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Taildragger8791

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Everything posted by Taildragger8791

  1. The comparison isn't quite that even. ABW's K rate in college was also about 19.6% his last year and he was only 20 years old in Elizabethton, not 22 like Rooker. I'm not making any assessment about what this means, just pointing out that their situations weren't as equivalent as you suggest.
  2. It's gotta be sarcasm but I'm not sure who it's directed at. I haven't seen anyone seriously suggest Rooker is a bust. Though there were some eyebrows raised when he stated recently that he mostly just sits on fastballs, and he's already showed some tendency to strike out against Appy league pitchers. I don't think it's unfair to be worried how that will carry over against better pitchers who will throw him nothing but offspeed stuff. Thankfully he's proven to be adaptable and a hard worker so hopefully he makes the necessary adjustments to diversify his approach.
  3. Minor correction, it's two home runs of 440 ft to get the bonus :30. I wish Sano had gotten better pitches to swing at because I think he'd have put on a ridiculous show, but Judge is just a freak. I'm sure we'll get to see him try again next year!
  4. The usual issue is lack of movement, but I haven't heard anyone say that about his fastball. Maybe there's something about the way he throws that readily differentiates some of his pitches, making it easier for the hitter to figure out what's coming. Arm angle, release point, overall pitching motion, tempo, etc. Or he just has little to no deception in his delivery.
  5. That's a little aggressive. It's hardly bordering on unfair yet considering Garver only spent 95 games at AA and has 81 at AAA. If he comes up in the next month or two that's still a pretty good pace for progression for a guy that wasn't a top prospect or draft pick to begin with. That being said, I'd like to see him sometime soon. He looks like a strong bet to eventually succeed at the next level.
  6. Rooker sitting three straight games? Is something up with that?
  7. He still has an ERA almost a full run lower than Gibson and a WHIP that's 0.4 lower, which is an incredible difference. Gibson has gotten by on some good fortune, like well-timed double plays and hard hit line drive outs, while giving up piles of baserunners. I don't have much faith he'll straighten himself out, at least not in a Twins uniform. I'm not a big believer in Santiago, but up until the game where he pitched in relief he had an ERA of 4.07 and WHIP of 1.32. Perfectly serviceable for back-end rotation filler. Then he pitched on 2 days rest and struggled, and left the next game with an injury in the 3rd inning after getting knocked around. Then returned last night to a weather-shortened game where he didn't get a chance to bounce back from the 2-run homerun he gave up. I'm willing to see if he can get back on track. At least he's shown he's capable of something more than Gibson's tired old routine.
  8. Looks like Park is starting to hit a little more consistently. Still a long ways to go, but hopefully that means the power and walks will start coming too.
  9. Kohl Stewart has been out for a month and a half but it supposedly coming back soon to resume his audition for protection in next year's Rule 5 draft. Tyler Jay had bicep tendinitis and now a shoulder issue. No word on his timeline that' I've seen. I assume that means he'll come back next spring then immediately announce he needs the routine Twins Tommy John Special. I wouldn't make plans for the major league team that involve either of them for this or next year. Let them work their way back and force the issue.
  10. BBREF for whatever reason doesn't have last night's game in his stats. Look at the game logs. ESPN and MLB.com both have 5 HRs with 89 ABs on the season. BBREF has 4 HRs with 86 ABs. Regardless, it doesn't change anything whether it's 5 to 4 or tied at 4. A backup catcher who's never been known for his stick simply shouldn't out-slug your primary first baseman this far into the season.
  11. And a week ago we were 1.5 up. Last 10 games: Cleveland: 7-3 Kansas City: 8-2 Minnesota: 3-7 Pretty much the definition of fading. Doesn't mean they can't come back or stay near the top, but at the moment they're sliding backwards and it's for a very real reason (nearly AL-worst pitching).
  12. Maybe it was an age thing? Melotakis was 25 when he came back, which is pretty old to go back to A ball for a reliever. Reed was about the same age, and the jump from AA to AAA is comparitivley small so I don't think it mattered which one he started at. There isn't going to be a prescribed number of AAA appearances before he'll be called up. I think once he proves he's healthy and can pitch effectively on short rest he'll be promoted. He's definitely got more talent than anyone else at AA/AAA right now.
  13. Reed missed the first two months with an injury. They sent him to AA to get his feet under him and prove he was healthy.
  14. I wouldn't be itching to give up on a guy that's middle of the pack (at replacement level or slightly above) and trending up at barely 1000 career plate appearances. The mental gaffes are frustrating and could limit his playing time eventually, but the stick is still improving. He's shown real progress in his batting peripherals this year, and even moreso in the last month. He's stroking .316/.379/.595/.974 since May 26th with a BAPIP of .339 and a 17/8 K/BB ratio, so this hasn't been outrageously luck-driven either. He could still wind up being an above average bat for left field.
  15. For some reason I think he listed OBP/SLG/OPS. I admit it confused me at first too.
  16. Hard not to notice that Rosario suddenly is drawing walks, which is a big deal if it continues. His OBP is catching up to Dozier's at this point, and his average/slugging are already higher. His strikeout rate has dropped from over 25% (for his first two years) to a little over 19.3% this season, and his BB% has risen from a ghastly 3.3% to 5.6% (still bad, but trending the right way). That means his K/BB ratio dropped from 7.74 to 3.46, which is more than cut in half. Yeah, he still makes mental errors and is still too aggressive at times. Maybe he levels off and is still only a fourth outfielder. But he hasn't made no improvement or adjustments, as many here have asserted. I'd say let him keep starting ther rest of the year, maybe with a little more rest (Granite or other sub), and see if this upward trend can continue.
  17. It took Grossman four years and changing teams before he figured out how to translate those skills to the majors. It's not easy to make a living drawing walks when you're not much of a hitting threat. If letting him season in AA/AAA shortens that process then that sounds good to me. Otherwise it'll be like reliving the early Aaron Hicks days all over again.
  18. Which ones? I'm not aware of any top-end RPs that have even been healthy. Chargois, Jay, and Burdi are all out and Reed still can't pitch on less than 2 days of rest. As for the more mid-level guys, well I suppose the organization just doesn't see them as the type to promote aggressively for whatever reason. I agree that I'd like to see more tryouts taking place, but I don't really know enough about the individual guys to evaluate them. I know to take MiLB relief pitching stat lines with a grain of salt though. Lots of AAAA relievers have looked dang good in box scores and never amount to anything in the majors.
  19. Probably just making 100% sure that he's healthy and not having any lingering issues that will creep up. Then he didn't get past 5 innings his last couple of outings, so they probably wanted to see him sharpen things up a little before pushing him to the next level. Or maybe they're just waiting to shuffle a bunch of guys all at once at the mid-season point coming up here. Seems pretty reasonable right now. If he's still there in a few weeks and pitching like this I'll be disappointed, but I don't think that'll be the case.
  20. The wheels haven't come off on Santana yet but they are certainly starting to wobble. In his last 8 starts, half are excellent and half are pretty bad (5+ runs). Any reason for the pattern? Anything common in the bad starts? Hopefully he can even that out to something more consistently in the middle because it's gonna be hard to hold onto the division lead if he and Berrios aren't winning nearly every time out. We are good bets to cough up 7+ runs when anyone else starts.
  21. That isn't what he said. He said 'prevent future problem areas 4-8 years down the road'. Obviously this is supposed to be interpreted as a general timeframe, a.k.a. not this year or next but for the long haul. Since we can't predict needs that far in advance we shouldn't try to draft specifically for them. Even if players make it in 2 years, a pretty aggressive timeline, they aren't typically a full-time or impact player right away. 3-4 years to become fully established in the majors would be as fast of a development as you should expect for any player that isn't a generational talent or has an unusually advanced development coming out of college. Sometimes guys move faster, but planning for it is a pretty risky and bound to fail. Just look at our bullpen approach this year to see how much can go wrong when you depend on prospects to advance, and most of those guys were in AA-AAA already. Of course this doesn't necessarily apply to relievers due to their niche role.
  22. That's because he's not very good, and so those good performances are random flukes where the ball finds gloves or he ran into a very weak lineup. Just the way baseball goes.
  23. That looks a lot better, thanks. I think the page I was on yesterday was the "live analysis" page which was updating way behind the TV coverage.
  24. Is there a good online tracker (not MLB.com, apparently) that updates pretty close to live speed? The MLB site yesterday seemed like it was several picks behind at all times.
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