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Shane Wahl

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Everything posted by Shane Wahl

  1. How is ANYONE taking this seriously? This is a standard thing (that he cleared is what is "newsworthy") and it would be a barbarically dumb decision for the Twins.
  2. I actually don't disagree with a lot of what he said there but this pitching market is "thin" and that he won't participate in it? WHAT?!?! The only thing I can carry away from that statement that makes me want to watch a single Twins game is 2013 is the word "elite", which is really thin this offseason. If JR is saying that the Twins won't pursue a Hamels-type player (and there isn't really one of those on the market anyway) but instead go after a Marcum/Jackson type player, I'm completely fine with that. But if he's saying he won't pursue any decent starting pitching at all, fire the guy. Right now. That's the type of statement that is so completely illogical that it makes me want to scream. This team needs four starting pitchers. FOUR. You're not going to assemble four guys by pulling junk like Pavano off the heap and giving him innings. You might get one guy that way. No way in hell are you going to get four. Or even two. Yeah, Terry Ryan's definition of "elite" weighs heavily! Or maybe it is Souhan's definition (god help us all). Avoiding 6 years and $120 million is one thing (smart), but avoiding 4 years and $50 million is another (totally stupid). I guess saying Morneau is a core player who will thrive doesn't entail that they wouldn't be serious about trading him.
  3. Good for Tonkin and Thielbar. I fear, a bit, for Darnell in the AFL. Evan Bigley is a surprise. Maybe they want to see if 2012 in NBR was for real, power-wise.
  4. Not firing Gardenhire is one thing. Not "forcing" him to make coaching changes is one thing. Strongly suggesting coaching changes is another! Morneau is the necessary trade to make and this is hopefully just smokescreen. Unless trading Parmelee is the idea? Morneau's salary is a huge move, though, even if the Twins agreed to pay half of it. That $7 million plus the BYE-BYE to Pavano (if they resign him, I will vomit) would open up the right amount for a very good FA starting pitcher signing. I wonder what he means by "elite"? I might agree if he really means the very top top. The rung below is vital, though. It is NOT a thin market for starting pitching.
  5. 1-Slama was completely lost with the Twins, seemingly justifying their evalution, AND...if he is such a great prospect, why arent other teams trying to pry him away from the Twins? Seems an ideal trade chip, but I dont think his name comes up very often He pitched 7 innings over two seasons for the Twins.
  6. A FA pitcher, an arbi-eligible pitcher traded for Morneau, and Baker signed for cheap would cost less than $20 million. Easily done.
  7. This would amount to about 70-73 wins with no other lineup changes. This will not be the rotations though.
  8. It is all about starting pitching and one top pitcher and one prospect/arb-eligible good pitcher would guarantee a turnaround at 15 million a year combined for 3-4 years. Aside from that they have Gibson, Diamond, and Hendriks (really the next best three), and Walters, Vasquez, DeVries, Hernandez, Bromberg, Deduno, and Devries there as potentially capable 5th starters.
  9. Good god, this amounts to another hate Mauer's contract thread. Get over it. He's worth a bunch of money. He is NOT the problem. The problem has been Liriano, Baker, Blackburn, Pavano, Marquis, Capps, etc. That is where there is wasted money.
  10. True, but given that the MILB seasons will be done, who cares? I agree on those seven exactly. It's a small amount of money to pay them and there is a good case for 2013 to be made for all of them in some capacity.
  11. A perhaps final point--it is clear that the bullpen is not the worst part of the Twins roster right now, but there still are questions. Jeff Gray provides no value whatsoever to that bullpen. Give Slama a chance--if he is bad, the Twins' evaluators "win" in their seeing-eye scouting. If he is good, then the Twins have a solid back four for the Bullpen with situational Slama and Duensing, then Burton and Perkins. This would also put less pressure on the likes of Guerra, Robertson, and Oliveros next year.
  12. It's not about bashing the organization. It is about questioning how they evaluate players and how statistics actually matter (evidence). It is not that there is a conspiracy to keep him out of the majors, rather, there is simply no reason to keep him out of the majors. Jeff Gray was miraculously pitching well enough. But he has been bad in the majors (90 innings worth) and had been up and down in the minors. That is, given the EVIDENCE provided, one could quite reasonably suspect that he would turn out a 5.00ish ERA this year and generally suck. You didn't read the full post, then. I believe that this team needs to improve at every roster spot when it can. Sorry. Also, I mentioned the sense of justice based on actual merit and opportunity. This is not simply a matter of how the Twins do, but of giving someone a chance that they deserve. It's a way to make a living and given A: that minor leaguers don't make much and B: that Slama has been a minor leaguer for far too long, it bothers my sense of justice. He deserves a chance. Jeff Gray deserved another chance as well, but he has proven that he is not good and has no future in baseball. Slama is the opposite.
  13. Yes, that was one point of the article. I write from my background sometimes . . . I do think the Twins need a Copernicus, that is, a radical shift in thinking about players.
  14. The Twins would get 3 top 15 Sox prospects back for Mauer, FYI. I don't want it to happen, but I can't believe people would doubt the haul would be significant!
  15. Yes, I bet that Justin Morneau will be playing for Boston next year. Maybe Henry Owens and Drake Britton in return?
  16. I do see a lot of repetition at Fort Myers to begin the year (Morales, perhaps Santana and Ortiz, then there is the mystery that is Danny Rams). I wouldn't mind it if the Twins hit the Indy leagues again and put him/them (most likely) at AA like they did with Colabello. No more Clete Thomas, Joe Thurston, or Shawn Roof, please.
  17. But it isn't accepting anything on blind faith, because there isn't any MLB evidence either way (besides a total of 7 innings). That's the main point of the article . . . that accepting things on faith and ignoring or not even bothering with evidence is a pathetic way to evaluate something.
  18. Slama was dominant for a large stretch of this season before the injury and he is healthy again. And he hasn't been merely a one-inning guy in AAA this year (see, you know, today). And even if he were, so what? Taking care of the 7th or 8th inning seems pretty valuable. Clearly you cannot contend that there are better "clear reasons" to keep Jeff Gray on the roster instead of Slama?
  19. You can view the page at http://www.twinsdaily.com/content.php?966-Blind-faith-vs-evidence-and-reason
  20. When coming to form one's beliefs or making evaluations about things, the rather vast ocean between blind faith and evidence sets up a stark contrast in reasoned (or un-reasoned) judgment. This post is not about evolution or theism, but about something much less important in the grand scheme of things. This post is about the Twins' evaluation of Anthony Slama. [PRBREAK][/PRBREAK]Let's first examine the evidence, sticking to Slama's minor league and major league statistics. In parts of four seasons in AAA Rochester, Slama has 146 2/3 inning pitched, a 2.21 ERA, 183 K, 72 BB (2.54 K/BB), and a 1.152 WHIP. In 2012, Slama has improved upon the K/BB rate (3.0) with a whopping 15.1 K/9 together with a 5 BB/9. Let me repeat, this year he has been striking out 15 batters per 9 innings. With such impressive AAA stats (and much the same or better at the lower levels in the minors), certainly Slama has seen ample time up with the Twins, right? He pitched 4 2/3 innings in 2010 and 2 1/3 innings in 2011. Yes, the guy striking out AAA batters at an incredibly high rate has only seven total innings up with the Twins. So, clearly stats lie, in the view of the relevant decision makers for the Twins. What, then, are the Twins basing their evaluation of Slama on instead? I submit that it is blind faith, but more importantly it is blind faith in their (the Twins' decision makers) ability to evaluate players and make projections into the major league future. Slama does not "have the stuff" and Gardenhire himself has made the claim that Slama's fastball is too straight vertically and horizontally for the majors, or in his eloquent words, "up here you've got to make it do something." Instead of using the evidence of Slama's AAA success to make a reasonable projection about his MLB projected performance, the Twins would rather rely on the faith they have in their seeing-eye assessment of Slama's stuff. AAA batters are actually pretty well-equipped to hit straight fastballs as well (in fact, that is usually the one thing hitters in AAA can do, even if they can't hit anything else and never make it to the majors). I could perhaps forgive this blind faith evaluation (in their own talents as evaluators, not in Slama) if the Twins A: had a bullpen full of better pitchers who were going to mean something for the Twins in the future, and B: if the Twins were in a division or wild card race and couldn't afford 20 innings given to a reliever they were leery of promoting. But neither A or B are true. While, Alex Burnett has been incredibly lucky not to get destroyed this year, he does have an option left and that should not be burned this season (it will next season, trust me!). But Jeff Gray is a pitching abomination. He (like Burnett) walks almost as many as he strikes out and he isn't striking many out to begin with. He has somehow been given 51 2/3 innings to pitch this year. And Gray has no future with the Twins, isn't getting better, and will be 31 in a few months. It is mind-boggling to me to consider the thought process involved in keeping Jeff Gray on the roster instead of Anthony Slama. Now, plenty of people at Twins Daily will wonder why one might complain about the last bullpen spot on a horrible team. Well, first, I am for improving the team at all roster spots if possible and it never matters how good or bad the team is in the first place. Second, is that there has to be some kind of justice in the baseball world! Anthony Slama deserves an opportunity with the Twins. We are also talking about livelihoods here as well. I have come to the point where I actually believe that the Twins are not promoting Slama because they are scared that he will succeed. That would prove them wrong and would make them have to question how they evaluate pitchers. The faithful do not like either of those two things happening.
  21. They are show sure of themselves that they need no ML evidence or they don't want him to succeed and make them look bad for doing this to him for so long. Neither one of those options makes the Twins look good. Slama's ceiling is probably a Jared Burton replacement, but that would mean Burton could be or could have been traded.
  22. Twins 1. Span CF 2. Revere RF 3. Mauer 1B 4. Willingham LF 5. Morneau DH 6. Plouffe 3B 7. Carroll 2B 8. Butera C 9. Florimon SS (P DeVries) Rangers 1. Kinsler 2B 2. Moreland 1B 3. Hamilton LF 4. Beltre 3B 5. Cruz RF 6. Murphy DH 7. Soto C 8. Gentry CF 9. Hernandez SS (P Feldman - RH - )
  23. I know! It is really cynical, but I just don't get it at all. There is no reason not to give him 20 innings this year just to see if he does get rocked as they believe he will. But even a halving of that 15 k/9 would be a major improvement for the bullpen.
  24. Good stuff, Riverbrian. Number 4 (Rule 5) is up in the air. Certainly if they select one, they should actually stick him on the roster! As for no. 12, if Chris Herrmann is ready and he appears to be for the most part, then he can replace Butera while also being a 5th OF and left-handed pinch hitter. He's a combination of Mauer and Doumit at the plate (albeit with lower numbers overall), and is an average C and above average OF. This would give both Mauer and Doumit a bit of a break and provide depth if say Span is traded and Hicks or Arcia don't cut it right away.
  25. And it's a perception based on what? Clearly not evidence.
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