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Doomtints

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Everything posted by Doomtints

  1. Doomtints
    If you have a guy who can handle himself in the middle infield, I don't think you move him to 1st. I mean, maybe Terry Ryan would....
  2. Doomtints
    Exciting times.
  3. Doomtints
    Hellickson would be the type of player Ryan would target. I'm not saying targeting him is wrong. If the Twins feel they don't have enough internal options to start games and he'll take a 1-year deal during the Twins rebuild then go for it.
  4. Doomtints
    Yes, perhaps it's not the right term, but I can't think of one that sounds better. There's "streaky" or "feast or famine" but neither are as descriptive as they don't acknowledge that he has power. Dozier can be an asset to the right team -- a team that has no problem getting on base but doesn't hit it out of the park. Some of the Twins playoff teams a decade ago, for example.
  5. Doomtints
    Nor is he a better ballplayer, so far....
  6. Doomtints
    Yes, in 2016 he jumped up to #19 for OPS due to his HR aberration. 2015 is more telling. He ranked 22nd for home runs -- still very good -- but 81st for OPS. It's a similar story for 2014. That's a lot of empty power.
  7. Doomtints
    Yes. And his power numbers are pretty empty. Usually guys who smack 25+ home runs have an OPS better than .750. At 42 homers he managed an .886 OPS, which still seems like it should be higher. This doesn't mean he wouldn't be a good fit for a team that with a lot of high OBP guys but lacking a solid power guy.
  8. Doomtints
    I like your plan. The only criticism I would make is that Mauer is not likely to play any position other than 1B (or DH). The 3B/OF stuff isn't going to happen in my opinion. There are 3 big reasons: 1) Any position other than 1B will have a higher concussion risk. Mauer thinks that the next concussion he gets will end his career and evidence suggests he is right. 2) The Twins need to give him time off. Having him be the backup utility guy so others can get time off will wear him down quickly. 3) His likely bad defense at 3B and in the OF would put him (and others) at risk for injury. In the absence of Mauer being able to back up these positions, who would the Twins need to add to the roster?
  9. Doomtints
    Very true. This is a symptom of a bigger problem. Sano learning OF in the majors blew up in Ryan's face, even if his failure was exaggerated. This should have been done in the minors and they should have communicated their plans to Sano. Without Sano buying into the idea it was not going to work. Polanco has been treated bizarrely by this team for a long time. Fans have bought into the idea that he's a marginal player, this in spite of his great performance in the organization 4 years running. A fresh front office will help Polanco more than anything and fans will figure him out over time.
  10. Doomtints
    The -8 is the extrapolated number.
  11. Doomtints
    That's right. Most outfielders in the majors start as infielders and transition to the OF because those positions are considered easier and the teams are more interested in the player's bat. Usually this does not happen on the center stage in the majors, with a young player who is already going to be prone to mistakes. Usually it happens in the minors (where fans simply don't see it) or with older players who lose the physical ability to play in the infield. Bill James wrote a long chapter about the "defensive spectrum" and how players can, if given a full season, transition to the OF from the infield. The transition from the OF to the IF is, in his words, impossible. But James wasn't able to find a clear example of a player not being able to move from the IF to the OF. It seems frightfully strange that Sano would be the first one. Fans can be as loud about Sano's failure as they want, it doesn't change anything.
  12. Doomtints
    Negative Total Zone and UZR, sure. But it's not tragically negative and it is based on a small sample size. Those numbers are weighted for an entire season. A small negative in a small sample suddenly becomes -8 when stretched to a full season. And -8 over a full season isn't a big deal. I'm assuming you knew straight up that the theory with Sano was that his offense would overcome his defensive liability. And even though he was not offensively great last year, that did happen.
  13. Doomtints
    You are probably looking at advanced metrics rather than watching him play. When it comes to the prejudice against Sano's defense, most Twins fans in the "Sano should have never been in the outfield" camp are ignoring advanced metrics (which show he was 'mostly harmless' out there) and using the eyeball test. Use that same eyeball test on Bryant and you'll change your mind about his defense. Mentioning Bryant's defense to a Cubs fan brings up immediate laughter. Cubs fans are afraid of the idea of Bryant playing 1B, which is considered the easiest position to play. Nevertheless, Cubs fans don't complain about the time he spends in the OF -- they realize that no matter where he plays he is a liability. Did you happen to catch game 4? I'm guessing not. Take a look at the box score. Look at his postseason defensive metrics on mlb.com -- he is the worst defender this postseason.
  14. Doomtints
    Absolutely. There has been an overreaction to Sano's OF experiment. We'll probably hear about it for years, even after those responsible are long gone. Regardless of where Sano plays, someone really needs to sit down with him and find him a glove that fits his hand. MLB rules regarding glove sizes only concern the webbing and finger length, not where it sits on the wrist, palm, and hand. That comically small glove that sits 1-3 inches off his palms has to go. Also, the Cubs have this youngin named Kris Bryant. He is their everyday 3B and he is terrible out there. He plays in the OF too, but he is equally terrible out there (and dangerous -- he collides with people). I have yet to hear a Cubs fan go on and on about "Bryant in the outfield", this in spite of Bryant probably being a better 3B defender than Sano will ever be which makes the time he spends in the OF even more pointless. How many games did Bryant play in the OF in the minors? Just like Sano -- 0.
  15. Doomtints
    It's difficult to imagine Dozier going to the Pirates, even with the Twins recent history with trades with that organization. But anything can happen. What highfalutin teams need an upgrade at 2B? I can't imagine a .500 team thinking that Dozier is the key to their success. But a team that feels they are almost there could certainly be interested in Dozier. He would come cheap, at least as far as dollars are concerned. Teams that are in "win now" mode won't be as concerned about giving up some prospects to have 2B sewn up for a bit.
  16. Doomtints
    You have probably heard of Josh Hamilton. But come on, this is a silly path to go down. Of course teams have done this and listing examples is a pointless exercise. Heck, the Twins got fleeced at catcher just last year due to this. Murphy sure as hell looked great on paper, no?
  17. Doomtints
    Actually, teams routinely trade away players who they don't think will live up to their potential. You clearly are deep in the camp of believing that Sano will be a star, which I think is debatable. The Twins could outright fleece another team by trading Sano right now. Most teams would give up a lot to get him.
  18. Doomtints
    Right. I think any front office in its right mind paces Mauer so he has 5 days off a month, minimum. With that type of workload he may make it through the year and be productive.
  19. Doomtints
    That's been said by announcers for as long as I can remember. After many years I simply started assuming "left the ball up" means something different to old timey baseball guys than we think it does. Perhaps it means a pitch that was supposed to break but didn't. We assume it means high in the strike zone, but maybe it simply has nothing to do with that.
  20. Doomtints
    There is really only one position player (or everyday player) that fits this definition, and every fan seems to understand that the Mauer issue is unsolvable. I would be surprised if any fan ever says, "Yeah, I'm not going to the ball park today. They have Joe Mauer out there, and that's intolerable." The real problem is the pitching, and people will stop showing up to games if pitching remains this bad.
  21. Doomtints
    Someone mentioned that it may be time to start thinking of trading Sano. I had not thought about this but it might make more sense to keep Dozier and trade Sano. Sano and his entourage can play his circus defense elsewhere. With his step back this year I don't think the Twins will be missing much. Sure Sano will have a couple of great years but I get the feeling he is going to be a chronic under-performer, esp. when the Twins hit a rough patch. Is the Sano hassle going to be worth 2-3 really good years? Or what about a complete rebuild, and trade both of them?
  22. Doomtints
    #1 Riddle they must solve: "Why is Target Field so hot?" All the fans left.
  23. Doomtints
    With one truly exceptional year, I'm not sure that Dozier is going to market what we hope he would, esp. in a era where there are several high performers at his position. People aren't going to trade the farm for "above average." He needs to show 125+ OPS+ for longer for the Twins to get such a huge haul. Waiting until the trade deadline in 2017 might be a better idea if the Twins want an epic haul from a trade. Any GM in his right mind is going to show some skepticism around Dozier right now.
  24. Doomtints
    Yep. Nevermind that Blackburn was not the worst pitcher on the Twins, even in the era that he played. Calling him out but giving a free pass to the many who have been worse than him doesn't make a lot of sense. Jim Hoey is brought up constantly too, but nothing was expected out of Hoey. Hoey was not good in the minors either. There are too many words written about a guy who was emergency filler.
  25. Doomtints
    Getting Cuban players was problematic and often players had to defect to play in the majors. Oliva predates this. Of course Griffith would not want to deal with that hassle, and no other GMs from that era did either. In the years that Griffith owned the team, only 2 players defected from Cuba to play in the majors. The Pohlads also don't seem like the types who would get involved in such shenanigans. It was not until 1993 where the floodgates opened and we saw many players defecting to play in the MLB. Before then, only 3 players had defected. It should not be a surprise that the Twins are sending scouts to look at players now that these barriers are being lifted. I should also point out that one's nationality does not automatically make one an MLB superstar. There are many Cuban players who did not play well in the majors. We should not harp too much on his nationality nor should we expect much based on where the kid was born. The conversation should be about his ability to pitch, which thankfully most of the participants in this thread understand.
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