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Shane Wahl

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Everything posted by Shane Wahl

  1. Shane Wahl
    Yeah, the numbers 290, 303, 319, and 332 are by far the most likely electoral votes for Obama (simply depending on Florida and Virginia--neither, Virginia only, Florida only, or both).
  2. Shane Wahl
    I am sure there is a spectrum involved here. On one end there are players who would never come to the Twins on one end (and I wouldn't be surprised if weather WAS a factor for those people--like D-Howard in basketball) and the Jim Thomes, Josh Willinghams and Ryan Doumits on the other end (guys who like playing for the Twins and would rather have the security of playing for them for some time as opposed to trying for more money on the open market). And there are likely those guys who are in the twilight of their careers and want to compete for a championship NOW. Other than that, I suspect that most players are dead in between and that this "won't come here" stuff is very much overblown.
  3. Shane Wahl
    3 years, $33-39
  4. Shane Wahl
    The Orioles: Hardy, Casilla, Ford, Thome, Tolleson, Pearce, and Ayala. More? Clearly they like Twins players, so maybe they should be a target for the trade Span crowd.
  5. Shane Wahl
    Note, given that it isn't clear who is playing first base for Boston next year and David Ortiz is a walking injury, Justin Morneau might be very attractive for Boston at some point in the season. If Boston pursues FA pitchers, they may be willing to part with a top pitching prospect or two lower ones.
  6. Shane Wahl
    Anthony Slama for Dan Haren and 3 million bucks!!! I know Marmol is a joke, but he is better than Slama! Obviously I am not copying a blueprint spanning 4 blog posts, but the general idea (I still somehow don't have the handbook yet, even though the order seemingly went through about a month ago) is to not trade anybody on the MLB roster (other than Swarzak for Bigfoot) until the deadline at the earliest (unless someone for another team gets injured early and need a CF or 1B/DH), rotate Span, Revere, Willingham, Mauer, Doumit, Morneau, and Parmelee in 6 different positions, sign Marcum, Baker, and Jackson (Blanton may be a more likely substitute for Jackson, but it's MY world here, not the Twins), and I would add now that given the likelihood that Chris Herrmann will be in Rochester, I would probably sign a Rod Barajas for a few million bucks.
  7. Shane Wahl
    Neither one of these players is a major league worthy player. Roenicke is not very good at all and is 30 years old. This is EXACTLY like the Jeff Gray signing. There is no point for this kind of nonsense from this organization. These are merely sub-replacement level players. Why on earth would the Twins bother with these guys? If Anthony Swarzak, Alex Burnett and Kyle Waldrop are add-ins for some trade in the works involving somebody, then OK it makes a modicum of sense. Otherwise, why bother with these guys. There are 23-26-year-olds who amount to the same thing but might improve given an opportunity to develop.
  8. Shane Wahl
    I have no idea what the Angels were doing even considering this ridiculous trade. I mean . . . it is RIDICULOUS. If it is true that Marmol was on board and the Cubs pulled out anyway . . .wow. Now both GMs are pretty bad "deciders." Maybe there were also some minor league players involved--as in some Cubs prospect for a scrub in return? Then it *might* make sense from the Cubs perspective, but dumping Marmol is a golden idea. He is not very good in that role.
  9. Shane Wahl
    I would say yes but only if there was some other trade of Span or Morneau or someone that brought back at least one good+ prospect back. In a vacuum? No.
  10. Shane Wahl
    Other than MI, what other contenders are there for second priority? Swarzak is a joke, Fien is not a guaranteed repeat, Robertson has some questions, and Burnett is never going to be so lucky again. Sounds like there are legitimate question marks there.
  11. Shane Wahl
    Gutierrez would be better in the bullpen than Anthony Swarzak, I guarantee you. It would have been better to keep Gutierrez, pitch him, and trade him than this. The only thing that Swarzak would bring in a trade is Bigfoot.
  12. Shane Wahl
    I agree with this, but it has to do with life, not the campaign. Romney has been a leader and a success throughout his life, whereas Obama has virtually never been involved in business his entire life. Also, Romney has been able to show that he can work across the aisle as a Republican Governor in the Heavy Democrat leaning state of Massachusetts. I'll will admit that Romney was not my preferred choice for the Republican nomination (more like my 4th or 5th), but he has my support over Obama. A successful Plutocrat who squashes the poor in favor of the one percenters. Agreed. If that his your definition of success, have at it, man.
  13. Shane Wahl
    You obviously never knew anyone who paid for the success of Romney'd business practices, nor looked at how he made the majority of his money. The success he had at the Olympics were from the bailout by the Federal government, something Atlanta or LA needed. I think the broken quote think casts a misrepresentation on Brock here. I was shocked initially when I saw it and thought no way. Then it was clear that Brock didn't say that. As for the point, clearly "success" is a weird term. What about moral success? Should we really define "success" simply in terms of how much money someone has made!? HA! You are clearly right, old nurse, about Romney, though. I am alarmed at how people could ever actually decide to vote for this guy. I mean, the utter contempt he has for middle class and lower class people is astounding.
  14. Shane Wahl
    I was wondering about that. Hopefully it is not serious. I am going to ease back on my Herrmann for the Twins on opening day thing because it is not realistic given complete mismanagement by Rantz and company. Rohlfing, by the way, will be interesting to watch in 2013. I don't think that he and Pinto really have a legitimate chance of playing in the big leagues, but with strong 2013 seasons, they would be worth a look.
  15. Shane Wahl
    I am not going to compare Gibson to Strasburg, but I do hope that if the Twins have an innings limit on Gibson next year that they don't do something stupid like shut him down early. It would be better to limit innings early in Rochester or something for awhile (Andrew Albers could be a good fill in in the 4th or 5th inning for every Gibson start, for instance), then do what the Nationals did, which was beyond any level of idiocy I have probably seen in my lifetime of baseball watching. Note: I also don't mean to compare the Twins 2013 chances of playoff success with the 2012 Nats guaranteed playoff success if that organization wasn't idiotic, but still, there is enough of a similarity to make this point clear.
  16. Shane Wahl
    Would people prefer other ads for, you know, bull****, instead? I was rather curious when reading some veiled and not veiled complaints about the ads and the links in stories. Really? Really?
  17. Shane Wahl
    WAR seems to be a big deal on this thread. By Fangraphs WAR, the Twins would have a difficult time signing three pitchers better than Diamond Yeah. First, the available pitchers above Diamond are: Greinke, Peavy, Kuroda, Sanchez, Lohse, Dempster, and Jackson. Second, no more than one of those pitchers are even possibly coming to the Twins. Dumping Gardy and Andy to get Lohse might have been worth it. Jackson would be. But alas. I don't expect Diamond to repeat, but I also don't think his performance is going to fall very much.
  18. Shane Wahl
    I agree with 1,3, and 4 in the should category. In terms of "will" you are probably right. And I think that is unfortunate. By the way, where is Doyle. Is he in Japan? Um, can the Twins sign him?
  19. Shane Wahl
    This reminds me of your analysis of Willingham last year. Marcum is a pitcher who might fit very well in this ballpark and somehow will be fairly cheap. Am I to believe that the Twins could baseline Baker and Marcum for a combined amount under $10 million for one year!? Let roll the damn incentives up to $20 million! If they perform great, $20 million would be worth it. If not,$10 or so is not killing the team for one year.
  20. Shane Wahl
    The market has been weird. Consider the difference last offseason between the Mark Buerhle signing and the Edwin Jackson signing. To me a comparable situation might occur this year with Dan Haren and Shaun Marcum. And the difference in performance between those two groups of pitchers is NOT $30-40 million over 3-4 years. Doesn't it seem like there is the following: Tier One: Grienke A. Sanchez Dempster Haren Peavy (I guess) Tier two: Jackson Kuroda Lohse Marcum Tier three: Blanton Saunders McCarthy Bedard Maholm Millwood Santana Correia I submit that Santana might be worth giving a shot out of tier three, but I just don't like bothering with any of those other guys when millions of dollars would be wasted for replacement level pitching.
  21. Shane Wahl
    I *heart* Parker.
  22. Shane Wahl
    Jeremy Guthrie is not very good. FYI. Same with Saunders. Seriously, there is NO point signing these guys as opposed to turning to Deduno, DeVries, Walters, Hendriks, or even Bromberg (who *should* be considered, given that he was actually quite good through 2010). The result is going to be about the EXACT same for millions less if they go in-house. The Twins should stick to second-tier pitchers, not third or fourth tier. They have plenty of third and fourth-tier pitchers right now.
  23. Shane Wahl
    I don't understand any desire to have McCarthy. Another guy who doesn't strike anybody out. The Twins should honestly restrict their search to pitchers with 7+ k/9. I will leave it to someone else to narrow that list down . . . But it is CLEAR to me that these 5 or 6 k/9 pitchers should not be ADDED to the rotation. Doesn't anyone remember Santana and Liriano? Even Boof!? To rely on the Diamonds and Radkes is not going to be good. Those are guys who serve well as the 3rd pitcher. Jackson at 3/33 and Marcum at 2/16 could get the job done. Just saying.
  24. Shane Wahl
    For people who doubt based on Josh Willingham's contract blah, blah, blah . . . the Twins have money to spend and need to spend it, especially, for the millionth time, that after 2013, the payroll REALLY drops significantly and hopefully in 2014, 2015, and 2016, the vast majority of the non-Mauer roster is composed on sub $1 million players like Sano, Rosario, Arcia, Hicks, Benson, Gibson, Hendriks, Salcedo, Berrios, Harrison, Boyd, etc.
  25. Shane Wahl
    Thanks for posting this. I believe that the Twins should, realistically, contend for both Jackson and Marcum. But I think that they WILL pursue two of: Marcum, McCarthy, Saunders, Blanton, Maholm (please no!) and Santana. Santana's 2013 is not going to be that bad. He is likely to have a strong bounceback season. Greinke, Haren, Sanchez, and Dempster are going to be out of reach unless the Twins only add one pitcher, and even then, only Greinke fits the bill. I don't actually believe that pursuing one top top guy is better than pursuing two second-tier guys, honestly.
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