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scottz

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Everything posted by scottz

  1. scottz
    The good thing about frequency is that it can easily be calculated. Here's the number of times Duffey has given up one or more earned runs in his 2019 appearances, and the rest of the most often used relievers. Name - # of times giving up 1 or more ER out of # of appearances (percentage): May - 5 out of 32 (15.6%) Duffey - 3 out of 18 (16.7%) Morin - 3 out of 17 (17.6%) Harper - 6 out of 33 (18.2%) Magill - 5 out of 21 (23.8%) Rogers - 7 out of 29 (24.1%) Parker - 7 out of 28 (25.0%) I know it is a simple analysis (obviously, he's been in lower leverage situations), but for frequency of effectiveness (assuming no earned runs means he was effective)? He's not an outlier in any negative sense. Note: edited to add "2019"
  2. scottz
    I'd say it would have to be one of the adults.
  3. scottz
    "they'll make the playoffs if they run an actual human baby out there every fifth day" That's a phrase that pays. Good laugh words right there.
  4. scottz
    I like baseball.
  5. scottz
    Based on the headline, I legitimately chuckled and opened the article thinking it was a Randball Stu special. Local Fan Surprised by Non-Satire
  6. scottz
    I agree with Eris - the ball didn't get to Astudillo because he played it poorly. It obviously looked like he thought the ball was going up the line, which is fine, but instead of going up the line in fair territory, he angled into foul territory and behind the runner. The ball ended up in a good spot (hitting the runner before he crossed home within a stride of the plate). If Astudillo is in fair territory, catch and tag is in play. I like Astudillo a lot, but I thought he had a rough game last night. I recall only one baserunner advancing on a pitch, but a couple of balls popped out of his glove unnecessarily. I can say this because I'm 48 and the last time I caught a game I was 10, so I know what a good game by a catcher looks like. Anyway. Let's get one today. Good luck, Smeltzer!
  7. scottz
    That seems like unnecessary fanaticism.
  8. scottz
    Their guys, not their guys, they're all our guys until they become someone else's guys. You may be right. And as noted, depending on who they are trading for, they obviously would have to include bigger and/or different chips than whoever is on their preferred list of trade candidates. In any case, we'll never know who they really wanted to trade or keep, only who they did trade or keep.
  9. scottz
    Differing opinions and all, but what you state is exactly why I think what I stated. "Their guys" have done pretty great. If there are "not their guys" who they don't love, but who have value to someone else, why wouldn't they want to change out even more of them? But my opinion and a dime will get you a dime.
  10. scottz
    Obviously, there are a lot of "it depends on" situations to figure into this calculus, but my guess would be that this front office will tend to want to hang on to "their guys" as much as they can and move the previous FO's guys. That's not a completely hard rule, obviously - they may have to give a piece they really like if they aim for something in a trade that requires big chips. They may have decided some of this group are exactly their kind of player and want to hang on to them - we obviously don't know who they are. Others may decidedly be not their kind of player - we don't know this either. But to the extent that the latter group has value to someone else, I think that's the preferred trading pool. Anyway, I hope I qualified that enough. This is the group that I think is the pre-Falvey era and I'd look at this group to be (conditionally) available in trades. Position Players - Javier, Gordon, Badoo, Miranda, Wade, Blankenhorn Pitchers - Thorpe, Gonsalves, Balazovic, Jax Guys that are already on the 40 man that fit this category too (and are not key contributos) include Moya, Stewart, Mejia. I don't think it's only this group. But none of these names would surprise me. The FO knows which of this group is off limits for them.
  11. scottz
    Amen. Use the options on whoever has them when guys get healthy and the 25 man fills up with your ideal players. Use the entire 40 man roster. Injuries will occur, so cut no asset until they have proven they cannot compete (e.g., Reed). Having too many major league caliber players is not a problem.
  12. scottz
    Everybody suggesting trades and DFA'ing assets on a team that is absolutely crushing it should keep their day jobs. When Cruz comes back, you can choose to send down Arraez, Duffey, or anyone else with options aside from Astudillo. When Garver comes back, you can throw Astudillo into that mix. Until and unless we trade FOR someone (like bullpen help, for example), there is just no need to get rid of assets. And Adrianza is still an asset.
  13. scottz
    Tomorrow night. Pineda for 6. Duffey for 2. Rogers for 1. Probably.
  14. scottz
    I think you mean Parez.
  15. scottz
    I wonder if there is anyone interesting pitching in the minors on Friday. Let's just scroll to the bottom here and... FRIDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester @ Pawtucket (5:05 CST) - LHP Devin Smeltzer (1st AAA start) Biloxi @ Pensacola (6:35 CST) - RHP Brusdar Graterol (2-0, 2.30 ERA) Ft. Myers @ Palm Beach (5:30 CST) - LHP Tyler Watson (0-3, 4.98 ERA) Dayton @ Cedar Rapids (6:35 CST) - RHP Blayne Enlow (2-2, 7.64 ERA) Oh. OK. Kind of interesting group.
  16. scottz
    I slaw that coming a mile away.
  17. scottz
    They are a bottom third club. They aren’t amateurs pushing all in and catching a third jack on the river. But even if they are just on a heater, just as in poker, when you lose to a fish, you should just let it go and move on.
  18. scottz
    For everyone bringing up theBlue Jays: Small sample size, but since leaving Target Field, the Blue Jays have beaten Oakland on the road by scores of 5-1 and 10-1. I know nobody likes losing to a perceived bad team and especially at home, but the Blue Jays are professionals too, and they took three of four from us. Let it go and enjoy the sweep.
  19. scottz
    I always like the minor league reports, but I like them even more so far in 2019. It seems like every day, I get to the "Probable Starters" section and see names that I'm interested in. Every day.
  20. scottz
    Führer der Schläger
  21. scottz
    How do you think the extra IF/utility shakes out? My read between the lines assessment of Baldelli quotes shows a decent amount of interest in Torreyes. How do you see Torreyes fitting (or not)?
  22. scottz
    I’d be ok with the twins signing him for 2 or 3 years, because I don’t think you can have too much good pitching, and Keuchel has a fairly deep history of good pitching. I wouldn’t do a 4 year (or more) deal because I think more years equals more risk than I am comfortable with. I wouldn’t want a 1 year deal because I don’t think it makes sense to give up a draft pick for a single year of value.
  23. scottz
    Breaking News
  24. scottz
    Re: Garver and his concussion Garver took a ding sometime before when symptoms occurred on September 14. That's less than 6 months ago. He's going to put on the tools of ignorance, and at some point this year, he's going to take a foul tip off the grill. It is almost a mathematical certainty. There's no certainty that he'll get a concussion from any ball that hits him. But if he was out for a few weeks from the last one - even if he was out only for an abundance of caution - I tend to be reminded that any foul ball might be the last one. I hope he has a good long career, but it would not shock me to see him move on from a career in catching as early as 2019. (Full disclosure: my son is going through concussion protocol right now - his second since October - so I'm a little pessimistic about just how many MLB foul tips a brain can take when a couple of 12 year olds kicking soccer balls can cause problems.)
  25. scottz
    I think he's going to get a chance (again) with the Twins this year. It just likely won't be on the 25 man to start. He has an option, they'll use it. I hope he gets to keep the frequent flier miles. (edit: original wrote 40 man...meant 25)
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