays except the outfield, which may be why some people think he’ll be back, but he can’t hit enough to stick at a corner outfield spot, and with Miguel Sano pushing Trevor Plouffe to a new position, I doubt the Twins tender Nunez a contract. There’s room for only one Eduardo on this team. The Twins also have a new guy that will get a good look next season. http://i1.wp.com/gogonzojournal.com/wp-content/uploads/Screen-Shot-2014-10-07-at-5.53.02-PM.png?zoom=2&resize=300%2C573 My new Minnesota Twins’ payroll and roster for 2015. Jordan Schafer I don’t think there’s any way the Twins don’t tender a contract to Schafer, and not because he hit the hell out of the ball and got on base at a .345 clip when he came over from the Braves. I don’t think Schafer’s numbers at the plate are sustainable, but in 262.1 innings in left field, Schafer was worth 21 runs above the average left fielder’s range defensively. It was his best position in Atlanta, too, as he was worth 14 runs above average. Schafer is under team control until 2017, and gives Terry Ryan a reason not to sign a free agent left fielder this offseason. It also gets Ryan’s subconscious talking about how Schafer will make him look like a genius. Trevor Plouffe Plouffe had a career year at the plate and in the field. He improved his defense and walk rate. He hit the same number of homers as he did in 2013 and nearly doubled his double total. His on-base percentage was up 19 points, and his OPS was up 50 points from 2013. His WAR was 3.9! All that being said, he is not an extension candidate, but a trade candidate in 2015. This will be Plouffe’s first year of arbitration eligibility, and he’s due a sizable raise. I’ve predicted he’ll make around $3.8 million next year, and if he continues what he did in 2014, he’ll be a valuable trade chip at third base or better learn to love left field. I think he’ll be dealt by the trade deadline next year to make room for Sano. Brian Dozier Dozier is obviously a candidate for an extension after raising his on-base percentage 33 points in 2014, and that’s the route Terry Ryan may very well take, but it won’t be this year. He likes to reward guys for past performance, and Dozier has arguably become the face of the franchise. He’s a fan and media favorite, and he’s certainly Ryan’s most valuable asset. He had a WAR of 5.2, best on the team and fifth amongst MLB second basemen. But he’s even more valuable if you don’t extend him. Dozier is under team control until 2019. He’ll be 32 and declining when he signs his first free agent contract, and given the depth at middle infield positions the Twins finally have, I suspect Dozier will be dealt…eventually. Mike Berardino expects Jorge Polanco to be competing with Dozier for MLB time by the end of next season, and I suspect we haven’t heard the last of Eddie Rosario. Marijuana isn’t a drug that ruins careers. By August 2017, the last year of Nolasco’s deal, Dozier will be gone, unless he turns into the best second baseman in the game. Hopefully the Twins can make some noise in the playoffs before then, but a top-5 player at any position is worth an ace and some change in return. And Minnesota needs pitching more than it needs a top-5 second baseman. You can’t afford to have a heart in this game. Phil Hughes Phil Hughes is the man I most want to extend, but I wouldn’t do it until after next season. Hughes hasn’t been able to string two good seasons in a row yet, and I’d like to see some consistency before extending him three more years. I think this is the approach Terry Ryan will take as well. So how much does the payroll go “down significantly” from 2014? Well, if Terry Ryan signs Jason Hammel and does what I expect him to with the rest of the non-tender candidates, the 2015 payroll will be almost exactly the same as 2014’s – roughly $85 million. Without Hammel, though, we’re looking at a payroll that’s around $75 million, significantly down from 2014, regardless of what Dave St. Peter says. ---- Anthony Varriano is editor of Go Gonzo Journal Sports, a blog featuring the rants of fans and outlaw journalists.
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Article: Postseason Review: Brian Dozier
GoGonzoJournal replied to stringer bell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think Terry Ryan holds onto Dozier until the second or third year of arbitration and deals him around the All-Star break, regardless of where the Twins are in the standings. He'll be an OLD free agent – 30 – and in his declining years during his first big contract. Polanco will be pushing for playing time by the end of next season, according to Mike Berardino, and there's plenty of middle infield depth in the organization...finally. Eddie Rosario could recover and Nick Gordon won't be a long study. I wouldn't be surprised if Santana continues to play CF next year to give Escobar some trade value at short until Buxton is up. If he can be what he was this year and just be an above average defender at SS (he was slightly below average this year), Esco is going to earn the Twins a mint. Plouffe should be pretty good trade bait around the All-Star break next year, too, but I think he'll stick around and play LF when Sano is up, unless the Twins feel Esco can hit enough to hold down LF at lower arbitration dollars. I'd prefer to keep Esco given his proven ability to play up to six positions, albeit slightly below average, and the fact he's under team control until 2019.- 8 replies
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Be careful what you wish for...
GoGonzoJournal commented on Fire Dan Gladden's blog entry in Blog Fire Dan Gladden
The Pohlads are people, too. They have feelings and, I think, would prefer to give Minnesota a winner. They're just not very good at it. They've allowed too much old guard stick around for too long. It's like the whole organization is an extension of the Pohlad family. A change in ownership and a front office shakeup is what this organization needs. I agree. But the Pohlads aren't selling a team with a shiny new stadium the people paid for through taxes. As a business, it would not be in their best interest to take the Houston or Clippers approach because creating goodwill with the community is also important in running a financially solvent business that depends on that community. The Pohlads obviously know their business is safe for the next 30 years or so, and although success is cyclical in MLB, I think the Pohlads and Terry Ryan are attempting to recreate the success they had with a lower budget, because that success is more impressive. I would rather be a fan of an underdog team with the 24th ranked payroll that wins a World Series than a fan of the team with the 3rd ranked payroll that does the same. I'm more impressed with an organization that overachieves expectations, as you would be with a business. -
Goodbye, Gardy. Hello, Ozzie!
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
And I'm sure he learned from that mistake. He may not be the candidate that's most press or organization friendly, but he is the candidate with the most postseason success. The Twins haven't been getting the best press anyways given their tone deaf marketing survey, and I'm sure Terry Ryan would work out an agreement that would allow him to fire Ozzie in the case of misbehavior without paying him for multiple years. Always have Mauer waiting in the wings.- 8 comments
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Goodbye, Gardy. Hello, Ozzie!
GoGonzoJournal commented on GoGonzoJournal's blog entry in Minnesota Foul Play-by-play
Couldn't agree more. It's a raw deal, but someone's got to go. I see it as more of a staff shakeup than just a managerial shakeup. Sure all of Gardy's staff was on a one-year deal, and he was the only one on a two-year, but with the announcement coming so early, I think Ryan, by saying their "contracts are in limbo," basically encouraging them and endorsing them for other jobs elsewhere, the front office is sending the message that this staff is going to look very different next season.- 8 comments
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