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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    Fixed.
  2. Doomtints
    The OP was written based on a small sample size, as are a lot of threads and comments. We should weigh these threads appropriately.
  3. Doomtints
    The Tigers have played the Twins hard all year. These will not be easy wins for the Twins, but they will be a hell of a lot easier than NY and Cleveland.
  4. Doomtints
    With Houston and Cleveland vying for the #1 seed and the best chance to feast on the Twins in the playoffs, it is good that they both have games left v. the Angels. I don't think the Twins will need 85 wins, but 85 will guarantee it. I think the Twins have 5, maybe 6 wins left in them in the regular season. This means the Angels need 7-8 wins to TIE the Twins. Not likely. The Twins would need to crash hard to lose this thing.
  5. Doomtints
    Considering there was a play (1955) and musicial (1958) regarding this franchise's inability to beat the Yankees, we are not talking about a new problem. Through 2007, the the franchise record against the Yankees was 760-1068, which is the worst W-L record against any team. And, of course, since then the record has only gotten worse.
  6. Doomtints
    Every team above the Twins in the AL has a better record against teams under .500. Every team below the Twins in the AL has a worse record against teams over .500.
  7. Doomtints
    I don't know why you would give him the finger. Flip off the people who signed him if you think there was a better option somewhere.
  8. Doomtints
    Release won't be necessary. I would bet he knows he is out of gas and will retire.
  9. Doomtints
    If the Twins make the playoffs, yes, they are a playoff team. I spoke elsewhere about how 19 or 20 MLB teams are terrible this year. There is no middle ground. The AL has more playoff slots than it does good teams. But this changes nothing -- if the Twins make the playoffs, they are a playoff team. The danger here is thinking the Twins have turned a corner and will be good next year. It's not likely that 2/3 of the league will be garbage next year too. The Twins still need to replace about half its pitching staff.
  10. Doomtints
    They Twins have no chance at the WS. This doesn't mean they shouldn't shoot for the stars. The Twins have played well because there are so many bad teams this year, there are 10 good teams and 20 teams that aren't. There is no middle to speak of. No one can say with a straight face that Twins pitching has been good this year, yet they lead the pack of crappy teams. The AL has 4 good teams and the rest are not very good. With 5 playoff teams, the bottom seed will not be a good team. The NL has 6 good teams (7 if you're feeling generous about the Cardinals) and the rest are not very good. One team, maybe two teams, will miss out, but the rest of the NL can be comfortable with the thought that they didn't make the playoffs because they suck.
  11. Doomtints
    Are we there yet?
  12. Doomtints
    If you're worried about the bullpen, do not look at how many pitchers they burned through yesterday in a losing effort.
  13. Doomtints
    I'm a little confused about the team's narrative on Sano's injury, particularly Molitor's. First there were questions of his conditioning, which ignored the fact that he has always been a giant for his age. He clearly works out, and works out a lot. Then, every few days, Molitor would come out with a statement with a surprise that Sano wasn't ready yet. The original injury report always said that Sano was expected to be back at the end of September. If the team put this on the injury report, why did they play this game of acting surprised that he wasn't ready every few days? The team updated the injury report yesterday, stating that he is not expected back until the playoffs, if not next year. That's fine, but that's only a couple of days different from "the end of September." This isn't the first time Sano has been treated weirdly by the Twins and/or Molitor. How can an organization be so clueless about who Sano is? It's right there in front of them. Let the kid DH. Sew up the DH position with an elite bat for the next ten years. Win games. Enough with the clownish decisions regarding the team's best bat. The Twins debuted Sano as a DH but someone, apparently Molitor, didn't want a young player DHing. He wanted him out there doing fielding drills with the rest of the team. This decision is more about CONTROL than it is about WINNING. DH the kid, Twins, it's time to grow up at a team.
  14. Doomtints
    The antithesis of the bunt is the GIDP. The Twins are the 3rd best team in the league with respect to GIDP and the best team in the AL. Having said that, in spite of MLB's official stance, the balls seem juiced this year. Hitters may as well smack the ball. 2-3 years ago, bunting fit into the league environment. Now teams should be taking advantage of what the baseball gods are giving them.
  15. Doomtints
    I hope they bunt more.
  16. Doomtints
    Again, that's probably your fan bias. I saw a lot of Pujols in the media, I didn't see much Mauer. Sure he was on magazine covers, video game covers and the like, but in my opinion that's not particularly meaningful. As for being covered on ESPN, every player gets covered on ESPN. The network creates game highlights all day long. Mauer was heavily covered in the year that he flirted with the record batting average, but he wasn't the most covered player. There was also the M&M boys narrative when Morneau blossomed. What else?
  17. Doomtints
    I did not live in MN when he was a catcher. I buy into it that Mauer and Morneau were both in the local's faces nonstop, but there was also a lot of grumbling in that era about the East Coast teams getting all the national attention, at least for the AL.
  18. Doomtints
    In the absence of data, if you asked me if Mauer were a HOF candidate I would say no. I might even toss the Mattingly comp out there too. I would talk about the injury, how he only caught for 9+ years, etc. etc. We all know the narratives against, and I would certainly throw them out there too as they seem reasonable. However, when you look at the numbers, he has a good case for the HOF. This is just Joe -- he puts up great numbers but never garners much attention. Mauer's HOF votes will be a good indicator of how many HOF voters go by their gut reactions/opinions and how many vote by metrics. I think we know which side Sherman is on. This is another example of coming to your own conclusions about players and not going with the herd opinion. Mauer would have to play crappy baseball for ten years to be a true Mattingly comp when it comes to WAA. Ten years!
  19. Doomtints
    Few people are happy to get fired, even from jobs they hate. I don't expect Doug to be happy, nor do I expect him to act nice and pretend he is fine with it. Doug stated his opinion as he is allowed to do. I don't think his firing was handled poorly (from what I heard) nor do I think he is out of line for speaking up about it. I think some fans had their hearts set on Doug managing the Twins some day. I never thought this would happen, but I think this is where the fan reaction is coming from. If you think back, Tom Kelly held Doug back a full year because he did not like Doug's attitude. Maybe he has a problem with authority, maybe not. I don't know the specifics or care that much to learn about them. I know Doug will continue to have a career in baseball (if he wants it) and he will always be welcomed at Target Field. The rest of this is noise. Doug will be fine with the Twins once the anger wears off.
  20. Doomtints
    But look at how that's rolled up. 8.0 score for pitch framing, 8.4 score overall. This means every other pitching metric totals 0.4. Look at J.T. Realmuto, a more complete defensive catcher, ranked #8 (for FRAA, which is BPs defensive metric). He's the guy offenses should fear. The page you are citing is *heavily* weighting pitch framing (looks like to the tune of about 85% for most players, or more), but Realmuto defied the odds and finished in the top 10 anyway. If you believe pitch framing is the second coming, you have found your web page. If you think it's one factor, you should look elsewhere.
  21. Doomtints
    Before the Castro signing and we were talking about picking him up, I was pretty vocal about his passed balls problem. I was against the signing, but I wasn't upset about it. The Twins wanted/needed new blood at catcher and got it. The jury is still out as to whether or not the team got an upgrade, but they probably did, though perhaps the upgrade isn't as exciting as fans hoped. For what it's worth, BP lists Castro's pitch framing at 8.0, 11th in the league. The rest of his defense is flat. His overall defense is about half as good as it was last year, again using BPs measurements. Suzuki's defense continues to tank but he is hitting better than his career numbers, probably due to reduced playing time keeping him fresh.
  22. Doomtints
    Mattingly's WAA is 17.4. That's a good player, but not a HOF player. He is in the Kent Hrbek range. Mauer's WAA is 26.6. Mauer is in HOF territory, but being on the lower edge there is no guarantee he will get enough votes based on his production. Puckett was boosted by his golden boy personality and likely Mauer gets a similar, albeit smaller, boost. Puckett's WAA was 25.5. Of course, Mauer likely finishes his career over 28 WAA, perhaps well over if he plays longer than the end of his current contract. At the end of his career, unless he declines to being a below average player, the answer to this question should be a slam dunk.
  23. Doomtints
    I think it was just one person who was questioning his intelligence/toughness/whatever. We should have called this out at the time. Buxton looked completely lost in his at bats, like he wasn't even seeing the ball. In every other part of his game he looked more than competent. His intelligence/ability should have never been questioned.
  24. Doomtints
    Kepler's metrics as of today are nearly identical to his stats last year, but he played fewer games last year. So yeah, it's a step back, but not a big one. Kepler is playing well enough, but with so many people stepping up he is easily forgotten. For his first full season, he is doing fine.
  25. Doomtints
    It the Twins play ~.500 ball the rest of the way, they probably make the playoffs. None of the remaining games will be easy. I don't see Detroit playing prospects until the Twins are either eliminated or clinched. NY will want to pull away from the Twins, and Cleveland is playing with a chip on their shoulders. I was expecting the Toronto series to be split. I'm sure a lot of us were. Getting Sano back will help a lot.
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