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IndianaTwin

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Everything posted by IndianaTwin

  1. IndianaTwin
    No doubt, and that's why they play the games. But it sure is nice to be playing the 26th game at 16-9 rather than at 9-16 like we were last year! Ooh -- let's try this. We have 78 percent more wins through 25 games than we did a year ago. Extrapolate that to the 69 wins we had the rest of the season last year, and we end up 139-23. That's even better than Nine of twelve's math above, and I'm pretty sure we'd have home-field advantage, which would clear up RiverBrian's travel plans!
  2. IndianaTwin
    First, your math is wrong. Playing .526 ball over the remaining 137 games would get them to 88 wins. Second, those 19 non-Orioles games include 11 against teams that are assumed to playoff contenders (Phillies, Mets, Cleveland, Houston) and only 5 against wimps (KC, Det). You can decide where to slot the Blue Jays. So outside the Orioles, they've actually played a pretty tough schedule in that 10-9 pace. Third, of their remaining games, 55 are against KC, Det, CWS, and Miami vs. about 31-34 against Bos, NYY, Cleveland, and whoever you want to consider their next toughest opponent. Of the teams they play one series against the rest of the way, Atlanta, Washington, and Houston are all at home. Compared to who they've played so far, that points to a schedule that they can play considerably better than .526 against.
  3. IndianaTwin
    Good article. I simplify it this way. How much better would the Twins be with Cave active compared to Castro? Little, if any. How much of a hurt would the Twins be in if they DFAed Castro and either Garver or Astudillo would get hurt, necessitating calling up Sawyer or Telis (and it's very likely one would get hurt -- few teams make it through a whole season with two healthy catchers)? Quite a bit. Don't cut Castro.
  4. IndianaTwin
    In most churches I’ve been to, getting a front-row pew hasn’t been hard. Unless I’m late and that’s all that’s left.
  5. IndianaTwin
    Small sample size, but I think the Twins rotation is closer to Cleveland's (particularly if Cleveland has an injury) than Cleveland's offense is to the Twins. I like our chances.
  6. IndianaTwin
    Being around .500 as a new manager may not be too bad if one considers that fired managers often have teams that were below .500. While it’s not controlling for a single variable, it would be interesting to know the number of games has fared better or worse than the previous manager.
  7. IndianaTwin
    If we can limit the bullpen to 15 pitches per game, it should be a pretty good season!
  8. IndianaTwin
    And let’s not forget that if Der Schlagger cracks 23 homers, he’ll become the career leader among those born in Germany.
  9. IndianaTwin
    So Pineda will have more time since the surgery than Lynn, Harvey, and Lackey, the three guys who threw 200+. That seems like a good sign. On the other hand, he will have less time than the three who threw less than 120. That seems like a bad sign. I prefer the good sign.
  10. IndianaTwin
    It will also be interesting going forward. Given the general skittishness of the market and the worry about the ability of a TJ survivor breaking down again, if he has a good year, I could see him having a tough time getting the long deal he probably will be seeking. Of course it only takes one team willing to take a chance. But at any rate, if he does indeed come back strong, I’d be inclined to reach out to him mid year about his willingness to extend a year.
  11. IndianaTwin
    Great article. I could look up the answer, but you probably already have the data. What month did each of these guys have their TJ surgery? One never hopes for an injury, but I’ve also wondered if the knee injury could be a blessing in disguise. He was able to rehab back to a point of near readiness and then forced to take a break, which allowed for what amounts to an extended offseason before resuming a normal preparation for this season.
  12. IndianaTwin
    Yeah, I was just using Rendon because he was the only infielder on the list of the top eight or so potential free agents. My point was more about the advantage of having half the season to know what your need REALLY is (and whether one person can make a difference), rather than having to make an educated guess.
  13. IndianaTwin
    Thanks -- either didn't know that or forgot it. Both of which happen frequently. But the point about not losing a pick with a rental still stands.
  14. IndianaTwin
    If they are that close to last year's payroll, I don't see him or Kimbrel happening. What I could still see is using $12 million to get a half-season of guys with $24 million in contracts if they are in the running in June/July. I understanding people saying, "Why not get a whole season's worth of a guy, rather than just a few months of a rental," but a real advantage of rentals is that it gives you the opportunity to see what the present need is. What if Pineda and Perez do pan out, but Sano doesn't come back and Marwin or Polanco blows out a knee and they are three games out on July 4? At that point, having budget to rent Anthony Rendon is probably more helpful than the extra starts of slight upgrade from Perez to Keuchel. Plus, with a rental, they actually PICK UP a draft pick with a QO next winter rather than losing one this year.
  15. IndianaTwin
    If all he does is get us a few days with unis as awesome as the one pictured, his contract will have been a success.
  16. IndianaTwin
    Harry Carey would have called him something like Merle Zelaznog.
  17. IndianaTwin
    “...Andrew Vasquez is also here to serve up sliders at a rate that would make White Castle jealous...” I suggested elsewhere that 2/36 with a mutual option for an additional 2/28 has a potential for 4/64 with an opportunity for either side to opt out. But aside from making that suggestion, my primary purpose in commenting is to say that amidst a bunch of good lines, your one on Vasquez is an early candidate for Post of the Year.
  18. IndianaTwin
    Out of curiousity, what was Oakland's projection a year ago? After winning 75 in 2017, their roster looks like the type that would have entered last season with "average" written all over it and they won 97.
  19. IndianaTwin
    Steve Rushin once wrote it as: Yu-ni-es-ki Bet-en-court, Luc-as Du-da.
  20. IndianaTwin
    And if it's not a sore spot for people, I'd even let him bat leadoff and play 2B if he so desires and if he puts up Yount-like numbers.
  21. IndianaTwin
    He can play wherever he wants if he ends up with 77.3 career WAR as a one-franchise (ours) player.
  22. IndianaTwin
    Yes -- 18.
  23. IndianaTwin
    Half a career at short. Half a career in center. If he wants to turn into Robin Yount, I'd be okay with that.
  24. IndianaTwin
    Interesting in that four of the six Twins “legends” (in my book) spent significant time at 1B. (I’m considering Killebrew, Carew, Hrbek, Mauer, Oliva, and Puckett as the legends, though if you want to count Blyleven and make me qualify it as “position player legends,” I’m okay with that.)
  25. IndianaTwin
    Good stuff here. Another advantage the Twins actually have is that they have a better minor league system to use to for mid-season improvements, either from potential call ups or from using them for a mid season trade for MadBum or whoever.
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